Husky Women's Fleet Race

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 41
2 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 53
3 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 1 85
4 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 85
5 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 124
6 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 2 165
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 TOT Sailors
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 B 2 2 6 2 4 1 1 18 Sammy Farkas '27
Maya Outhred '24
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 B 3 1 2 1 5 2 4 18 Ellie Blakemore '27
Ella Barnard '24
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 1 A 1 6 3 4 1 5 3 23 Emily Avey '25
Audrey Lillie '26
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 A 4 3 1 7 2 4 2 23 Mary D’Arcy '25
Allison Sasaki '24
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 A 7 5 5 6 3 3 6 35 Erin Pamplin '24
Julia Oglevie '26
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 A 6 4 4 5 7 6 5 37 Kira Blumhagen '24
Kerry Wier '25
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 B 5 10 8 3 8 7 7 48 Anna Morrow '24 [1-4]
Claire Jablonski '23 [5-7]
Faith Burton '26 [1-4]
Anna Morrow '24 [5-7]
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 A 8 8 7 11 9 9 9 61 Lauren Mcclintock '25
Grace Smith '24
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 1 B 10 7 11 8 6 10 10 62 Sadie Creemer '25
Kate Ryan '25
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 B 9 9 10 9 10 8 8 63 Stephanie Seto '27
Tillie Jane Leroy '27
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 2 A 11 11 9 10 11 11 11 74 Molly Mcleod '25
Una Meidav '27
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 2 B DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 91 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.190+0.19
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (13 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks 19999999
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks 211111111111111
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 11111111
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 23333333
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 15555555
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 27777777

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks 110101010101010
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks 212121212121212
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 12222222
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 24444444
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 16666666
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 28888888

Conditions — 02/10/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 83%  ·  Pressure 1012.3 hPa

Temperature

54°F
↑ 61°F   ↓ 40°F
Feels like 52°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.7 kn
avg  ·  max 10.1 kn
Gusts to 18.9 kn
From WSW (241°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine2.2 hrs Humidity83% Pressure1012.3 hPa Rain0.06 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Washington: a favourites’ day (+0.04)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.09
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.51 ± 0.24)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.04 means a rating gap counts about 3% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Washington by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (37 labelled days at Washington).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →