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Jeff Simon Memorial Regatta - Women's 2.0

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 1 3 3 6
2 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 2 6 7 13
3 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 10 12 22
4 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 16 8 24
5 Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 13 16 29
6 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 21 20 41
7 Tritons Tritons Tritons 35 MRP 38 MRP 73 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 1 1 1 1 3 Mercy Tangredi '25
Morgan Carew '25
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 2 2 2 2 6 Martha Schuessler '27
Peyton Lieser '26
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 3 4 3 10 Molly Coghlin '25
Mia Kotelec '25
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 4 5 4 13 Sadie Hoberman '25
Gillian Cate '25
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 5 6 5 16 Victoria Chen '25
Fiona Wu '25
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 7 7 7 21 Katherine Smith '24 [1-3]
Fadia Nitrosso '24 [1-2]
Athena Mo '27 [3]
Tritons Tritons Tritons 6 3 6 35 MRP

Conditions — 01/28/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 48%  ·  Pressure 1019.5 hPa

Temperature

64°F
↑ 70°F   ↓ 51°F
Feels like 61°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.5 kn
avg  ·  max 5.9 kn
Gusts to 11.7 kn
From W (272°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover99% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity48% Pressure1019.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at UC San Diego: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.12)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.47 ± 0.29)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.12 means a rating gap counts about 10% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at UC San Diego by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (21 labelled days at UC San Diego).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →