Navigate

Lake Norman Open Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 11 8 19
2 University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Tar Heels 35 19 54
3 University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 30 32 62
4 University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 18 44 62
5 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 33 37 70
6 Wake Forest University Wake Forest University Demon Deacons 46 39 85
7 University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 54 46 100
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 2 2 1 2 1 1 1 1 11 Harrison Thomson '26
Brylie Schaubach '26
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 4 1 2 3 2 2 2 2 18 David Manley '23
Nicholas Rinderle '26
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 1 4 4 5 3 6 4 3 30 Nicholas Patin '26
Christine Moore '24
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 3 5 3 4 4 5 3 6 33 Will Finch '24
Weatherley Tripp '23
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Tar Heels 5 3 5 1 5 4 DNF 4 35 Kathleen Hale '26
John Cole Mcgee '26
Wake Forest University Wake Forest University Demon Deacons 6 6 6 6 6 3 DNF 5 46 Johnny Perkins '25
Catherine Carpenter '23
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 7 7 7 7 7 7 5 7 54 Emma Pope '25
Matthew Mcelroy '25
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
College of Charleston College of Charleston Cougars 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 8 Eliott Raison '26
Paige Lubrano '26
University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Tar Heels 3 2 2 2 4 2 2 2 19 Francis "Mac" Humphrey '26
Anna Sems '26
University of North Carolina at Wilmington University of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks 2 6 3 3 6 4 5 3 32 Hailey Hathaway '26
Sydney Mitchell '23
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 4 5 7 5 5 3 3 5 37 Tucker Parks '25 [1-8]
Madeline Nusbaum '25 [1-6]
Blaine Garner '25 [7-8]
Wake Forest University Wake Forest University Demon Deacons 5 3 4 6 2 5 6 DNF 39 Mary Outland '25
Georgia Duncan '25
University of South Carolina University of South Carolina Gamecocks 6 4 5 4 7 7 7 4 44 Robert Gates '26
Tyler Williams '26
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 7 7 6 7 3 6 4 6 46 Garrett Holt '24
Gabrielle Moss '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.100+0.10
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2023 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars77777777
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs33333333
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina Tar Heels55555555
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack44444444
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks88888888
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks11111111
Wake Forest UniversityWake Forest University Demon Deacons66666666

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
College of CharlestonCollege of Charleston Cougars8787878787878787
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs8888888888888888
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina Tar Heels2424242424242424
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack8484848484848484
University of South CarolinaUniversity of South Carolina Gamecocks66666666
University of North Carolina at WilmingtonUniversity of North Carolina at Wilmington Seahawks5757575757575757
Wake Forest UniversityWake Forest University Demon Deacons3636363636363636

Conditions — 03/18/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 41%  ·  Pressure 1012.8 hPa

Temperature

48°F
↑ 54°F   ↓ 38°F
Feels like 41°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.9 kn
avg  ·  max 8.4 kn
Gusts to 17.5 kn
From NW (308°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover64% Sunshine9.0 hrs Humidity41% Pressure1012.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Wake Forest: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.11
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.13 ± 0.17)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Wake Forest by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 1 labelled days at Wake Forest, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →