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Sea to Sky 26

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 38 MRP 40 MRP 78 MRP
2 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 49 MRP 47 MRP 96 MRP
3 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 2 78 61 139
4 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 1 69 MRP 74 MRP 143 MRP
5 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 2 79 MRP 69 MRP 148 MRP
6 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 1 68 97 165
7 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 4 67 MRP 109 MRP 176 MRP
8 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 103 MRP 76 MRP 179 MRP
9 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 2 124 MRP 90 MRP 214 MRP
10 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 1 127 MRP 104 MRP 231 MRP
11 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 3 99 MRP 139 MRP 238 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 1 4 1 1 1 2 3 2 1 1 1 38 MRP Leif Hauge '28
Sofia Brown Patricio '28
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 3 3 3 2 3 3 1 3 2 2 4 49 MRP Alexander Turloff '27
Kathryn Drennan '26
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 4 2 6 2 5 5 1 5 4 4 10 3 67 MRP Yuri Berebitsky '27
Erica Stavnem '28
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 1 5 1 7 4 7 7 BYE 10 7 9 5 68 Rowan Clinch '27
Dylan Zink '27
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 1 6 2 4 3 2 5 6 1 5 6 9 69 MRP Rory Walsh '28
Jessica Hirschbold '27
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 2 7 11 6 8 8 6 7 6 6 7 6 78 Hannah Welch '29
Annalycia Erdekian '29
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 2 8 5 8 6 4 4 4 7 8 3 2 79 MRP Ben Silcoff '27
Angela Ying '25
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 3 4 8 9 9 6 8 2 5 9 11 8 99 MRP Nathan Lemke '26
Aevion Jackson '28
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 9 7 5 10 9 9 8 8 3 5 10 103 MRP Liam Power '28
Natalie Berg '29
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 2 10 10 10 7 10 10 10 11 11 4 11 124 MRP Niko Croft '29
Teryn Lynette Green '29
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 1 11 9 11 11 11 11 9 9 10 8 7 127 MRP Fen Maine Wood '28
Benjamin Smith '29
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 5 2 2 1 1 1 2 3 1 1 1 40 MRP Mary D’Arcy '26
Addison Dunn '28
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 3 1 1 2 3 3 3 2 4 3 2 47 MRP Adam Turloff '27
Alicyn Poulos '27
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 2 4 7 6 4 8 4 1 8 7 8 4 61 Reese Lieser '29
Ryan Tuttle '27
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 2 1 4 4 7 2 2 9 9 3 2 6 69 MRP Mathieu Graham '28
Sophia Moiseyenko '27
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 1 2 3 5 5 4 8 8 4 6 6 3 74 MRP Eric Omielan '27
Emmanuella Partyka '25
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 7 5 3 3 5 6 6 1 5 5 10 76 MRP Luca Campbell '29
Cora Gunderson '27
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 2 6 6 7 6 6 7 5 5 10 7 5 90 MRP Bryce Lutz '27
Emileigh Gray '26
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 1 10 9 9 9 10 10 10 10 2 9 9 97 Siena Beckett '28
Melina Holmes '27
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 1 8 8 11 10 7 9 4 6 9 4 8 104 MRP Frederick Mitchell '28
Eilís Young '29
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 4 9 10 8 8 9 5 7 7 8 11 7 109 MRP Calvin Blaser '25
Amanda Clough '26
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 3 11 11 10 11 11 11 11 11 11 10 11 139 MRP Teagan P '27
Cason Martz '05
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (7 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 111151584848787898991
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 266838385858989909092
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks 1151584848787909091911
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks 2838385858989919192926
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 184848787909092921115
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 2858589899191116683
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 387879090929266151584
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 189899191118585838385
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 290909292661515848487
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 391911183838383858589
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 492926615158484878790

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 16683838585878792921
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 21515848484848989909092
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks 1838385858989909091916
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks 284848787909091911115
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 185858989919192926683
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 287879090929211151584
University of VictoriaUniversity of Victoria Vikes 3898991911166838385
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 190909292661515848487
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 291911187878383858589
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 392926615158484878790
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 411151583838585898991

Conditions — 03/14/2026 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 64%  ·  Pressure 1013.1 hPa

Temperature

74°F
↑ 80°F   ↓ 58°F
Feels like 74°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
8.7 kn
avg  ·  max 12.2 kn
Gusts to 24.7 kn
From SSE (155°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover26% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity64% Pressure1013.1 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 11 kn · SW 12 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Victoria: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.13)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.06 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.03 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.13 means a rating gap counts about 11% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Victoria by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 8 labelled days at Victoria, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →