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PCCSC Mark Healy Open Fleet Race Championship

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 46 48 94
2 San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 53 55 108
3 University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 65 71 136
4 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 92 89 181
5 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 113 82 195
6 California Poly Maritime Academy California Poly Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 122 74 196
7 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 151 96 247
8 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 128 130 258
9 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 119 144 263
10 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 106 161 267
11 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 133 136 269
12 University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 107 185 292
13 Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 152 148 300
14 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 161 169 330
15 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 218 141 359
16 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 202 186 388
17 California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 175 224 399
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 3 1 4 6 9 1 1 1 1 1 8 1 4 5 46 Lucas Woodworth '27
Amiya Stroumza '28
San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 1 3 1 4 7 7 5 3 6 4 2 8 1 1 53 Ian Nyenhuis '29
Sadie Marinerstein '28
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 4 2 10 3 6 2 4 5 3 3 10 2 9 2 65 Luke Harris '27
Ava Bergan '27
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 6 8 11 9 1 3 6 8 12 8 4 9 3 4 92 Henry Boeger '26
Kayla Spalding '28
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 2 7 15 14 4 12 7 4 8 5 7 7 11 3 106 Thomas Rudowicz '28
Mary Lucia Howald '27
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 5 12 12 1 5 8 11 16 4 2 1 6 12 12 107 Arin Bekem '26
Audrey Whitney '26
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 9 5 2 15 3 5 10 6 9 10 12 5 8 14 113 Leif Hauge '28 [1-12]
Alexander Turloff '27 [13-14]
Sofia Brown Patricio '28 [1-12]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 7 4 9 2 2 4 RDG 17 2 15 16 11 14 8 119 Erik Anderson '26
Amanda Turner '27
California Poly Maritime Academy California Poly Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 10 10 8 10 8 OCS 3 14 11 7 3 4 10 6 122 Nicholas Mueller '27
Chloe Hedge '29
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 12 9 7 11 12 15 2 10 10 9 5 12 5 9 128 Benjamin Stone '27
Jaya Wirth '27
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 11 15 3 13 15 6 12 7 7 11 11 13 2 7 133 Allie Shand '26 [1-14]
Zev Fort '29 [1-2]
Sophia Whitney Miller '27 [3-14]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 15 6 5 8 14 9 15 15 5 14 14 14 6 11 151 Brian Fitzsimmons '26
Emilia Mcnabb '28
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 8 11 6 12 10 11 9 13 13 13 13 16 7 10 152 Matt Grimsley '26
Max Herbreteau '28
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 13 14 14 5 11 10 13 12 14 16 6 3 15 15 161 Carsten Zieger '28 [1-14]
Annika Baumgartner '28 [1-6]
Bianca Weber '26 [7-14]
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 14 13 13 7 17 13 16 9 16 12 9 10 13 13 175 Sterling Maggard '27 [1-14]
Lauren Young '27 [1-12]
Kevin Gates '27 [13-14]
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 16 17 16 16 13 14 14 11 15 6 15 17 16 16 202 Hannah Welch '29
Dylan Zink '27
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 17 16 17 17 16 16 17 2 17 17 17 15 17 17 218 David Hervy '29
Samantha Katz '28
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 5 6 1 5 7 1 4 2 1 2 1 2 1 10 48 Thomas Whidden '28 [1-14]
Alexandra Jones '28 [1-8]
Caroline Geiger '28 [9-14]
San Diego State University San Diego State University Aztecs 11 1 2 3 1 6 1 1 8 1 6 1 10 3 55 Noah Nyenhuis '27
Lily Schweber '27
University of Southern California University of Southern California Trojans 1 2 8 6 8 4 16 3 2 3 3 7 7 1 71 Hudson Mayfield '27
Nicole Drake '28
California Poly Maritime Academy California Poly Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 6 4 3 2 13 2 3 9 6 4 RDG 9 2 6 74 Tate Oyler '29
Indigo Craig '29
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 5 7 1 5 5 5 8 16 6 7 5 6 4 82 Mary D’Arcy '26
Addison Dunn '28
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 3 3 10 8 9 3 6 RDG 10 14 2 4 3 8 89 Jonathan Seawards '26
Avalon Everett '27
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 4 8 4 4 4 13 2 4 3 7 5 11 11 16 96 Joaquin Desrochers '29
Eleanor Massey '28
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 7 11 9 9 2 7 11 5 5 8 12 16 13 15 130 Lhotse Rowell '28 [1-14]
Ava Butterfield '28 [1-6, 9-12]
Allegra Mcalpin '27 [7-8, 13-14]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Tritons 15 9 11 15 3 11 13 11 11 10 4 14 4 5 136 Mitchel Sanford '28 [1-4, 11-14]
Brendan O'Connor '27 [5-10]
Maia Turner '28 [1-12]
Zev Fort '29 [13-14]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 12 16 15 12 15 10 12 12 4 5 11 3 5 9 141 Toby Bookman '29
Claire Wiley '27
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 9 13 5 11 10 8 8 15 14 11 13 12 8 7 144 Everett Mcavoy '26 [1-6, 9-14]
William Bagley '29 [7-8]
Alister Muto '29 [1-4]
Peyton Lieser '26 [5-6, 13-14]
Leila Landay '29 [7-12]
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 16 12 6 7 14 14 7 6 12 13 8 10 12 11 148 Juan Casal '27
Veja Zaprauskis '28
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 10 7 12 13 6 12 15 14 17 15 10 8 9 13 161 Brendan Connelly '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Thomas Hofer '29 [3-4, 7-14]
Conrad Kistler '26 [1-2, 5-6]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 13 15 17 10 OCS 17 10 13 7 9 17 6 15 2 169 Nathaniel Grinkrug '27
Gabriel Rousseau '27
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Anteaters 14 10 13 RAF 12 15 14 10 9 16 15 13 14 12 185 Kai Brennan '29
Keane Hana '27
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 8 14 16 14 11 9 9 16 13 12 16 17 17 14 186 Rowan Clinch '27 [1-4]
Reese Lieser '29 [5-14]
Reese Lieser '29 [1-4]
Rowan Clinch '27 [5-6]
Ryan Tuttle '27 [7-14]
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Dolphins 17 17 14 16 16 16 17 17 15 17 14 15 16 17 224 Luke Osborne '28 [1-8]
Soren Folgate '28 [9-14]
Gwennie Alldritt '28 [1-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.170+0.17
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils6969666668687070727274747676
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears7171737375753636777790906565
California Poly Maritime AcademyCalifornia Poly Maritime Academy Keelhaulers6666686870707272747476763535
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs6565676773737171737375753636
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins6767717171717373757536367777
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows3636777790906565676777777171
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks3535929269696666686870707272
San Diego State UniversitySan Diego State University Aztecs6868707072727474767635359292
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans7777909065656767363671717373
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal7070727274747676353592926969
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters7272747476763535929269696666
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins7373757536367777909065656767
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons7474767635359292696966666868
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos7575363677779090656567679090
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs7676353592926969666668687070
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies9292696966666868707072727474
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings9090656567677575717173737575

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B
Arizona State UniversityArizona State University Sun Devils6565676774747171737375753636
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears7272747476763535929269696666
California Poly Maritime AcademyCalifornia Poly Maritime Academy Keelhaulers6767727271717373757536367777
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs6666686870707272747476763535
California State University Channel IslandsCalifornia State University Channel Islands Dolphins6868707072727474767635359292
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows3535929269696666686870707272
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks7777909065656767353571717373
San Diego State UniversitySan Diego State University Aztecs7070717173737575363677779090
University of Southern CaliforniaUniversity of Southern California Trojans9292696966666868707072727474
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal7171737375753636777790906565
University of California at IrvineUniversity of California at Irvine Anteaters7373757536367777909065656767
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins7474767635359292696966666868
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Tritons7575363677779090656567676969
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos7676353592926969666668687070
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs3636777790906565676792927171
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies9090656567677676717173737575
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings6969666668687070727274747676
School / Team SkipperCrew
Arizona State University Arizona State University Matt Grimsley '26 Max Herbreteau '28
Sun Devils Juan Casal '27 Veja Zaprauskis '28
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. David Hervy '29 Samantha Katz '28
Mustangs Toby Bookman '29 Claire Wiley '27
California Poly Maritime Academy California Poly Maritime Academy Nicholas Mueller '27 Chloe Hedge '29
Keelhaulers Tate Oyler '29 Indigo Craig '29
California State University Channel Islands California State University Channel Islands Sterling Maggard '27 [1-14] Lauren Young '27 [1-12]
Kevin Gates '27 [13-14]
Dolphins Luke Osborne '28 [1-8]
Soren Folgate '28 [9-14]		 Gwennie Alldritt '28 [1-8]
San Diego State University San Diego State University Ian Nyenhuis '29 Sadie Marinerstein '28
Aztecs Noah Nyenhuis '27 Lily Schweber '27
Stanford University Stanford University Lucas Woodworth '27 Amiya Stroumza '28
Cardinal Thomas Whidden '28 [1-14] Alexandra Jones '28 [1-8]
Caroline Geiger '28 [9-14]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Carsten Zieger '28 [1-14] Annika Baumgartner '28 [1-6]
Bianca Weber '26 [7-14]
Bears Nathaniel Grinkrug '27 Gabriel Rousseau '27
University of California at Irvine University of California at Irvine Arin Bekem '26 Audrey Whitney '26
Anteaters Kai Brennan '29 Keane Hana '27
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Thomas Rudowicz '28 Mary Lucia Howald '27
Bruins Brendan Connelly '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Thomas Hofer '29 [3-4, 7-14]		 Conrad Kistler '26 [1-2, 5-6]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Allie Shand '26 [1-14] Zev Fort '29 [1-2]
Sophia Whitney Miller '27 [3-14]
Tritons Mitchel Sanford '28 [1-4, 11-14]
Brendan O'Connor '27 [5-10]		 Maia Turner '28 [1-12]
Zev Fort '29 [13-14]
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Henry Boeger '26 Kayla Spalding '28
Gauchos Jonathan Seawards '26 Avalon Everett '27
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Brian Fitzsimmons '26 Emilia Mcnabb '28
Banana Slugs Joaquin Desrochers '29 Eleanor Massey '28
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Erik Anderson '26 Amanda Turner '27
Rainbows Everett Mcavoy '26 [1-6, 9-14]
William Bagley '29 [7-8]		 Alister Muto '29 [1-4]
Peyton Lieser '26 [5-6, 13-14]
Leila Landay '29 [7-12]
University of Oregon University of Oregon Hannah Welch '29 Dylan Zink '27
Ducks Rowan Clinch '27 [1-4]
Reese Lieser '29 [5-14]		 Reese Lieser '29 [1-4]
Rowan Clinch '27 [5-6]
Ryan Tuttle '27 [7-14]
University of Southern California University of Southern California Luke Harris '27 Ava Bergan '27
Trojans Hudson Mayfield '27 Nicole Drake '28
University of Washington University of Washington Benjamin Stone '27 Jaya Wirth '27
Huskies Lhotse Rowell '28 [1-14] Ava Butterfield '28 [1-6, 9-12]
Allegra Mcalpin '27 [7-8, 13-14]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Leif Hauge '28 [1-12]
Alexander Turloff '27 [13-14]		 Sofia Brown Patricio '28 [1-12]
Vikings Mary D’Arcy '26 Addison Dunn '28

Conditions — 04/18/2026 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 49%  ·  Pressure 1013.8 hPa

Temperature

72°F
↑ 77°F   ↓ 59°F
Feels like 72°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.1 kn
avg  ·  max 6.6 kn
Gusts to 17.9 kn
From SSW (200°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover27% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity49% Pressure1013.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SW 8 kn · S 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Southern Cal: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment −0.08 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.14
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.39 ± 0.07)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Southern Cal by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 8 labelled days at Southern Cal, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →