Tennessee, Alabama, Georgia (TAG) Trophy Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Sewanee University of the South Sewanee University of the South Tigers 3 3 6
2 Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt University Commodores 9 7 16
3 University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 9 8 17
4 Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 10 14 24
5 University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 14 14 28
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Sewanee University of the South Sewanee University of the South Tigers 1 1 1 3 Heyward Main '23
Michael Edge '25
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 2 2 5 9 Sarah Weese '24
Madeline Shepard '24
Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt University Commodores 4 3 2 9 Pranjal Singh '26
Emily Ladines '23
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers 3 4 3 10 Joaquin Marquez '24
Conlan Ridgeway '23
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 5 5 4 14 Crispin Martin '25
Anna Pierce '24
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Sewanee University of the South Sewanee University of the South Tigers 1 1 1 3 Graham Cosby '26
Kendall Buck '24
Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt University Commodores 3 2 2 7 Eli Lapkin '23
Riley Oxnard '23
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 2 3 3 8 Garrett Holt '24
Gabrielle Moss '23
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 4 5 5 14 Patrick Winecoff '25
Myles King '26
Auburn University Auburn University Tigers DNS 4 4 14 Christian Pegouske '23
Davis Nelson '23
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers111
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs333
Sewanee University of the SouthSewanee University of the South Tigers222
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers444
Vanderbilt UniversityVanderbilt University Commodores555

Division B

Team1B2B3B
Auburn UniversityAuburn University Tigers222
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs444
Sewanee University of the SouthSewanee University of the South Tigers333
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers555
Vanderbilt UniversityVanderbilt University Commodores111

Conditions — 03/25/2023 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Mainly clear
Humidity 53%  ·  Pressure 1007.9 hPa

Temperature

69°F
↑ 73°F   ↓ 61°F
Feels like 63°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
13.5 kn
avg  ·  max 17.0 kn
Gusts to 31.5 kn
From SW (229°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover30% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity53% Pressure1007.9 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 16 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Tennessee: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.11)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.14 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.25
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.21 ± 0.39)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 9% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Tennessee by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Tennessee, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →