University of Washington '25
How much better or worse boats do with this sailor crewing than their skipper's rating predicts, shown on the skipper scale so crews can be lined up across teams. Percentiles compare against rostered crews that season (league) or teammates (team).
How crew ratings work →Crew effect over their whole career, not scaled to a team: 21.70 percentile among ICSA crews with 30+ races. Uncertainty ±0.097 rating points from 99 races with rated skippers.
How crew ratings work →| Season | Team | Rating | Range | League percentile |
Team percentile |
On team | Races | Team page |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 | University of Washington | 0.89 | 39.40 | 32.14 | 10 of 14 | 12 | Team page | |
| Fall 2024 | University of Washington | 0.87 | 38.71 | 26.92 | 10 of 13 | 25 | Team page | |
| Spring 2024 | University of Washington | 0.87 | 37.77 | 39.29 | 9 of 14 | 10 | Team page |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.41 (fleet 1.94) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.00 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as crew 12–11 (52%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 | 1 | — | 3–1 |
| Spring 2023 | 1 | — | 4–0 |
| Spring 2022 | 2 | — | 5–10 |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 4 graded regattas (23 matches) the record is 12–11 against 10.3 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+1.7). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 4 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-29 | Island Cup Team Race | crew | 1.17 | 2.66 | 3–1 | 2.1 | +1.50 | 1.0 | 27% |
| 2023-04-29 | Island Cup | crew | 1.46 | 4.46 | 4–0 | 3.3 | ≥+3.00 | 1.1 | 46% |
| 2022-04-08 | Carter Ford PCCSC Open Team Race Championship | crew | 1.33 | 0.25 | 1–8 | 2.1 | −1.08 | 0.8 | 94% |
| 2022-02-19 | PCCSC Women's Team Race Championship | crew | 1.50 | 3.00 | 4–2 | 2.8 | +1.50 | 1.2 | 25% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Rainier Cup | Crew | B | 12 | 8.0 | -0.31 |
| Island Cup Team Race | Crew | TR | 7 | 71% | — |
| Cactus Cup | Skipper | B | 6 | 3.0 | 2.57 |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| PCCSC Women's Fall Championship Women's | Crew | B | 16 | 9.2 | +0.34 |
| Frosh Soph | Skipper | A | 4 | 5.2 | 1.65 |
| Fall Pacific Coast Championship | Crew | B | 4 | 7.5 | -0.16 |
| Cascadia Cup Varsity | Crew | A, B | 5 | 3.2 | +0.10 |
| Spring 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Rainier Cup | Crew | A | 6 | 3.3 | +0.28 |
| Gorge Invite | Crew | B | 4 | 3.0 | +0.08 |
| Fall 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| WWU Frosh/Soph | Skipper | A | 6 | 5.2 | 1.73 |
| Outlaw Regatta | Crew | A | 5 | 7.2 | -0.00 |
| Cascadia Cup JV | Crew | A | 2 | 1.5 | — |
| Spring 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Rainier Cup JV | Crew | B | 7 | 2.0 | +0.04 |
| Island Cup | Crew | TR | 6 | 83% | — |
| Fall 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| Fall Pacific Coast Championship | Crew | C | 5 | 11.8 | — |
| Spring 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| Rainier Cup | Crew | B | 2 | 7.0 | — |
| PCCSC Women's Team Race Championship Women's | Crew | TR | 6 | 67% | — |
| Mark Healy PCCSC Open Conference Championship | Crew | B | 7 | 11.0 | — |
| Gorge Invite | Crew | A | 6 | 5.3 | — |
| Carter Ford PCCSC Open Team Race Championship | Crew | TR | 9 | 11% | — |
| Bryson Women's Fleet Race Women's | Crew | B | 4 | 7.8 | — |
| Fall 2021 Team page Season | |||||
| Outlaw Regatta | Crew | B | 4 | 1.8 | — |
| Frosh/Soph | Crew | A | 4 | 6.2 | — |
| Cascadia Cup (JV) | Crew | B | 6 | 2.0 | — |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
