University of Washington '27
How much better or worse boats do with this sailor crewing than their skipper's rating predicts, shown on the skipper scale so crews can be lined up across teams. Percentiles compare against rostered crews that season (league) or teammates (team).
How crew ratings work →Crew effect over their whole career, not scaled to a team: 89.72 percentile among ICSA crews with 30+ races. Uncertainty ±0.109 rating points from 50 races with rated skippers.
How crew ratings work →| Season | Team | Rating | Range | League percentile |
Team percentile |
On team | Races | Team page |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2024 | University of Washington | 3.09 | 81.33 | 89.29 | 2 of 14 | 27 | Team page | |
| Fall 2023 | University of Washington | 1.95 | 59.22 | 77.27 | 3 of 11 | 19 | Team page |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.99 (fleet 1.40) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | −0.01 ± 0.17 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 8–13 (38%) as crew 3–2 (60%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 3 | 7–11 | — |
| Spring 2025 | 1 | 1–2 | — |
| Spring 2024 | 1 | — | 3–2 |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 5 graded regattas (26 matches) the record is 11–15 against 12.7 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−1.7). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 2 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 5 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | PCCSC Women's Team Race Championship | skipper | 1.22 | 1.61 | 2–4 | 1.7 | +0.39 | 0.1 | 59% |
| 2026-03-28 | Islands Cup | skipper | 1.23 | 0.36 | 1–5 | 1.5 | −0.86 | 0.3 | 92% |
| 2026-02-21 | Jeff Mixdorf | skipper | 1.20 | 1.26 | 4–2 | 4.0 | +0.05 | 0.0 | 70% |
| 2025-03-29 | Island Cup Team Race | skipper | 0.69 | 1.12 | 1–2 | 0.8 | +0.43 | 0.1 | 66% |
| 2024-02-24 | Jeff Mixdorf Team Race | crew | 1.85 | -0.93 | 3–2 | 4.8 | −2.79 | 4.4 | >99% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Cascadia Cup Varsity | Skipper | B | 7 | 4.0 | 1.37 |
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Rainier Cup | Skipper | B | 10 | 4.5 | 1.01 |
| PCCSC Women's Team Race Championship Women's | Skipper | TR | 6 | 33% | — |
| North Designate | Skipper | B | 6 | 9.7 | -1.67 |
| Jeff Mixdorf | Skipper | TR | 6 | 67% | — |
| Islands Cup | Skipper | TR | 10 | 40% | — |
| Husky Women's 1 Women's | Skipper | B | 6 | 5.8 | -0.70 |
| Husky Women's 2 Women's | Skipper | B | 4 | 5.8 | -0.99 |
| Gorge Invite | Skipper | A | 8 | 12.8 | -1.22 |
| Charley Dole PCCSC Women's Fleet Race Championship Women's | Skipper | B | 10 | 3.8 | 2.35 |
| Bryson Women's Fleet Race Women's | Skipper | B | 14 | 11.4 | -1.26 |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| PCCSC Women's Fall Championship Women's | Skipper | B | 14 | 7.3 | -0.17 |
| North-North | Skipper | B | 8 | 10.0 | 0.28 |
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Rainier Cup | Skipper | A | 12 | 9.2 | 1.03 |
| PCCSC Wahine Championships Women's | Skipper | B | 9 | 5.4 | 0.46 |
| Island Cup Team Race | Skipper | TR | 7 | 14% | — |
| Bryson Women's Fleet Race Women's | Skipper | B | 9 | 10.3 | -3.66 |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Rose Bowl Regatta 2025 - COLLEGE | Skipper | A | 6 | 17.2 | -0.64 |
| PCCSC Women's Fall Championship Women's | Skipper | B | 16 | 9.2 | -1.89 |
| North/North | Skipper | B | 4 | 5.5 | 1.06 |
| Frosh Soph | Crew | A | 4 | 11.2 | +0.03 |
| Cascadia Cup Varsity | Skipper | B | 5 | 3.8 | 0.86 |
| Spring 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Top-9 Invite | Crew | B | 7 | 10.6 | +0.25 |
| Rainier Cup | Crew | B | 10 | 7.5 | +0.62 |
| Jeff Mixdorf Team Race | Crew | TR | 6 | 83% | — |
| Husky Women's Fleet Race Women's | Skipper | B | 7 | 9.0 | — |
| Gorge Invite | Crew | B | 10 | 2.6 | +0.47 |
| Fall 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| WWU Frosh/Soph | Crew | A | 6 | 1.8 | +0.38 |
| North/North | Crew | B | 5 | 12.6 | -0.01 |
| Fall Pacific Coast Championship | Crew | B, C | 8 | 7.4 | -0.19 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
