SAISA North Points #3

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 The Citadel The Citadel Bulldogs 9 10 19
2 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 17 6 23
3 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 18 17 35
4 Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 11 29 40
5 The Citadel The Citadel Corps 32 10 42
6 University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 8 42 50
7 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 33 20 53
8 University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 28 33 61
9 Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt University Commodores 35 28 63
10 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 37 27 64
11 Tar Heels Tar Heels Tar Heels 36 45 81
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 4 1 2 1 8 James Thurlow '24
Haley Pepper '24
The Citadel The Citadel Bulldogs 1 4 1 3 9 Gregory Walters '24
Kingsland Bland '23
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 3 2 4 2 11 Sara Boyd '22
Ashlyn Cowgill '23
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 5 5 3 4 17 Nilah Miller '25
Ian Bosse '25
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 2 3 7 6 18 Roberto Martelli '24
Hector Mur Lopez '25
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 9 8 6 5 28 Katie Kellam '23 [1-3]
Jake Tipper '24 [4]
Brigitte Lueder '25 [1-3]
Cason Smith '20 [4]
The Citadel The Citadel Corps 6 7 10 9 32 Nicholas Deconto '25
Madison Henning '25
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 8 10 5 10 33 Blake Daniel '23
Blaine Garner '25
Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt University Commodores 7 6 11 11 35 Jack Dalton '25 [1-2]
Garrison Clower '24 [3-4]
Aidan Murphy '25 [1-2]
Tar Heels Tar Heels Tar Heels 10 11 8 7 36
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 11 9 9 8 37 Nevin Williams '24 [1-4]
Rebecca Koch '25 [1-2]
Joey Dunn '25 [3-4]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 1 1 2 2 6 William Turner '24 [1-3]
Samantha Bialek '24 [4]
Ella Smith '24 [1-3]
The Citadel The Citadel Corps 2 4 1 3 10 Malcolm Mcalister '23
Carolyn Staples '25
The Citadel The Citadel Bulldogs 4 2 3 1 10 Lewis Bragg '25
Brooke Cheatham '23
Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 3 3 5 6 17 Isabelle Pobanz '23 [1-3]
Tan Tonge '22 [4]
Shannon Mcgrane '23 [1-3]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 6 5 4 5 20 Campbell Tate '23
Jacob Friend '25
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 5 8 6 8 27 Christine Moore '24
Sydney Mitchell '23
Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt University Commodores 8 7 9 4 28 Pax Poggi '25
Riley Oxnard '23
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 7 6 7 9 29 Carter Adams '24 [1-3]
Michael Zeller '24 [4]
Michael Zeller '24 [1-3]
Ashlyn Cowgill '23 [4]
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 9 9 8 7 33 Samuel Trimble '24
Benjamin Weatherly '25
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks DNF 10 10 10 42 Peter Chao '22
Cristina Kuta '23
Tar Heels Tar Heels Tar Heels DNF 11 11 11 45
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2021 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers1133
The CitadelThe Citadel Bulldogs5577
The CitadelThe Citadel Corps6688
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers2244
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs7799
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets3355
Tar HeelsTar Heels Tar Heels881010
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack4466
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks101011
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks991111
Vanderbilt UniversityVanderbilt University Commodores111122

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers2244
The CitadelThe Citadel Bulldogs6688
The CitadelThe Citadel Corps7799
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers3355
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs881010
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets4466
Tar HeelsTar Heels Tar Heels991111
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack5577
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks111122
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks101011
Vanderbilt UniversityVanderbilt University Commodores1133

Conditions — 03/05/2022 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 70%  ·  Pressure 1029.0 hPa

Temperature

58°F
↑ 66°F   ↓ 44°F
Feels like 56°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.8 kn
avg  ·  max 5.2 kn
Gusts to 13.8 kn
From SE (134°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover89% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity70% Pressure1029.0 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Clemson: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.11 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.09
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.04 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Clemson by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (15 labelled days at Clemson).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →