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Tommie Cup

Analysis
# SchoolTeam TOT
1 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 68
2 University of Saint Thomas University of Saint Thomas Tommies 1 85
3 Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Lakers 153
4 University of Saint Thomas University of Saint Thomas Tommies 2 200
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers A 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 2 1 19 Hailey Feinzig '22
George Lockwood '25
University of Saint Thomas University of Saint Thomas Tommies 1 A 1 4 3 4 2 2 2 2 1 1 4 4 1 6 37 Rachel Bartel '24
Conall Lynch '24
University of Saint Thomas University of Saint Thomas Tommies 1 B 5 2 5 7 3 3 3 4 3 3 2 2 4 2 48 Greg Bittle '25 [1-14]
Meriah Kirschstein '24 [1-4, 7-14]
Livia Wagner '24 [5-6]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers B 2 5 2 2 4 5 4 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 49 Nicole Giuliani '24
Benjamin Weinstein '23
Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Lakers A 4 3 4 3 5 4 5 7 5 5 5 6 5 4 65 Sarah Corder '23
Audrey Whitaker '23
University of Saint Thomas University of Saint Thomas Tommies 2 A 8 7 8 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 7 5 88 Philip Thoma '23
Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Lakers B 6 6 6 5 7 7 7 3 7 7 7 7 6 7 88 No Show
Garrett Szlachta '25
University of Saint Thomas University of Saint Thomas Tommies 2 B 7 8 7 8 8 8 DNF DNS 8 8 8 8 8 8 112 Philip Thoma '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2022 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A
Grand Valley State UniversityGrand Valley State University Lakers11223344556677
University of Saint ThomasUniversity of Saint Thomas Tommies 122118877665544
University of Saint ThomasUniversity of Saint Thomas Tommies 233445566778811
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers44332211887766

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B
Grand Valley State UniversityGrand Valley State University Lakers55667788112233
University of Saint ThomasUniversity of Saint Thomas Tommies 166554433221188
University of Saint ThomasUniversity of Saint Thomas Tommies 277881122334455
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers88776655443322

Conditions — 05/07/2022 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 48%  ·  Pressure 1012.2 hPa

Temperature

64°F
↑ 69°F   ↓ 53°F
Feels like 59°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.0 kn
avg  ·  max 12.5 kn
Gusts to 27.2 kn
From SSE (148°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover8% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity48% Pressure1012.2 hPa

What this breeze does at Saint Thomas — from fleet racing

Breeze: SE about 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In fleet races at Saint Thomas in this breeze: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Favourites’ conditions: in fleet racing here the results follow the ratings more closely than usual, and the top seeds hold their places.

Orderliness is how tightly a fleet race’s finishing order follows the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0): positive is the favourites’ day, negative the underdogs’. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day. This event is not a fleet race the rating model scores, so there is no actual value for it: this is what this venue’s fleet racing history says about the breeze on the day, read off the chart at the star. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Saint Thomas by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (no labelled days at Saint Thomas: the all-venue pattern is shown).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →