University of California at Santa Cruz '26
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.99 (fleet 2.76) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.01 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 7–9 (44%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 | 2 | 7–9 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 2 graded regattas (16 matches) the record is 7–9 against 7.6 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−0.6). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 0 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-12 | PCCSC Carter Ford Open Team Race Championship | skipper | 2.23 | 1.99 | 2–7 | 2.3 | −0.24 | 0.1 | 75% |
| 2025-02-01 | Mustang Team Race | skipper | 1.90 | 1.64 | 5–2 | 5.3 | −0.26 | 0.1 | 79% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| UCSD Open | Skipper | A | 7 | 10.6 | 1.96 |
| Stoney Burke | Skipper | A | 10 | 8.6 | 1.95 |
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| PCCSC Mark Healy Open Fleet Race Championship | Skipper | A | 14 | 10.8 | 2.26 |
| Anteater Open | Skipper | A | 9 | 3.4 | 2.84 |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| West Coast Championships | Skipper | A | 9 | 6.3 | 3.46 |
| UCSD Open | Skipper | A | 9 | 4.9 | 3.06 |
| Kiara Broudy Memorial Regatta | Skipper | A | 8 | 2.1 | 3.53 |
| Fall Pacific Coast Championship | Skipper | A | 4 | 12.8 | 1.91 |
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| PCCSC South Designate 2025 | Skipper | A | 10 | 7.9 | 2.34 |
| PCCSC Carter Ford Open Team Race Championship | Skipper | TR | 9 | 22% | — |
| Mustang Team Race | Skipper | TR | 7 | 71% | — |
| Jeff Simon Memorial Regatta Coed | Skipper | A | 6 | 5.8 | 3.48 |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| UCSD Frosh Soph | Skipper | A | 8 | 2.4 | 3.18 |
| Kiara Broudy Memorial | Skipper | A | 9 | 1.4 | 4.06 |
| Fall Pacific Coast Championship | Skipper | A | 8 | 9.0 | 2.77 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
