Western Washington University '25
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.08 (fleet 2.88) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.01 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 9–2 (82%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 1 | 6–0 | — |
| Spring 2025 | 1 | 3–2 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 2 graded regattas (11 matches) the record is 9–2 against 9.7 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−0.7). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 1 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | Islands Cup | skipper | 2.28 | 5.28 | 6–0 | 5.7 | ≥+3.00 | 0.4 | 74% |
| 2025-03-29 | Island Cup Team Race | skipper | 2.06 | 0.75 | 3–2 | 4.0 | −1.31 | 1.0 | 97% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Western National Semis Women's | Skipper | A | 10 | 13.6 | 1.93 |
| Sea to Sky 26 | Skipper | B | 11 | 1.8 | 3.35 |
| Rainier Cup | Skipper | B | 10 | 1.6 | 3.92 |
| PCCSC Mark Healy Open Fleet Race Championship | Skipper | B | 14 | 5.9 | 3.17 |
| Islands Cup | Skipper | TR | 10 | 100% | — |
| Husky Women's 1 Women's | Skipper | A | 6 | 1.3 | 4.23 |
| Husky Women's 2 Women's | Skipper | A | 4 | 1.2 | 4.46 |
| Gorge Invite | Skipper | B | 8 | 2.8 | 3.09 |
| Charley Dole PCCSC Women's Fleet Race Championship Women's | Skipper | A | 9 | 2.8 | 3.18 |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Top-9 Fall Invite | Skipper | B | 14 | 10.5 | 0.04 |
| Outlaw | Skipper | A | 8 | 2.2 | 3.08 |
| North-North | Skipper | A | 8 | 5.5 | 2.53 |
| Fall Pacific Coast Championship | Skipper | B | 4 | 8.8 | 2.34 |
| Cascadia Cup | Skipper | A | 9 | 2.3 | 2.76 |
| 2026 Rose Bowl Regatta | Skipper | B | 6 | 15.2 | 1.81 |
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Sea to Sky 25 | Skipper | B | 9 | 1.9 | 2.48 |
| Rainier Cup | Skipper | B | 12 | 2.1 | 3.44 |
| PCCSC Wahine Championships Women's | Skipper | A | 9 | 4.4 | 2.06 |
| PCCSC North Designate 2025 | Skipper | B | 17 | 2.5 | 0.48 |
| Island Cup Team Race | Skipper | TR | 7 | 57% | — |
| Gorge Invite | Skipper | B | 8 | 4.1 | 1.56 |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Outlaw Regatta | Skipper | B | 8 | 1.9 | 2.69 |
| North/North | Skipper | B | 7 | 2.0 | 3.09 |
| Frosh Soph | Crew | A | 4 | 5.8 | — |
| Fall Pacific Coast Championship | Skipper | A | 8 | 9.2 | 2.74 |
| Cascadia Cup Varsity | Skipper | A | 5 | 2.8 | 2.16 |
| Spring 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Rainier Cup | Skipper | B | 12 | 3.9 | 2.11 |
| PCCSC Women's Team Race Championship Women's | Skipper | TR | 9 | 11% | — |
| PCCSC Women's Fleet Race Championship Women's | Skipper | B | 6 | 4.5 | 1.74 |
| PCCSC South Designate Semis | Skipper | A | 10 | 10.4 | 1.80 |
| Mark Healy PCCSC Open Conference Championship | Skipper | B | 12 | 8.9 | 1.63 |
| Jeff Mixdorf Team Race | Skipper | TR | 6 | 83% | — |
| Husky Women's Fleet Race Women's | Skipper | A | 7 | 3.3 | 1.17 |
| Gorge Invite | Skipper | A | 10 | 8.2 | 1.20 |
| Fall 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| PCCSC Fall Women's Championship Women's | Skipper | A | 8 | 9.0 | -1.08 |
| Outlaw Regatta | Skipper | A | 5 | 8.6 | -0.11 |
| North/North | Skipper | A | 6 | 6.2 | 2.03 |
| Cascadia Cup Varsity | Skipper | A | 1 | 6.0 | — |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
