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# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 13 29 42
2 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 32 26 58
3 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 1 43 33 76
4 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 2 26 57 83
5 Vikes 2 Vikes 2 Vikes 2 48 56 104
6 Vikes 1 Vikes 1 Vikes 1 66 43 109
7 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 67 49 116
8 Vikes 3 Vikes 3 Vikes 3 65 70 135
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 2 1 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 13 Nathan Gerber '26
Matthew Lindburg '25
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 2 4 3 1 2 2 3 2 5 2 2 26 Connor Smith '27
Emmanuella Partyka '25
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 1 2 4 4 3 2 3 4 5 4 32 Kurtis Johnston '26
Claire Jablonski '23
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 1 3 5 2 3 5 4 7 3 6 5 43 Ashley Ferriera '24
Angela Ying '25
Vikes 2 Vikes 2 Vikes 2 8 4 5 5 4 5 5 6 3 3 48
Vikes 3 Vikes 3 Vikes 3 5 7 6 8 8 8 6 2 8 7 65
Vikes 1 Vikes 1 Vikes 1 7 8 8 7 6 6 4 7 7 6 66
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 6 6 7 6 7 7 8 8 4 8 67 Jack Beeson '26
Faith Burton '26
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 TOT Sailors
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 2 1 2 4 1 1 1 7 4 3 26 Yuri Berebitsky '27
Lucas Schadewitz '24
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 5 3 1 2 3 3 4 6 1 1 29 Caroline Hurley '25
Calvin Blaser '25
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 1 3 2 4 1 2 2 7 4 2 6 33 Liv Middleton '26
Isabelle Heller '26
Vikes 1 Vikes 1 Vikes 1 6 4 5 6 5 6 5 1 3 2 43
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 1 DSQ 3 3 4 8 6 5 5 5 49 Allison Sasaki '24
Julia Grams '24
Vikes 2 Vikes 2 Vikes 2 8 6 7 7 8 4 3 3 6 4 56
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 2 4 5 6 5 7 5 8 2 8 7 57 Anthony Rizk '27
Emmanuella Partyka '25
Vikes 3 Vikes 3 Vikes 3 7 DNF 8 8 6 7 2 8 7 8 70
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 177778383848486868989
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 283838484868689899090
Vikes 1Vikes 1 Vikes 184848686898990909191
Vikes 2Vikes 2 Vikes 286868989909091919292
Vikes 3Vikes 3 Vikes 389899090919192927777
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 190909191929277778383
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 291919292777783838484
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 392927777838384848686

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 177778383848486868989
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 283838484868689899090
Vikes 1Vikes 1 Vikes 184848686898990909191
Vikes 2Vikes 2 Vikes 286868989909091919292
Vikes 3Vikes 3 Vikes 389899090919192927777
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 190909191929277778383
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 291919292777783838484
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 392927777838384848686

Conditions — 03/16/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 72%  ·  Pressure 1012.1 hPa

Temperature

77°F
↑ 82°F   ↓ 68°F
Feels like 80°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.7 kn
avg  ·  max 10.9 kn
Gusts to 20.8 kn
From SSE (163°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover80% Sunshine8.0 hrs Humidity72% Pressure1012.1 hPa Rain0.02 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 11 kn · N 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Victoria: an underdogs’ day (−0.05)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.10 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.05
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.51 ± 0.27)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Victoria by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 8 labelled days at Victoria, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →