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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Husky One 17 12 29
2 Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 35 25 60
3 Indiana University Indiana University Hoosiers 47 46 93
4 Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 47 50 97
5 Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Lakers 56 63 119
6 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 2 66 54 120
7 Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 71 80 151
8 Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 52 112 164
9 Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 99 74 173
10 Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University Wildcats 93 80 173
11 Saint Mary's College Saint Mary's College Belles 115 79 194
12 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 1 97 110 207
13 University of Iowa University of Iowa Hawkeyes 120 137 257
14 Saginaw Valley State University Saginaw Valley State University Cardinals 136 128 264
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Husky One 1 1 4 4 2 1 1 1 1 1 17 Andrew Michels '25
Cecilia Dietsch '26
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 4 3 1 1 8 5 3 2 6 2 35 Mason Shaw '26 [1-10]
Benjamin Conrad '26 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Melissa Driscoll '24 [3-4, 7-8]
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 5 4 2 8 7 3 5 6 2 5 47 Monika Torkos '27
Caden Meyers '27
Indiana University Indiana University Hoosiers 6 6 7 2 4 4 2 4 5 7 47 Daniel De La Vega Iii '25
William Beckman '25
Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 2 8 6 10 1 8 7 3 3 4 52 Jennifer Falkner '24 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Jack Bergman '24 [3-4, 7-8]
Jack Rutherford '25 [1-6]
Caroline Henry '27 [7-10]
Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Lakers 3 2 10 5 5 2 8 8 7 6 56 Carly Irwin '25
Gabriella Thomas '25
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 2 7 5 3 3 6 12 6 5 8 11 66 River Servia '27
Gabe Lynch '26
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 8 7 9 9 3 9 4 DSQ 4 3 71 Gavin Holmes '27 [1-10]
Patrick Wu '24 [1-4, 7-8]
Kai Redler '25 [5-6, 9-10]
Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University Wildcats 12 11 8 6 10 6 10 10 12 8 93 Lawrence Busse '26 [1-10]
Heather Barry '26 [1-2]
Erica Burcar '27 [3-10]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 1 10 9 5 11 13 11 11 9 9 9 97 Andrew Beute '27
Noah Rios '27
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 11 12 11 13 9 7 9 7 10 10 99 Keegan Aerts '25 [1-4, 7-10]
William O'Haver '27 [5-6]
Evan Simpson '26 [1-10]
Saint Mary's College Saint Mary's College Belles 13 13 12 7 12 10 12 13 11 12 115 Emmalyn Holmquist '26
Sailor Somerville '26
University of Iowa University of Iowa Hawkeyes 9 10 14 12 11 13 13 12 13 13 120 Maggie Lennon '26 [1-10]
Jacqueline Jollay '26 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Edwin Tjardes '28 [3-4, 7-8]
Saginaw Valley State University Saginaw Valley State University Cardinals 14 14 13 14 14 14 14 11 14 14 136 Adam Bryan '26 [1-10]
Natalie Wiles '26 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Elijah Sylvester '26 [3-4, 7-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Husky One 1 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 12 Lucas Rodenroth '27 [1-10]
Sophia Jaeger '24 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
William Blacketor '24 [3-4, 7-8]
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 2 1 2 2 3 3 2 4 3 3 25 Emily Williams '25 [1-10]
Quinn Schwarz '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Emma Leidheiser '27 [3-4, 7-8]
Indiana University Indiana University Hoosiers 10 4 3 5 5 4 3 5 5 2 46 Zander West '26 [1-10]
Anya Gustafson '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Weston Rapp '27 [3-4, 7-8]
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 5 5 4 4 2 6 8 9 2 5 50 Ella Beck '26
Spencer Margolis '26
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 2 4 2 5 3 4 2 9 3 11 11 54 John Mccalmont '27
Maya Dunn '25
Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Lakers 9 8 7 7 10 8 4 2 4 4 63 Reid Kwiatkowski '26 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Garrett Szlachta '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Reed Rossell '25 [1-2]
Margaret Redinger '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Bryce Koopman '24 [5-6, 9-10]
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 3 9 9 6 9 5 10 8 7 8 74 Jack Charlton '27 [1-10]
Emily Edwards '26 [1-2, 7-10]
Lucas Posthumus Meyjes '27 [3-6]
Saint Mary's College Saint Mary's College Belles 7 6 10 9 6 9 6 7 9 10 79 Natalia Luna '24
Molly Strabley-Temple '27
Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University Wildcats 6 7 8 13 7 7 7 13 6 6 80 Julia Janssen '25
Ella Parker '25
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 8 11 6 8 8 11 5 6 10 7 80 Mathis Destouches '25
Jon Hurley '25
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 1 12 12 13 10 12 12 11 11 8 9 110 Max Mccumber '27
Connor Anderson '27
Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 11 10 12 12 11 10 12 10 12 12 112 Kent Colbrunn '24 [1-10]
Matthew Daub '27 [1-6]
Anna Olsen '27 [7-10]
Saginaw Valley State University Saginaw Valley State University Cardinals 13 13 11 11 13 13 14 14 13 13 128 Piper Luke '26 [1-10]
Madison Koscielski '26 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Claire Devoogd '26 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Iowa University of Iowa Hawkeyes 14 14 14 14 14 14 13 12 14 14 137 John Woodward '26 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Zachary Warren '26 [3-4, 7-8]
Alana Just '25 [1-2, 9-10]
Sara Machtel '26 [3-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
Grand Valley State UniversityGrand Valley State University Lakers1133557799
Hope CollegeHope College Flying Dutchmen224466881010
Indiana UniversityIndiana University Hoosiers335577991111
University of IowaUniversity of Iowa Hawkeyes12121414113355
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines 113131515224466
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines 2141411335577
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans44668810101212
Michigan Technological UniversityMichigan Technological University Husky One55779911111313
Northern Michigan UniversityNorthern Michigan University Wildcats6688101012121414
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes7799111113131515
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers8810101212141411
Saginaw Valley State UniversitySaginaw Valley State University Cardinals9911111313151522
Saint Mary's CollegeSaint Mary's College Belles1010121214141133
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Broncos151522446688

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
Grand Valley State UniversityGrand Valley State University Lakers224466881010
Hope CollegeHope College Flying Dutchmen335577991111
Indiana UniversityIndiana University Hoosiers44668810101212
University of IowaUniversity of Iowa Hawkeyes13131515224466
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines 1141411335577
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines 2151522446688
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans55779911111313
Michigan Technological UniversityMichigan Technological University Husky One6688101012121414
Northern Michigan UniversityNorthern Michigan University Wildcats7799111113131515
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes8810101212141411
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers9911111313151522
Saginaw Valley State UniversitySaginaw Valley State University Cardinals1010121214141133
Saint Mary's CollegeSaint Mary's College Belles1111131315152244
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Broncos1133557799
School / Team SkipperCrew
Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Carly Irwin '25 Gabriella Thomas '25
Lakers Reid Kwiatkowski '26 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Garrett Szlachta '25 [3-4, 7-8]		 Reed Rossell '25 [1-2]
Margaret Redinger '25 [3-4, 7-8]
Bryce Koopman '24 [5-6, 9-10]
Hope College Hope College Jennifer Falkner '24 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Jack Bergman '24 [3-4, 7-8]		 Jack Rutherford '25 [1-6]
Caroline Henry '27 [7-10]
Flying Dutchmen Kent Colbrunn '24 [1-10] Matthew Daub '27 [1-6]
Anna Olsen '27 [7-10]
Indiana University Indiana University Daniel De La Vega Iii '25 William Beckman '25
Hoosiers Zander West '26 [1-10] Anya Gustafson '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Weston Rapp '27 [3-4, 7-8]
Michigan State University Michigan State University Monika Torkos '27 Caden Meyers '27
Spartans Ella Beck '26 Spencer Margolis '26
Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Andrew Michels '25 Cecilia Dietsch '26
Husky One Lucas Rodenroth '27 [1-10] Sophia Jaeger '24 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
William Blacketor '24 [3-4, 7-8]
Northern Michigan University Northern Michigan University Lawrence Busse '26 [1-10] Heather Barry '26 [1-2]
Erica Burcar '27 [3-10]
Wildcats Julia Janssen '25 Ella Parker '25
Ohio State University Ohio State University Mason Shaw '26 [1-10] Benjamin Conrad '26 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Melissa Driscoll '24 [3-4, 7-8]
Buckeyes Emily Williams '25 [1-10] Quinn Schwarz '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Emma Leidheiser '27 [3-4, 7-8]
Purdue University Purdue University Gavin Holmes '27 [1-10] Patrick Wu '24 [1-4, 7-8]
Kai Redler '25 [5-6, 9-10]
Boilermakers Mathis Destouches '25 Jon Hurley '25
Saginaw Valley State University Saginaw Valley State University Adam Bryan '26 [1-10] Natalie Wiles '26 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Elijah Sylvester '26 [3-4, 7-8]
Cardinals Piper Luke '26 [1-10] Madison Koscielski '26 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Claire Devoogd '26 [3-4, 7-8]
Saint Mary's College Saint Mary's College Emmalyn Holmquist '26 Sailor Somerville '26
Belles Natalia Luna '24 Molly Strabley-Temple '27
University of Iowa University of Iowa Maggie Lennon '26 [1-10] Jacqueline Jollay '26 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Edwin Tjardes '28 [3-4, 7-8]
Hawkeyes John Woodward '26 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Zachary Warren '26 [3-4, 7-8]		 Alana Just '25 [1-2, 9-10]
Sara Machtel '26 [3-8]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Andrew Beute '27 Noah Rios '27
Wolverines 1 Max Mccumber '27 Connor Anderson '27
University of Michigan University of Michigan River Servia '27 Gabe Lynch '26
Wolverines 2 John Mccalmont '27 Maya Dunn '25
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Keegan Aerts '25 [1-4, 7-10]
William O'Haver '27 [5-6]		 Evan Simpson '26 [1-10]
Broncos Jack Charlton '27 [1-10] Emily Edwards '26 [1-2, 7-10]
Lucas Posthumus Meyjes '27 [3-6]

Conditions — 04/13/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 50%  ·  Pressure 1017.1 hPa

Temperature

50°F
↑ 54°F   ↓ 40°F
Feels like 43°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.8 kn
avg  ·  max 10.3 kn
Gusts to 23.3 kn
From W (278°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover0% Sunshine10.9 hrs Humidity50% Pressure1017.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 12 kn · NW 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Grand Valley State: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.13 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.06
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.36 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 6% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Grand Valley State by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 4 labelled days at Grand Valley State, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →