Navigate

Tiger Town Trophy

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Clemson University Clemson University Orange 8 4 12
2 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 5 9 14
3 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 1 9 5 14
4 Georgia Institute of Technology Georgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets 11 14 25
5 University of North Carolina University of North Carolina Tar Heels 16 15 31
6 Clemson University Clemson University Tigers 2 19 16 35
7 University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 17 21 38
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2019 (12 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
Clemson UniversityClemson University Orange222
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers 1333
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers 2444
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs777
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets555
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina Tar Heels888
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack666

Division B

Team1B2B3B
Clemson UniversityClemson University Orange333
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers 1444
Clemson UniversityClemson University Tigers 2555
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs888
Georgia Institute of TechnologyGeorgia Institute of Technology Yellow Jackets666
University of North CarolinaUniversity of North Carolina Tar Heels222
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack777

Conditions — 03/11/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 58%  ·  Pressure 1013.8 hPa

Temperature

52°F
↑ 58°F   ↓ 41°F
Feels like 48°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.1 kn
avg  ·  max 4.0 kn
Gusts to 11.3 kn
From SSE (147°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover84% Sunshine8.3 hrs Humidity58% Pressure1013.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 4 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Clemson: an underdogs’ day (−0.09)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.15 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.18 ± 0.26)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.09 means a rating gap counts about 8% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Clemson by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (15 labelled days at Clemson).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →