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2026 TAG State Championships

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 9 6 15
2 University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Smokies 24 14 38
3 Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt University Commodores 9 33 42
4 University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 24 22 46
5 University of Alabama University of Alabama Crimson Tide 28 22 50
6 University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Orange and White 36 31 67
7 University of Alabama University of Alabama The Capstone 40 41 81
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 1 2 1 2 1 2 9 Jack Riley '29
Tessa Sperry '29
Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt University Commodores 2 1 2 1 2 1 9 Pranjal Singh '26
Toby Grant-Valdez '26
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Smokies 4 5 5 4 3 3 24 Rebecca Mozingo '26
Howell Conrad '28
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 6 3 3 3 4 5 24 Buckley Wiley '29
Marin Faulkner '28
University of Alabama University of Alabama Crimson Tide 3 4 4 5 DNS 4 28 Baris Guney Kizilocak '27 [1-3]
Hayden Prior '28 [4-6]
Cra Knudson '28 [1-3]
Brian Mccarthy '28 [4-6]
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Orange and White 5 6 DNF 6 5 6 36 Rachel Shraga '28
Katy Stepenosky '28
University of Alabama University of Alabama The Capstone 7 7 6 7 6 7 40 Stephanie Griffin '28
Carson Wieghat '27
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Volunteers 1 1 1 1 1 1 6 Karina Nieting '29
Luke Russell '26
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Smokies 2 2 2 4 2 2 14 Erik Fontanella '28
Avery Padgett '29
University of Alabama University of Alabama Crimson Tide 3 5 3 2 5 4 22 Jack Ollis '27
Halee Vaughan '27
University of Georgia University of Georgia Bulldogs 4 4 5 3 3 3 22 Nate Wilson '28
Mariam Kalathil '27
University of Tennessee University of Tennessee Orange and White 5 3 4 6 6 7 31 Avery Roth '27
Jackson Matherly '27
Vanderbilt University Vanderbilt University Commodores 6 6 7 5 4 5 33 Haonan Wang '29
Allison Valji '29
University of Alabama University of Alabama The Capstone DNF 7 6 7 7 6 41 Reid Lomer '29
Benjamin Andrus '29
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2026 (1 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
University of AlabamaUniversity of Alabama Crimson Tide111333
University of AlabamaUniversity of Alabama The Capstone222444
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs333555
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Orange and White666111
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Smokies555777
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers444666
Vanderbilt UniversityVanderbilt University Commodores777222

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
University of AlabamaUniversity of Alabama Crimson Tide222444
University of AlabamaUniversity of Alabama The Capstone333555
University of GeorgiaUniversity of Georgia Bulldogs444666
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Orange and White777222
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Smokies666111
University of TennesseeUniversity of Tennessee Volunteers555777
Vanderbilt UniversityVanderbilt University Commodores111333

Conditions — 03/21/2026 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 67%  ·  Pressure 1014.4 hPa

Temperature

68°F
↑ 74°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 66°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.5 kn
avg  ·  max 8.8 kn
Gusts to 16.5 kn
From WSW (237°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover89% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity67% Pressure1014.4 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 12 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Tennessee: a favourites’ day (+0.05)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.19 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.24
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.35 ± 0.21)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.05 means a rating gap counts about 4% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Tennessee by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 3 labelled days at Tennessee, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →