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Harris Kempner Memorial

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 18 32 50
2 Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 21 57 78
3 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 55 41 96
4 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 71 26 97
5 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns Women 52 69 121
6 University of North Texas University of North Texas Mean Green 77 53 130
7 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 87 81 168
8 University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Bronchos 96 90 186
9 Red Raider Red Raider Red Raider 73 133 206
10 Lewis and Clark College Lewis and Clark College Pioneers 127 92 219
11 Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders 115 120 235
12 Owls Owls Owls 156 156 312
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 1 2 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 1 18 Jonathan Sager '20 [1-12]
Justin Tirpak '20 [1-8]
Wes Sholders '21 [9-12]
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 1 3 1 1 2 2 2 1 1 1 2 4 21 Andres Boccalandro '21
Noora Qassim '22
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns Women 3 5 3 5 4 5 3 11 3 5 3 2 52 Karina Bertelsmann '22 [1-12]
Lillian Andersen '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Allie Gretzinger '21 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 8 2 5 3 3 3 8 4 5 4 4 6 55 Ota Dvorak '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Frederik Winguth '21 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Vojtech Pavlis '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Warren Wegener '23 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 6 10 6 4 8 8 4 7 7 3 5 3 71 Nick Baker '20
Simon Munoz '20
Red Raider Red Raider Red Raider 5 6 7 6 5 6 7 5 8 7 6 5 73
University of North Texas University of North Texas Mean Green 7 7 4 7 7 4 6 6 6 6 9 8 77 Meri Keskimaula '22 [1-12]
Brendan Frederick '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Daniel Leffman '23 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 11 4 8 9 6 7 5 3 10 9 8 7 87 Ryan Martin '23 [1-2, 5-12]
Dylan Yong '21 [3-4]
Savannah Hallgarth '22 [1-2, 5-12]
Sofia Mack '20 [3-4]
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Bronchos 4 8 9 8 9 10 9 10 4 8 7 10 96 Alejandro Endres '23
David Harlin '21
Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders 9 9 10 10 11 9 10 8 9 11 10 9 115 Sydney Boucher '24
Cliff Ehrke '23
Lewis and Clark College Lewis and Clark College Pioneers 10 11 11 11 10 11 11 9 11 10 11 11 127 Jacob Davis '22
Ben Carsner '20
Owls Owls Owls DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 156
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 3 2 2 2 4 4 1 1 2 2 1 2 26 Nate Barrett '23
Nicolas Ladino '22
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 4 5 1 1 1 3 2 2 3 3 2 5 32 Connor Sager '20 [1-12]
Korbin Podolak '23 [1-2, 9-12]
Sadie Swindall '21 [3-8]
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 1 1 4 3 2 1 9 3 1 1 7 8 41 John Mason '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Clayton Lawrence '20 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Thomas Norman '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Etienne Black '23 [3-4]
Dante Alibrio '23 [7-8, 11-12]
University of North Texas University of North Texas Mean Green 6 4 3 4 6 7 4 5 4 4 3 3 53 Emma Cooledge '20
Johnathan Henkel '20
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Aggies 5 3 5 6 5 9 3 4 6 6 4 1 57 Lyndsey Sager '21 [1-12]
Gabby Spring '20 [1-4, 11-12]
Jonathan Rolling '20 [5-10]
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns Women 2 7 7 8 3 2 6 9 7 7 5 6 69 Gabriella Wong '20 [1-12]
Taima Crean '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Mckenzie Kotara '21 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 9 6 9 5 9 5 7 8 5 5 9 4 81 Grant Gravallese '22 [1-12]
Kathryn Lewis '22 [1-2, 5-12]
Jeremy Burke '20 [3-4]
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Bronchos 7 8 6 9 7 8 5 6 8 8 8 10 90 Jacob Beesley '22
Jean Paul Drapeau '22
Lewis and Clark College Lewis and Clark College Pioneers 8 9 8 7 8 6 8 7 9 9 6 7 92 Jack Gramling '23
Anna Amodeo '22
Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders 11 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 9 120 Stormie Gutierrez '22 [1-12]
Katelyn Garza '22 [1-4, 9-12]
Isabel Arispe '22 [5-8]
Red Raider Red Raider Red Raider 10 11 11 DNF 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 11 133
Owls Owls Owls DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 156
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (26 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
University of Central OklahomaUniversity of Central Oklahoma Bronchos99111111335577
Lewis and Clark CollegeLewis and Clark College Pioneers11335577991111
University of North TexasUniversity of North Texas Mean Green1010121222446688
OwlsOwls Owls2244668810101212
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars33557799111111
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns11111133557799
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns Women1212224466881010
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies4466881010121222
Texas A&M University at Corpus ChristiTexas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders55779911111133
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies6688101012122244
Red RaiderRed Raider Red Raider77991111113355
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs8810101212224466

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
University of Central OklahomaUniversity of Central Oklahoma Bronchos1010121222446688
Lewis and Clark CollegeLewis and Clark College Pioneers2244668810101212
University of North TexasUniversity of North Texas Mean Green11111133557799
OwlsOwls Owls33557799111111
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars4466881010121222
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns1212224466881010
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns Women11335577991111
Texas A&M UniversityTexas A&M University Aggies55779911111133
Texas A&M University at Corpus ChristiTexas A&M University at Corpus Christi Islanders6688101012122244
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies77991111113355
Red RaiderRed Raider Red Raider8810101212224466
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs99111111335577
School / Team SkipperCrew
Lewis and Clark College Lewis and Clark College Jacob Davis '22 Ben Carsner '20
Pioneers Jack Gramling '23 Anna Amodeo '22
Rollins College Rollins College Nick Baker '20 Simon Munoz '20
Tars Nate Barrett '23 Nicolas Ladino '22
Texas A&M University Texas A&M University Andres Boccalandro '21 Noora Qassim '22
Aggies Lyndsey Sager '21 [1-12] Gabby Spring '20 [1-4, 11-12]
Jonathan Rolling '20 [5-10]
Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi Sydney Boucher '24 Cliff Ehrke '23
Islanders Stormie Gutierrez '22 [1-12] Katelyn Garza '22 [1-4, 9-12]
Isabel Arispe '22 [5-8]
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Jonathan Sager '20 [1-12] Justin Tirpak '20 [1-8]
Wes Sholders '21 [9-12]
Aggies Connor Sager '20 [1-12] Korbin Podolak '23 [1-2, 9-12]
Sadie Swindall '21 [3-8]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Ryan Martin '23 [1-2, 5-12]
Dylan Yong '21 [3-4]		 Savannah Hallgarth '22 [1-2, 5-12]
Sofia Mack '20 [3-4]
Banana Slugs Grant Gravallese '22 [1-12] Kathryn Lewis '22 [1-2, 5-12]
Jeremy Burke '20 [3-4]
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Alejandro Endres '23 David Harlin '21
Bronchos Jacob Beesley '22 Jean Paul Drapeau '22
University of North Texas University of North Texas Meri Keskimaula '22 [1-12] Brendan Frederick '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Daniel Leffman '23 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Mean Green Emma Cooledge '20 Johnathan Henkel '20
University of Texas University of Texas Ota Dvorak '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Frederik Winguth '21 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]		 Vojtech Pavlis '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Warren Wegener '23 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Longhorns John Mason '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Clayton Lawrence '20 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]		 Thomas Norman '23 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Etienne Black '23 [3-4]
Dante Alibrio '23 [7-8, 11-12]
University of Texas University of Texas Karina Bertelsmann '22 [1-12] Lillian Andersen '21 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Allie Gretzinger '21 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Longhorns Women Gabriella Wong '20 [1-12] Taima Crean '22 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Mckenzie Kotara '21 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]

Conditions — 02/08/2020 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 90%  ·  Pressure 1022.2 hPa

Temperature

60°F
↑ 62°F   ↓ 57°F
Feels like 57°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.4 kn
avg  ·  max 12.4 kn
Gusts to 20.8 kn
From ENE (70°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover21% Sunshine9.9 hrs Humidity90% Pressure1022.2 hPa Rain0.07 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 13 kn · SE 16 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Texas A&M Galveston: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.21)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.33
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.31 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.21 means a rating gap counts about 19% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Texas A&M Galveston by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (29 labelled days at Texas A&M Galveston).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →