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WWU Frosh/Soph

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 11 20 31
2 University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 27 8 35
3 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 1 36 14 50
4 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 31 24 55
5 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 3 48 15 63
6 Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Women 41 23 64
7 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 4 35 41 76
8 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 52 27 79
9 Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Silver 47 51 98
10 Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 1 68 35 103
11 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 5 78 39 117
12 Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 2 68 49 117
13 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 2 65 54 119
14 Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking White 63 59 122
15 Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Blue 75 49 124
16 Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Grey 89 36 125
17 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 3 86 72 158
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 1 1 1 3 2 3 11 Lucien Freemesser '27
Stephanie Seto '27
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 4 2 2 13 1 5 27 Nelson Fretenburg '25
Maddline Brinkmann '26
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 2 4 9 9 5 2 31 Brianne Abbott-Rogge '25
Emily Smith '25
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 4 6 6 10 5 7 1 35 Kieran Lyons '26
Owen Johnson '27
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 1 5 10 5 2 8 6 36 Joseph Qualtier '27
Elliot Nopp '25
Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Women 3 3 4 1 15 15 41 Ellie Blakemore '27
Kathryn Drennan '26
Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Silver 7 7 15 10 4 4 47 Yuri Berebitsky '27
Kristian Solhaug '27
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 3 10 9 8 7 6 8 48 Jaden Unruh '26
Lauren Mcclintock '25
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 12 8 3 6 16 7 52 Matthew Lindburg '25
Kurtis Johnston '26
Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking White 9 17 6 8 10 13 63 Ella Barnard '24
Malcolm Duncan Graves '24
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 2 16 16 7 12 3 11 65 Aidan Clark '24
Emily Avey '25
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 1 13 14 13 4 12 12 68 Gavin Hirz '26
No Show
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 2 15 11 11 11 11 9 68 Patrick Gardiner '26
Emily Broach '25
Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Blue 11 12 12 15 9 16 75 Peter Hall '24
Rowen Mahan '26
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 5 8 15 16 16 13 10 78 Ethan Eschbach '25
Jaxon Gordon '25
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 3 14 13 14 14 14 17 86 Kate Ryan '25
Audrey Lillie '26
Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Grey 17 5 DNS DNS 17 14 89 Aliyah Dodge '25
Anna Morrow '24
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds 2 1 3 2 8 Liv Middleton '26
Isabelle Heller '26
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 1 4 2 5 3 14 Rowan Clinch '27
Haley (Mae) Lohf '26
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 3 1 5 4 5 15 Oliver Sommer '27
Evan Maudlin '27
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 9 9 1 1 20 Maxwell Miller '25
Tillie Jane Leroy '27
Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Women 5 3 7 8 23 Allison Sasaki '24
Caroline Hurley '25
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 7 7 6 4 24 Maya Outhred '24
Aragorn Crozier '24
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 8 4 2 13 27 Claire Jablonski '23
Shaynan Montenegro '26
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 1 6 8 11 10 35 Jaquelyn Quintana '25
Mitchell Powers '25
Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Grey 3 12 9 12 36 Julia Grams '24
Lucas Burzycki '23
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 5 10 6 12 11 39 Roy An '25
Nathan Turner '27
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 4 14 10 10 7 41 Kaia Armas '25
Samyel Macray '26
Arizona State University Arizona State University Sun Devils 2 11 13 16 9 49 Erin Welker '27
Elias Ricken '27
Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Blue 15 14 14 6 49 Jack Beeson '26
Morgan Walden '27
Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Silver 13 11 13 14 51 Kerry Wier '25
Calvin Blaser '25
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 2 16 15 8 15 54 Ryan Tuttle '27
Dylan Zink '27
Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking White 12 16 15 16 59 Satya Fawcett '27
Joey Lyon '27
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 3 DNS DNS DNS DNS 72 No Show
No Show
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.090+0.09
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
University of British ColumbiaUniversity of British Columbia UBC Thunderbirds8181
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks 18282
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks 28181
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks 38282
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 18181
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 282828787
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 48787
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Viking Blue8888
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Viking Grey8888
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings87878888

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks 18181
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks 28282
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks 38181
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 18282
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 38787
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 58787
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Viking Silver8888
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Viking Women8888
School / Team SkipperCrew
Arizona State University Arizona State University Gavin Hirz '26 No Show
Sun Devils 1 Jaquelyn Quintana '25 Mitchell Powers '25
Arizona State University Arizona State University Patrick Gardiner '26 Emily Broach '25
Sun Devils 2 Erin Welker '27 Elias Ricken '27
University of British Columbia University of British Columbia Nelson Fretenburg '25 Maddline Brinkmann '26
UBC Thunderbirds Liv Middleton '26 Isabelle Heller '26
University of Oregon University of Oregon Joseph Qualtier '27 Elliot Nopp '25
Ducks 1 Rowan Clinch '27 Haley (Mae) Lohf '26
University of Oregon University of Oregon Aidan Clark '24 Emily Avey '25
Ducks 2 Ryan Tuttle '27 Dylan Zink '27
University of Oregon University of Oregon Kate Ryan '25 Audrey Lillie '26
Ducks 3 No Show No Show
University of Washington University of Washington Lucien Freemesser '27 Stephanie Seto '27
Huskies 1 Maxwell Miller '25 Tillie Jane Leroy '27
University of Washington University of Washington Brianne Abbott-Rogge '25 Emily Smith '25
Huskies 2 Maya Outhred '24 Aragorn Crozier '24
University of Washington University of Washington Jaden Unruh '26 Lauren Mcclintock '25
Huskies 3 Oliver Sommer '27 Evan Maudlin '27
University of Washington University of Washington Kieran Lyons '26 Owen Johnson '27
Huskies 4 Kaia Armas '25 Samyel Macray '26
University of Washington University of Washington Ethan Eschbach '25 Jaxon Gordon '25
Huskies 5 Roy An '25 Nathan Turner '27
Western Washington University Western Washington University Peter Hall '24 Rowen Mahan '26
Viking Blue Jack Beeson '26 Morgan Walden '27
Western Washington University Western Washington University Aliyah Dodge '25 Anna Morrow '24
Viking Grey Julia Grams '24 Lucas Burzycki '23
Western Washington University Western Washington University Yuri Berebitsky '27 Kristian Solhaug '27
Viking Silver Kerry Wier '25 Calvin Blaser '25
Western Washington University Western Washington University Ella Barnard '24 Malcolm Duncan Graves '24
Viking White Satya Fawcett '27 Joey Lyon '27
Western Washington University Western Washington University Ellie Blakemore '27 Kathryn Drennan '26
Viking Women Allison Sasaki '24 Caroline Hurley '25
Western Washington University Western Washington University Matthew Lindburg '25 Kurtis Johnston '26
Vikings Claire Jablonski '23 Shaynan Montenegro '26

Conditions — 11/11/2023 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 91%  ·  Pressure 1010.0 hPa

Temperature

47°F
↑ 47°F   ↓ 45°F
Feels like 40°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.7 kn
avg  ·  max 14.4 kn
Gusts to 31.5 kn
From SSW (210°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover95% Sunshine0.4 hrs Humidity91% Pressure1010.0 hPa Rain0.52 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 6 kn · NE 7 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Western Washington: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.09 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.10
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.15 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Western Washington by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (23 labelled days at Western Washington).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →