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Cascadia Cup

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 11 20 31
2 Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Women 21 25 46
3 University of Washington University of Washington Husky Gold 22 27 49
4 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 45 20 65
5 Beavers Beavers Beavers 47 44 91
6 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 41 53 94
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 1 1 2 1 1 2 1 1 11 Leif Hauge '28
Yuri Berebitsky '27
Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Women 2 2 3 3 2 3 1 2 3 21 Mary D’Arcy '26
Addison Dunn '28
University of Washington University of Washington Husky Gold 3 3 2 1 3 2 3 3 2 22 Benjamin Stone '27
Jaya Wirth '27
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 4 6 4 5 5 4 4 4 5 41 Rowan Clinch '27 [1-9]
Dylan Zink '27 [1-2, 5-9]
Melina Holmes '27 [3-4]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 5 5 5 6 6 5 6 RDG 4 45 Bianca Weber '26
Viola Phillips Frank '26
Beavers Beavers Beavers 6 4 6 4 4 6 5 6 6 47
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 3 2 1 1 4 2 4 2 20 Adam Turloff '27 [1-9]
Sadie Alford '28 [1-2, 5-9]
Cora Gunderson '27 [3-4]
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 2 2 1 2 4 2 3 1 3 20 Selah Dorn '29
Catherine Arcaris '26
Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Women 5 5 3 4 3 1 1 2 1 25 Kira Blumhagen '24 [1-4]
Ellie Blakemore '27 [5-9]
Erica Stavnem '28 [1-4]
University of Washington University of Washington Husky Gold 3 1 4 3 2 3 4 3 4 27 Lhotse Rowell '28
Ava Butterfield '28
Beavers Beavers Beavers 4 4 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 44
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 6 6 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 53 Ryan Tuttle '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Euseekers Williams '28 [3-4, 7-9]
Stella Vissers '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.160+0.16
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (17 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears999999999
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks737373737373737373
BeaversBeavers Beavers757575757575757575
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Husky Gold828282828282828282
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Viking Women121212121212121212
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings101010101010101010

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears999999999
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks737373737373737373
BeaversBeavers Beavers757575757575757575
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Husky Gold828282828282828282
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Viking Women121212121212121212
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings101010101010101010

Conditions — 10/11/2025 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 72%  ·  Pressure 1020.3 hPa

Temperature

63°F
↑ 70°F   ↓ 52°F
Feels like 62°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
4.6 kn
avg  ·  max 5.7 kn
Gusts to 15.0 kn
From NE (52°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover98% Sunshine5.9 hrs Humidity72% Pressure1020.3 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 7 kn · NE 13 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Washington: an underdogs’ day (−0.06)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.05
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.05 ± 0.22)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 5% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Washington by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (37 labelled days at Washington).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →