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Buckeye Invite Spring 2025

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 3 9 16 25
2 Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 1 16 22 38
3 Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 30 13 43
4 Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 4 34 34 68
5 Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 2 35 37 72
6 Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 44 46 90
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 3 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 9 Emerson Becker '28
Jillian Hickman '27
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 1 2 2 1 2 3 2 2 2 16 Nadia Reynolds '25
Molly Sheridan '25
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 4 4 4 3 4 4 3 4 30 Joseph Mowrey '25
Mathis Destouches '25
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 4 5 5 3 4 2 3 6 6 34 Michael Mignogna '27
Jackson Settecase '25
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 2 3 3 6 5 5 5 5 3 35 Alexa Hind '27
Hazel Zielinski '27
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 6 6 5 6 6 6 4 5 44 George Prokop '28 [1-8]
Niall Martin '26 [1-3, 7-8]
Spencer Margolis '26 [4-6]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 1 13 Nok In Chan '25 [1-8]
Jithnuka Samaraweera '25 [1-3]
Kai Redler '25 [4-8]
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 3 1 1 3 2 3 1 1 4 16 Emma Hershey '27
Savannah Shaw '28
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 1 3 3 1 3 4 3 3 2 22 Emily Williams '25
Emma Leidheiser '27
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 4 5 5 4 5 2 5 5 3 34 Dylan Jones '27
Joe Stroup '27
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 2 4 4 5 4 5 6 4 5 37 Alexandra Avery '26
Rachel Teets '25
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 6 6 6 6 6 4 6 6 46 Quinn Schwartz '25
David Ma '28
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans3355171733
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes 11414161618181414
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes 25517173355
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes 31616181814141616
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes 4171733551717
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers1818141416161818

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans1414161618181414
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes 15517173355
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes 21616181814141616
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes 3171733551717
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes 41818141416161818
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers3355171733

Conditions — 04/12/2025 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 55%  ·  Pressure 1021.8 hPa

Temperature

46°F
↑ 52°F   ↓ 32°F
Feels like 40°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.7 kn
avg  ·  max 8.1 kn
Gusts to 18.5 kn
From N (354°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover45% Sunshine10.2 hrs Humidity55% Pressure1021.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 8 kn · S 7 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Ohio State: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.15)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.06
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.46 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.15 means a rating gap counts about 13% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Ohio State by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 9 labelled days at Ohio State, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →