University of Oregon '27
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.48 (fleet 0.67) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.01 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 5–10 (33%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 1 | 1–5 | — |
| Spring 2024 | 1 | 4–5 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 2 graded regattas (15 matches) the record is 5–10 against 5.2 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−0.2). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 0 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | Jeff Mixdorf | skipper | 0.62 | 0.72 | 1–5 | 0.9 | +0.10 | 0.0 | 66% |
| 2024-02-24 | Jeff Mixdorf Team Race | skipper | 0.30 | 0.08 | 4–5 | 4.3 | −0.22 | 0.0 | 74% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Outlaw Regatta | Skipper | B | 10 | 7.6 | 0.30 |
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Sea to Sky 26 | Skipper | A | 10 | 6.2 | 0.78 |
| PCCSC Mark Healy Open Fleet Race Championship | Skipper | B | 6 | 12.0 | 0.89 |
| North Designate | Skipper | A | 4 | 10.0 | — |
| Jeff Mixdorf | Skipper | TR | 6 | 17% | — |
| Gorge Invite | Skipper | A | 8 | 15.8 | -3.75 |
| Duckling | Skipper | A | 10 | 2.0 | 1.48 |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Outlaw | Skipper | A | 8 | 5.0 | 0.75 |
| Cascadia Cup | Skipper | A | 9 | 4.6 | -0.23 |
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| PCCSC Mark Healy Open Fleet Race Championship | Skipper | A | 8 | 15.4 | -1.22 |
| PCCSC North Designate 2025 | Skipper | B | 17 | 5.1 | -4.80 |
| Gorge Invite | Skipper | A | 8 | 13.1 | -0.96 |
| Duckling | Skipper | A | 12 | 4.0 | 0.85 |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Outlaw Regatta | Skipper | A | 8 | 6.0 | -0.15 |
| Frosh Soph | Skipper | B | 4 | 9.0 | -0.07 |
| Cascadia Cup Varsity | Skipper | A | 3 | 5.3 | -0.45 |
| Spring 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Rainier Cup | Skipper | B | 6 | 10.0 | -0.22 |
| Jeff Mixdorf Team Race | Skipper | TR | 9 | 44% | — |
| Gorge Invite | Skipper | A | 9 | 10.0 | 0.46 |
| Duckling Regatta | Skipper | A | 12 | 4.4 | 0.16 |
| Fall 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| WWU Frosh/Soph | Skipper | B | 4 | 3.5 | 2.13 |
| Outlaw Regatta | Skipper | A | 5 | 9.6 | -0.56 |
| North/North | Skipper | A | 6 | 12.2 | 0.39 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
