1st Year Icebreaker

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 34 27 61
2 University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 45 42 87
3 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 29 67 96
4 Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Husky One 1 97 57 154
5 Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 80 80 160
6 Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 88 87 175
7 Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Husky One 2 86 100 186
8 Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 120 118 238
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 TOT Sailors
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 1 1 1 2 1 1 3 3 2 2 1 1 3 1 1 5 29 Ben Visco '28
Alexander Reynolds '28
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 2 2 3 1 2 3 2 1 1 1 2 2 2 4 2 4 34 Emerson Becker '28
Kayla Decker '27
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 3 3 2 3 3 2 1 2 3 3 3 5 1 2 3 6 45 Payden Pittman '28
Karina Roessig '28
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 5 6 5 7 4 4 5 4 6 5 6 4 4 3 5 7 80 Ryan Dodge '26
Talena Monasmith '26
Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Husky One 2 4 5 6 5 6 5 7 7 7 7 4 6 6 6 4 1 86 Alex Cross '28
Kaylie Simpson '28
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 7 4 4 4 7 7 4 5 5 8 5 8 7 5 6 2 88 Marko Nedeljkovic '28 [1-16]
Meg Tenpas '28 [1-6, 11-16]
Matthew Wreschinsky '27 [7-10]
Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Husky One 1 DNF 8 7 6 8 6 6 6 4 4 7 3 5 8 7 3 97 Joshua Hacker '28
David Derusha '28
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 6 7 8 8 5 8 8 8 DNF 6 DNF 7 8 7 8 8 120 Charlie Herman '28 [1-16]
Nathan Schomburg '28 [1-2, 5-6, 9-16]
Wyatt Swanson '28 [3-4, 7-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 R15 R16 TOT Sailors
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 1 4 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 3 3 1 1 3 27 Emma Hershey '27
Joe Stroup '27
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 2 1 2 2 4 5 3 1 3 3 4 1 1 4 5 1 42 Andrew Molinsky '27 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14]
Michael Cyrul '28 [3-4, 7-8, 15-16]
Chris Mikesell '28 [11-12]
Michael Cyrul '28 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14]
Andrew Molinsky '27 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12, 15-16]
Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Husky One 1 5 5 4 7 2 2 4 3 5 2 3 4 4 2 3 2 57 Gavin Parsons '28
Isabel Cross '28
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 4 2 3 4 5 7 5 5 1 4 2 DSQ 5 3 4 4 67 Connor Caplis '27 [1-4, 7-16]
Mia Pyenta '28 [5-6]
Mia Pyenta '28 [1-4, 7-12]
Ruby Davies '28 [5-6, 13-16]
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 6 6 5 6 3 3 2 6 6 7 8 7 2 5 2 6 80 Thomas Weykamp '28
George Prokop '28
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 3 3 8 3 7 4 6 4 7 6 7 2 7 7 6 7 87 Kate Heaman '28 [1-16]
Gissell Tellez '28 [1-12]
Matthew Wreschinsky '27 [13-16]
Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Husky One 2 8 7 6 5 6 6 7 7 4 5 6 5 8 8 7 5 100 Astrid Myhre '28
Charlie Munson '28
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 7 8 7 8 8 8 8 DNF 8 8 5 6 6 6 8 8 118 Elizabeth Lothian '27
Tessa Renyi '28
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2024 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A15A16A
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles1133557711335577
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines6688224466882244
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans2244668822446688
Michigan Technological UniversityMichigan Technological University Husky One 13355771133557711
Michigan Technological UniversityMichigan Technological University Husky One 24466882244668822
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish7711335577113355
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes5577113355771133
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Broncos8822446688224466

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B15B16B
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles2244668822446688
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines7711335577113355
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans3355771133557711
Michigan Technological UniversityMichigan Technological University Husky One 14466882244668822
Michigan Technological UniversityMichigan Technological University Husky One 25577113355771133
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish8822446688224466
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes6688224466882244
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Broncos1133557711335577
School / Team SkipperCrew
Marquette University Marquette University Charlie Herman '28 [1-16] Nathan Schomburg '28 [1-2, 5-6, 9-16]
Wyatt Swanson '28 [3-4, 7-8]
Golden Eagles Elizabeth Lothian '27 Tessa Renyi '28
Michigan State University Michigan State University Ryan Dodge '26 Talena Monasmith '26
Spartans Thomas Weykamp '28 George Prokop '28
Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Joshua Hacker '28 David Derusha '28
Husky One 1 Gavin Parsons '28 Isabel Cross '28
Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Alex Cross '28 Kaylie Simpson '28
Husky One 2 Astrid Myhre '28 Charlie Munson '28
Ohio State University Ohio State University Emerson Becker '28 Kayla Decker '27
Buckeyes Emma Hershey '27 Joe Stroup '27
University of Michigan University of Michigan Ben Visco '28 Alexander Reynolds '28
Wolverines Connor Caplis '27 [1-4, 7-16]
Mia Pyenta '28 [5-6]
Mia Pyenta '28 [1-4, 7-12]
Ruby Davies '28 [5-6, 13-16]
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Payden Pittman '28 Karina Roessig '28
Fighting Irish Andrew Molinsky '27 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14]
Michael Cyrul '28 [3-4, 7-8, 15-16]
Chris Mikesell '28 [11-12]
Michael Cyrul '28 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14]
Andrew Molinsky '27 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12, 15-16]
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Marko Nedeljkovic '28 [1-16] Meg Tenpas '28 [1-6, 11-16]
Matthew Wreschinsky '27 [7-10]
Broncos Kate Heaman '28 [1-16] Gissell Tellez '28 [1-12]
Matthew Wreschinsky '27 [13-16]

Conditions — 03/22/2025 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 63%  ·  Pressure 1016.5 hPa

Temperature

37°F
↑ 38°F   ↓ 35°F
Feels like 28°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.8 kn
avg  ·  max 9.8 kn
Gusts to 22.4 kn
From NW (316°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover75% Sunshine7.9 hrs Humidity63% Pressure1016.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 12 kn · S 13 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Notre Dame: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.11)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.12 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.22
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.12 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 9% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Notre Dame by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 9 labelled days at Notre Dame, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →