Navigate

Bryson Women's Fleet Race

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 1 11 13 24
2 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 2 18 14 32
3 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 1 39 30 69
4 University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 48 28 76
5 University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 2 48 45 93
6 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 29 68 97
7 University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 59 54 113
8 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Sun Goddesses 56 68 124
9 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 62 64 126
10 Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 71 71 142
11 University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Women 91 76 167
12 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 92 97 189
13 California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 104 100 204
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 11 Michelle Lahrkamp '23 [1-8]
Anaclare Sole '23 [1-7]
Lauren Taylor '24 [8]
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 2 2 3 2 2 2 1 3 3 18 Stephanie Houck '21 [1-8]
Patricia Gerli '23 [1-7]
Laurel Foster '22 [8]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 6 4 3 4 3 3 1 5 29 Marianna Shand '24
Emma Worthington '23
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 1 4 2 10 3 6 7 6 1 39 Mercy Tangredi '25
Kelsie Grant '23
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 2 3 5 5 6 9 8 8 4 48 Hayden Lahr '22
Jemma Baird '22
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 5 6 4 8 7 4 4 10 48 Molly Coghlin '25
Lekha Sapers '24
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Sun Goddesses 11 7 7 9 5 6 5 6 56 Svenja Leonard '24
Elizaveta Pertseva '23
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 8 8 6 10 8 5 7 7 59 Kingsley Ehrich '23
Jessica Stewart '23
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 9 9 8 5 4 9 10 8 62 Emily Smith '25 [1-8]
Amelia Kau '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Julia Sherry '23 [3-4, 7-8]
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 7 10 9 7 10 10 9 9 71 Florence Duff '25
Peyton Nienaber '22
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Women 12 12 12 11 11 11 11 11 91 Audra Spokas-Jaros '25
Annaclaire Rogness '22
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 10 11 11 12 12 12 12 12 92 Althea White '25 [1-8]
Irene Abfalterer '25 [1-4]
Ashley Nguyen '25 [5-8]
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 104 Madeline Rivera '22
Safari Frisell '25
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 1 4 1 1 1 3 1 1 1 13 Hannah Freeman '24
Sammy Pickell '22
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 2 1 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 14 Hallie Schiffman '23
Gwendolyn Donahue '24
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos 2 4 3 3 2 6 3 5 28 Harriet Jessup '22 [1-8]
Ruiqi Yang '22 [1-4]
Kaitlin Chan '23 [5-8]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 1 3 3 4 5 4 3 4 4 30 Morgan Carew '25
Chloe Long '23
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Rainbows 2 5 5 5 8 5 4 10 3 45 Vivian Bonsager '25
Annie Stevens '24
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Bears 9 6 6 6 6 10 5 6 54 Katherine Olsen '25
Iesha Carter '23
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 7 8 9 7 7 11 6 9 64 Erin Pamplin '24 [1-8]
Maya Outhred '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Brianne Abbott-Rogge '25 [3-4, 7-8]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 6 7 11 11 8 8 9 8 68 Mary Jane Howland '22 [1-2, 5-8]
Tess Mcmullin '22 [3-4]
Fadia Nitrosso '24 [1-6]
Tess Mcmullin '22 [7-8]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Sun Goddesses 10 9 8 10 9 5 7 10 68 Amanda Brooks '23
Nina Folz '23
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs 8 10 7 4 13 7 11 11 71 Ximena Greatorex '25
Chloe Schofield '23
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Women 12 11 10 9 10 9 8 7 76 Mckenna Roonan '21
Jessica Dally '22
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 11 12 12 12 12 13 12 13 97 Lola Rao '24 [1-4]
Kathryn Lewis '22 [5-8]
Kiera Bennett '25 [1-4]
Hannah Crawford '23 [5-8]
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Keelhaulers 13 13 13 13 11 12 13 12 100 Julia Mast '23
Raven Frisell '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (4 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears55555555
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers22222222
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs11111111
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows 11212121212121212
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows 21111111111111111
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal 133333333
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal 244444444
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins66666666
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Sun Goddesses88888888
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Women77777777
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos99999999
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs1010101010101010
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies1414141414141414

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
University of California at BerkeleyUniversity of California at Berkeley Bears55555555
California Maritime AcademyCalifornia Maritime Academy Keelhaulers22222222
Cal Poly University S.L.O.Cal Poly University S.L.O. Mustangs11111111
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows 11212121212121212
University of HawaiiUniversity of Hawaii Rainbows 21010101010101010
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal 133333333
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal 244444444
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins66666666
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Sun Goddesses88888888
University of California at San DiegoUniversity of California at San Diego Women77777777
University of California at Santa BarbaraUniversity of California at Santa Barbara Gauchos99999999
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs1111111111111111
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies1313131313131313
School / Team SkipperCrew
Cal Poly University S.L.O. Cal Poly University S.L.O. Florence Duff '25 Peyton Nienaber '22
Mustangs Ximena Greatorex '25 Chloe Schofield '23
California Maritime Academy California Maritime Academy Madeline Rivera '22 Safari Frisell '25
Keelhaulers Julia Mast '23 Raven Frisell '25
Stanford University Stanford University Michelle Lahrkamp '23 [1-8] Anaclare Sole '23 [1-7]
Lauren Taylor '24 [8]
Cardinal 1 Hannah Freeman '24 Sammy Pickell '22
Stanford University Stanford University Stephanie Houck '21 [1-8] Patricia Gerli '23 [1-7]
Laurel Foster '22 [8]
Cardinal 2 Hallie Schiffman '23 Gwendolyn Donahue '24
University of California at Berkeley University of California at Berkeley Kingsley Ehrich '23 Jessica Stewart '23
Bears Katherine Olsen '25 Iesha Carter '23
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Marianna Shand '24 Emma Worthington '23
Bruins Mary Jane Howland '22 [1-2, 5-8]
Tess Mcmullin '22 [3-4]		 Fadia Nitrosso '24 [1-6]
Tess Mcmullin '22 [7-8]
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Svenja Leonard '24 Elizaveta Pertseva '23
Sun Goddesses Amanda Brooks '23 Nina Folz '23
University of California at San Diego University of California at San Diego Audra Spokas-Jaros '25 Annaclaire Rogness '22
Women Mckenna Roonan '21 Jessica Dally '22
University of California at Santa Barbara University of California at Santa Barbara Molly Coghlin '25 Lekha Sapers '24
Gauchos Harriet Jessup '22 [1-8] Ruiqi Yang '22 [1-4]
Kaitlin Chan '23 [5-8]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Althea White '25 [1-8] Irene Abfalterer '25 [1-4]
Ashley Nguyen '25 [5-8]
Banana Slugs Lola Rao '24 [1-4]
Kathryn Lewis '22 [5-8]		 Kiera Bennett '25 [1-4]
Hannah Crawford '23 [5-8]
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Mercy Tangredi '25 Kelsie Grant '23
Rainbows 1 Morgan Carew '25 Chloe Long '23
University of Hawaii University of Hawaii Hayden Lahr '22 Jemma Baird '22
Rainbows 2 Vivian Bonsager '25 Annie Stevens '24
University of Washington University of Washington Emily Smith '25 [1-8] Amelia Kau '23 [1-2, 5-6]
Julia Sherry '23 [3-4, 7-8]
Huskies Erin Pamplin '24 [1-8] Maya Outhred '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Brianne Abbott-Rogge '25 [3-4, 7-8]

Conditions — 02/20/2022 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 73%  ·  Pressure 1015.5 hPa

Temperature

54°F
↑ 58°F   ↓ 45°F
Feels like 50°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
6.0 kn
avg  ·  max 9.2 kn
Gusts to 20.8 kn
From WSW (249°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine7.6 hrs Humidity73% Pressure1015.5 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 12 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Stanford: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.00
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.29 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Stanford by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (48 labelled days at Stanford).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →