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SAISA North Points #3

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 8 5 13
2 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 8 7 15
3 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 8 10 18
4 Wake Forest University Wake Forest University Demon Deacons 11 14 25
5 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 10 17 27
6 Bulldogs Bulldogs Bulldogs 18 17 35
7 Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 25 14 39
8 Georgia Southern University Georgia Southern University Eagles 21 24 45
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 3 3 2 8 Emilia Giovine '22
Matthew Conder '23
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 4 1 3 8 Ian Street '23
Jessica Craft '21
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 5 2 1 8 Cole Woerner '22
Abigail Crombie '21
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 1 5 4 10 Harrison Bailey '23
Jacqueline Cherry '22
Wake Forest University Wake Forest University Demon Deacons 2 4 5 11 Matthew Sparacio '22
Josephine Levy '22
Bulldogs Bulldogs Bulldogs 6 6 6 18
Georgia Southern University Georgia Southern University Eagles 7 7 7 21 No Show [1-2]
Cade Hughes '22 [3]
Davis Hayes '22 [1-3]
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 8 DNF 8 25 Kamran Kangal '21
Adam Danielski '22
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 1 1 3 5 Sarah Deloach '21
Nicols Ryan '22
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 3 3 1 7 Maggie Royal '20
Johanna Tomkiewicz '20
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 6 2 2 10 Walker Mullin '23
Meghan Gamble '23
Wake Forest University Wake Forest University Demon Deacons 2 7 5 14 James Sowa '20
Harrison Popp '20
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 5 5 4 14 Sara Boyd '22
Caledonia Richey '23
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 4 6 7 17 Samuel Marcom '22
Sarah Childs '21
Bulldogs Bulldogs Bulldogs 7 4 6 17
Georgia Southern University Georgia Southern University Eagles 8 8 8 24 Joseph Lane '23
Sidnie Gothard '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (12 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers111
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers222
BulldogsBulldogs Bulldogs666
Georgia Southern UniversityGeorgia Southern University Eagles444
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets333
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack555
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks777
Wake Forest UniversityWake Forest University Demon Deacons888

Division B

Team1B2B3B
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers222
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers333
BulldogsBulldogs Bulldogs777
Georgia Southern UniversityGeorgia Southern University Eagles555
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets444
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack666
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks888
Wake Forest UniversityWake Forest University Demon Deacons111

Conditions — 03/07/2020 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 47%  ·  Pressure 1030.7 hPa

Temperature

48°F
↑ 56°F   ↓ 34°F
Feels like 43°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.1 kn
avg  ·  max 5.2 kn
Gusts to 13.2 kn
From ENE (59°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover2% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity47% Pressure1030.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 6 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Clemson: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.02 ± 0.33)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Clemson by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (15 labelled days at Clemson).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →