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Old Florida

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 10 8 18
2 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 7 13 20
3 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 9 12 21
4 University of Central Florida University of Central Florida Knights 15 19 34
5 Rollins College Rollins College Tars 22 12 34
6 University of Florida University of Florida Gators 22 23 45
7 University of Florida University of Florida Orange & Blue 27 25 52
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 1 2 1 3 7 Josh Becher '26
Eva Klovatskiy '26
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 5 1 2 1 9 Erik Volk '23
Sarah Percy '26
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 2 3 3 2 10 Joe Seiffert '25
Elizabeth Williamson '26
University of Central Florida University of Central Florida Knights 3 4 4 4 15 Hudson Jenkins '25
Eric Bonifacic '25
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 4 6 6 6 22 Connor Teague '23
Emme Santayana '24
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 7 5 5 5 22 Ava Moring '25
Sophia Ward '24
University of Florida University of Florida Orange & Blue 6 7 7 7 27 Sean Sorrick '23
Andres Ruisanchez '24
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
Jacksonville University Jacksonville University Fins 1 4 1 2 8 Thomas Pappas '25
Rylie Garcia-Studdard '26
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 3 2 4 3 12 Timothy Brustoski '24
Madisen Hamai '26
Rollins College Rollins College Tars 5 1 2 4 12 Ka Hamner '26
Jonas Urban '23
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 2 3 3 5 13 Andrew Engel '26
Olivia Campmany '25
University of Central Florida University of Central Florida Knights 6 5 7 1 19 Julian Larsen '26
Thomas Ingram '26
University of Florida University of Florida Gators 4 6 6 7 23 Marco Distel '25
Rebekka Perinne '26
University of Florida University of Florida Orange & Blue 7 7 5 6 25 Caroline Dooren '26
Chandler Wiggins '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2012 (15 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators4446
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Orange & Blue5557
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins1113
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes6661
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars2224
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls7772
University of Central FloridaUniversity of Central Florida Knights3335

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Gators5555
University of FloridaUniversity of Florida Orange & Blue6666
Jacksonville UniversityJacksonville University Fins2222
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes7777
Rollins CollegeRollins College Tars3333
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls1111
University of Central FloridaUniversity of Central Florida Knights4444

Conditions — 03/04/2023 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 76%  ·  Pressure 1012.8 hPa

Temperature

76°F
↑ 80°F   ↓ 72°F
Feels like 78°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.1 kn
avg  ·  max 11.8 kn
Gusts to 27.2 kn
From WSW (243°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover77% Sunshine8.7 hrs Humidity76% Pressure1012.8 hPa Rain0.14 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Florida: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.17)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.07 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.24
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.41 ± 0.27)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.17 means a rating gap counts about 15% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Florida by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Florida, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →