Western Washington University '27
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.15 (fleet 1.60) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.01 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 1–13 (7%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 | 1 | 0–5 | — |
| Spring 2024 | 1 | 1–8 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 2 graded regattas (14 matches) the record is 1–13 against 2.0 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−1.0). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 2 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-29 | Island Cup Team Race | skipper | 1.18 | -1.82 | 0–5 | 1.1 | ≤−3.00 | 1.9 | >99% |
| 2024-04-06 | PCCSC Women's Team Race Championship | skipper | 1.40 | 1.59 | 1–8 | 0.9 | +0.19 | 0.0 | 60% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Outlaw Regatta | Skipper | B | 10 | 3.6 | 2.15 |
| NW Frosh Soph | Crew | A | 4 | 4.2 | — |
| Cascadia Cup Varsity | Skipper | A | 9 | 3.7 | 1.28 |
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Rainier Cup JV | Skipper | A | 10 | 4.5 | 0.26 |
| Husky Women's 1 Women's | Skipper | A | 4 | 3.8 | 0.81 |
| Husky Women's 2 Women's | Skipper | A | — | — | — |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Stoney Burke Co-Ed Varsity | Skipper | A | 8 | 6.4 | 1.52 |
| Cascadia Cup JV | Skipper | A | 4 | 1.8 | 3.06 |
| Cascadia Cup | Skipper | B | 5 | 1.6 | 3.24 |
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Rainier Cup | Skipper | B | 12 | 6.1 | 1.38 |
| Island Cup Team Race | Skipper | TR | 8 | 12% | — |
| Gorge Invite | Skipper | A | 8 | 12.1 | -0.54 |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| North/North | Skipper | A | 7 | 7.9 | 0.32 |
| Cascadia Cup Varsity | Skipper | A | 5 | 3.6 | 1.37 |
| Spring 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Rainier Cup | Skipper | A | 12 | 5.1 | 2.16 |
| PCCSC Women's Team Race Championship Women's | Skipper | TR | 9 | 11% | — |
| PCCSC Women's Fleet Race Championship Women's | Skipper | A | 4 | 6.8 | 0.38 |
| Husky Women's Fleet Race Women's | Skipper | B | 7 | 2.6 | 1.51 |
| Gorge Invite | Skipper | A | 10 | 7.3 | 1.38 |
| Fall 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| WWU Frosh/Soph | Skipper | A | 6 | 6.8 | 1.19 |
| North/North | Skipper | B | 6 | 5.0 | 1.83 |
| Fall Pacific Coast Championship | Skipper | C | 10 | 9.7 | 1.14 |
| Cascadia Cup Varsity | Skipper | B | 3 | 2.7 | 1.18 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Ellie Blakemore |  Bothell High School |
'23 |
| ISSA | Ellie Blakemore |  Roosevelt High School |
'23 |
| ISSA | Ellie Blakemore |  Raisbeck Aviation High School |
'23 |
| ISSA | Ellie Blakemore |  Garfield High School |
'23 |
| ISSA | Ellie Blakemore |  Ingraham High School |
'23 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
