Harris Kempner Memorial Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 1 8 6 14
2 University of North Texas University of North Texas Mean Green 1 14 27 41
3 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 27 18 45
4 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 27 26 53
5 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 2 28 30 58
6 Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 34 33 67
7 University of North Texas University of North Texas Mean Green 2 35 39 74
8 University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Bronchos 45 39 84
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 8 John Mason '23
Leigha Forrest '24
University of North Texas University of North Texas Mean Green 1 3 2 1 1 4 3 14 Taylor Snyder '24
Dutch Byerly '24
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 6 5 5 5 2 4 27 Brandon Foster '23 [1-2]
Gunnar Pierson '24 [3-6]
John Mcqueen '25 [1-2]
Nathan Henderson '25 [3-6]
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 8 8 3 3 3 2 27 Jared Williams '22 [1-2]
Roberto Martelli '24 [3-6]
Justin Kavalan '22 [1-2]
Jared Williams '22 [3-6]
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 2 5 4 4 4 5 6 28 Thomas Norman '23
Etienne Black '23
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 2 3 7 7 7 8 34 Emily Gaskins '25 [1-6]
Butterfly Brooks '25 [1-4]
Madeleine Adams '22 [5-6]
University of North Texas University of North Texas Mean Green 2 4 6 6 6 6 7 35 Timothy Verriere '24
Gavin Garcia '24
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Bronchos 7 7 DNS DNS 8 5 45 Olivia Miller '23
Peyton Miller '24
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 6 Karina Bertelsmann '22 [1-6]
Sophia Herrada '24 [1-4]
Lillian Egan '23 [5-6]
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1 2 3 3 3 3 4 18 Jason Elliott '25
Caleb Reutener '24
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets DNS DNS 2 2 2 2 26 Lauren Mellinger '25 [1-6]
Roberto Martelli '24 [1-2]
Justin Kavalan '22 [3-6]
University of North Texas University of North Texas Mean Green 1 6 4 4 4 4 5 27 Jamie Weston '22
Rohit Rajan '26
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 2 3 2 7 6 6 6 30 Taima Crean '22 [1-6]
Warren Wegener '23 [1-4]
Daisy Prince '25 [5-6]
Texas A&M University at Galveston Texas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2 4 6 8 7 5 3 33 Cecillia Siegel '25 [1-2, 4-6]
Alyssa Lawton '25 [3]
Madeline Sunshine '25 [1-2, 5-6]
Cecillia Siegel '25 [3]
Alyssa Lawton '25 [4]
University of North Texas University of North Texas Mean Green 2 5 5 5 8 8 8 39 Erik Ardovino '25
Daniel Leffman '23
University of Central Oklahoma University of Central Oklahoma Bronchos 7 7 6 5 7 7 39 Catherine Bruce '23
Ana Savva Garcia '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (26 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
University of Central OklahomaUniversity of Central Oklahoma Bronchos445566
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets112233
University of North TexasUniversity of North Texas Mean Green 1556677
University of North TexasUniversity of North Texas Mean Green 2667788
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 1778811
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 2881122
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1223344
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2334455

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
University of Central OklahomaUniversity of Central Oklahoma Bronchos445566
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets112233
University of North TexasUniversity of North Texas Mean Green 1556677
University of North TexasUniversity of North Texas Mean Green 2667788
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 1778811
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns 2881122
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 1223344
Texas A&M University at GalvestonTexas A&M University at Galveston Aggies 2334455

Conditions — 02/12/2022 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 84%  ·  Pressure 1021.1 hPa

Temperature

58°F
↑ 61°F   ↓ 51°F
Feels like 52°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
15.2 kn
avg  ·  max 27.8 kn
Gusts to 40.0 kn
From NNW (348°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover77% Sunshine6.9 hrs Humidity84% Pressure1021.1 hPa Rain0.10 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 11 kn · N 15 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Texas A&M Galveston: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.11)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.15 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.26
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.43 ± 0.19)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 10% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Texas A&M Galveston by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (29 labelled days at Texas A&M Galveston).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →