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Cascadia Cup Varsity

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 4 14 18
2 Beavers Beavers Beavers 5 16 21
3 Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Women 13 8 21
4 University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 15 7 22
5 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 11 11 22
6 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 17 14 31
7 Vikings Vikings Vikings 19 17 36
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 1 1 4 Nathan Gerber '26
Matthew Lindburg '25
Beavers Beavers Beavers 1 2 2 5
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 5 3 3 11 Peter Kelleher '26
Kirin Dhaka '27
Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Women 3 4 6 13 Kira Blumhagen '24 [1-2]
Mary D’Arcy '25 [3]
Kerry Wier '25 [1-2]
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 4 7 4 15 Nathan Lemke '25 [1-2]
Ethan Lowenthal '25 [3]
Nicola Fretenberg '05 [1-2]
Megan Hamilton '05 [3]
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 6 6 5 17 Emily Avey '25
Aidan Clark '24
Vikings Vikings Vikings 7 5 7 19
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 TOT Sailors
University of Victoria University of Victoria Vikes 4 1 2 7 Nathan Lemke '25 [1-2]
Ethan Lowenthal '25 [3]
Nicola Fretenberg '05 [1-2]
Megan Hamilton '05 [3]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Women 1 2 5 8 Ellie Blakemore '27
Ella Barnard '24
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 OCS 1 11 Oliver Nairn '27
Jaya Wirth '27
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 OCS 3 14 Cooper Snell '24
Calvin Blaser '25
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 7 3 4 14 Ella Notdurft '25
Haley (Mae) Lohf '26
Beavers Beavers Beavers 5 5 6 16
Vikings Vikings Vikings 6 4 7 17
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (12 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A
BeaversBeavers Beavers757575
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies818181
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Viking Women888888
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings878787

Division B

Team1B2B3B
BeaversBeavers Beavers757575
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies818181
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Viking Women888888
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings878787

Conditions — 09/30/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 69%  ·  Pressure 1021.7 hPa

Temperature

70°F
↑ 75°F   ↓ 62°F
Feels like 70°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.4 kn
avg  ·  max 8.2 kn
Gusts to 16.9 kn
From NNE (14°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover66% Sunshine6.2 hrs Humidity69% Pressure1021.7 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: N 9 kn · N 9 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Washington: an underdogs’ day (−0.02)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.02
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.42 ± 0.52)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 2% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Washington by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (37 labelled days at Washington).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →