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SAISA South Points #5

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 48
2 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 157
3 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 168
4 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 176
5 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 187
6 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 199
7 Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles 237
8 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 265
9 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls Women 294
10 New College of Florida New College of Florida Nulls 372
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins B 3 1 2 2 3 6 3 1 1 1 23 Telmo Basterra '21
Mia Porter '22
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins A 1 3 1 5 2 2 1 3 3 4 25 Jack Gower '20
Elisabeth Bowman '22
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 A 4 2 9 1 5 1 8 8 15 7 60 Sean Tallman '22 [1-10]
Virginia Kilbourne '20 [1-4, 7-10]
Joshua Cole '22 [5-6]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls A 11 7 8 7 4 4 5 4 9 3 62 Brett Putnam '22
Carolina Perez Rovira '22
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes A 14 10 3 4 1 8 6 10 5 2 63 Richard Mccann '23
Grace Harden '22
University of Florida University of Florida Gators A 5 12 6 15 8 3 4 6 7 6 72 Brandon Kirby '20
Jasmine Dahlby '19
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 B 10 4 5 12 7 11 11 11 2 8 81 Margaret Maccormack '21
Rebekah Woodburn '19
University of Florida University of Florida Gators B 6 11 16 3 10 5 9 12 10 14 96 David Beaudry '20
Matthew Snyder '22
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 1 B 7 13 4 6 11 12 7 13 14 10 97 Evan Langford '21
Liam Farese '22
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 2 A 12 16 12 18 9 7 12 2 6 12 106 Ainsley Parramore '20
Samantha Pynchon '20
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles A 16 8 10 8 6 14 15 7 8 18 110 Kurban Ali '21
Michael Kaufman '22
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls B 13 6 7 13 19 10 10 15 12 9 114 Kyle Runnfeldt '20
Kylee Edgar '22
Rollins College Rollins College Tars B 17 5 15 9 15 9 14 9 18 11 122 Nick Baker '20 [1-10]
Simon Munoz '20 [1-4, 7-10]
Oliver Santry '19 [5-6]
Florida State University Florida State University Seminoles B 15 17 14 11 16 15 16 5 13 5 127 Christopher Deleon '18 [1-6]
Trevor Stone '20 [7-10]
Lauren Schaeffer '20 [1-6]
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes B 19 15 19 17 12 18 2 14 4 16 136 Ryan Appleby '22 [1-6]
Kaitlyn Delisser '20 [7-10]
Christian Rosa '22 [1-6]
Trevor Robohn '22 [7-10]
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls Women B 2 14 13 16 17 13 17 19 16 13 140 Lexie Foos '22 [1-4]
Chloe Sweeting '22 [5-10]
Chloe Sweeting '22 [1-4]
Michelle Burklund '19 [5-10]
Rollins College Rollins College Tars A 9 9 17 19 14 19 13 17 11 15 143 Teagan Walsh '20
Fernando Herrera '20
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls Women A 8 DSQ 11 10 18 16 18 18 17 17 154 Anna Millbourn '22
Shani Scwartz '19
New College of Florida New College of Florida Nulls A 18 18 20 14 13 17 19 16 20 19 174 Clinton Overton '20
Anna Feldbush '22
New College of Florida New College of Florida Nulls B 20 19 18 20 20 DNF 20 DNF 19 20 198 Renbourn Chock '19
Bug Dykema '22
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (51 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 11122334455
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 22211202019191818
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators77889910101111
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles3344556677
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins443322112020
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes8877665544
New College of FloridaNew College of Florida Nulls5566778899
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars6655443322
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls101099887766
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls Women991010111112121313

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 111111212131314141515
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons 21212111110109988
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators171718181919202011
Florida State UniversityFlorida State University Seminoles13131414151516161717
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins14141313121211111010
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes18181717161615151414
New College of FloridaNew College of Florida Nulls15151616171718181919
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars16161515141413131212
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls20201919181817171616
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls Women19192020112233

Conditions — 03/23/2019 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 43%  ·  Pressure 1022.5 hPa

Temperature

70°F
↑ 77°F   ↓ 57°F
Feels like 68°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.9 kn
avg  ·  max 7.4 kn
Gusts to 16.5 kn
From ENE (64°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover14% Sunshine10.1 hrs Humidity43% Pressure1022.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 8 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at South Florida: a favourites’ day (+0.09)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.08
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.00 ± 0.13)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 7% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at South Florida by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (75 labelled days at South Florida).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →