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Cascadia Cup Varsity

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 5 9 14
2 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 14 8 22
3 University of Washington University of Washington Husky Women 13 19 32
4 Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Women 18 18 36
5 Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 29 21 50
6 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 26 30 56
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 1 1 1 1 5 Benjamin Stone '27
Jaya Wirth '27
University of Washington University of Washington Husky Women 2 3 4 2 2 13 Sammy Farkas '27 [1-5]
Brianne Abbott-Rogge '25 [1-2]
Julia Oglevie '26 [3-5]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 4 2 2 3 3 14 Mary D’Arcy '26
Faith Burton '26
Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Women 3 4 3 4 4 18 Ellie Blakemore '27
Morgan Walden '26
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 5 6 5 5 5 26 Rowan Clinch '27 [1-2, 5]
Emily Avey '25 [3-4]
Elaina Berdyck '26 [1-2, 5]
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 6 5 6 6 6 29 Marty Weigel '25 [1, 3, 5]
Hunter Wheaton '27 [2, 4]
Kamron Darkshani '28 [1, 3, 5]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 2 2 2 1 8 Leif Hauge '28
Yuri Berebitsky '27
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 1 1 1 4 9 Danny Juan '28 [1-5]
Kirin Dhaka '27 [1-2]
Tillie Jane Leroy '27 [3-5]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Viking Women 5 3 5 3 2 18 Anna Morrow '25
Cora Gunderson '27
University of Washington University of Washington Husky Women 4 4 3 5 3 19 Stephanie Seto '27 [1-5]
Julia Oglevie '26 [1-2]
Brianne Abbott-Rogge '25 [3-5]
Oregon State University Oregon State University Beavers 3 5 4 4 5 21 Cassius Tossavainen '26 [1-5]
Aaron Heard '25 [1, 3, 5]
Austin Victer '25 [2, 4]
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 6 6 6 6 6 30 Molly Mcleod '25
Tyla Garfas-Knowles '28
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (13 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks73737373
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers76767676
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies1111
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Husky Women12121212
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Viking Women88888888
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings87878787

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks73737373
Oregon State UniversityOregon State University Beavers76767676
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies1111
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Husky Women12121212
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Viking Women88888888
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings87878787

Conditions — 10/12/2024 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 54%  ·  Pressure 1016.2 hPa

Temperature

69°F
↑ 75°F   ↓ 54°F
Feels like 67°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.5 kn
avg  ·  max 7.3 kn
Gusts to 15.6 kn
From W (279°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover8% Sunshine10.7 hrs Humidity54% Pressure1016.2 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: W 9 kn · S 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Washington: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast −0.00
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.52 ± 0.24)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Washington by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (37 labelled days at Washington).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →