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Rainier Cup

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 48 48 96
2 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 3 55 59 114
3 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 68 47 115
4 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 99 28 127
5 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 5 69 79 148
6 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 61 109 170
7 University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 73 101 174
8 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 117 83 200
9 University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 4 113 92 205
10 Beavers 1 Beavers 1 Beavers 1 123 93 216
11 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 1 80 145 225
12 University of Saint Thomas University of Saint Thomas Tommies 82 180 262
13 University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 2 150 117 267
14 Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 145 134 279
15 University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 156 144 300
16 Beavers 2 Beavers 2 Beavers 2 188 180 368
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 8 2 2 2 2 3 4 5 2 5 4 9 48 Benjamin Stone '27
Jaya Wirth '27
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 3 1 6 4 5 5 1 11 2 3 4 11 2 55 Oliver Nairn '27 [1-12]
Kirin Dhaka '27 [1-6]
Renee Chien '25 [7-12]
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 5 3 5 13 7 10 5 1 1 1 6 4 61 Ellie Blakemore '27
Ella Barnard '24
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 7 10 10 8 10 6 2 3 4 2 5 1 68 Nathan Gerber '26
Kerry Wier '25
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 5 2 5 9 7 3 2 7 8 5 3 10 8 69 Maxwell Miller '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Enzo Dougherty '27 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Brianne Abbott-Rogge '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 6 8 8 4 6 5 6 6 6 6 9 3 73 Carter Anderson '27
Conor Kim '27
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 1 4 7 6 3 8 9 8 4 7 12 7 5 80 Emily Avey '25 [1-12]
Una Meidav '27 [1-6]
Aidan Clark '24 [7-12]
University of Saint Thomas University of Saint Thomas Tommies 3 1 1 1 1 8 3 11 11 8 DNS DNS 82 Rachel Bartel '24
Meriah Kirschstein '24
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 9 4 3 11 11 7 14 12 10 9 2 7 99 Emily Smith '25
Julia Oglevie '26
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 4 13 9 12 10 14 15 1 10 8 7 8 6 113 Jaden Unruh '26
Jeffrey Kriegh '27
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 14 13 11 9 4 4 10 9 RDG RDG 13 10 117 George Warfel '26
Herbert Single '27
Beavers 1 Beavers 1 Beavers 1 11 12 7 6 9 11 9 7 12 11 14 14 123
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 15 14 14 14 13 14 12 14 13 10 1 11 145 Peter Hall '24
Aliyah Dodge '25
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 2 12 15 16 15 12 13 15 13 9 15 3 12 150 Molly Mcleod '25 [1-2, 5-12]
Ella Notdurft '25 [3-4]
Elliot Nopp '25 [1-6]
Una Meidav '27 [7-12]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 10 11 13 12 15 12 13 16 15 14 12 13 156 Conrad Kistler '26
Katherine Smith '24
Beavers 2 Beavers 2 Beavers 2 16 16 15 16 16 16 16 15 16 16 15 15 188
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 2 1 1 5 1 1 8 3 1 3 2 1 1 28 Erin Pamplin '24
Maya Outhred '24
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 1 2 4 3 2 2 1 10 2 6 5 5 5 47 Mary D’Arcy '25
Faith Burton '26
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 1 3 7 2 3 8 7 1 5 2 4 2 4 48 Lucien Freemesser '27
Grace Smith '24
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 3 4 2 6 9 10 9 5 7 1 1 3 2 59 Sammy Farkas '27
Tillie Jane Leroy '27
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 5 12 3 10 12 7 4 4 6 5 3 10 3 79 Kieran Lyons '26
Allegra Mcalpin '27
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 8 11 1 4 4 2 2 14 4 7 DNF 9 83 Anna Kovacs '25 [1-12]
Amelia Donhauser '25 [1-6]
Varoon Enjeti '25 [7-12]
University of Washington University of Washington Huskies 4 7 9 8 10 5 3 9 8 12 9 6 6 92 Jaxon Gordon '25 [1-8, 11-12]
Jenna Hiegel '25 [9-10]
Stephanie Seto '27 [1-6, 9-12]
Jenna Hiegel '25 [7-8]
Beavers 1 Beavers 1 Beavers 1 6 6 7 5 3 11 8 10 11 10 4 12 93
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs 9 5 9 7 13 14 7 4 10 6 9 8 101 Hunter Holguin '25
Sophia Preston '27
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 2 10 13 12 8 9 5 11 3 8 8 11 11 109 Anna Morrow '25
Carolyn Harmon '26
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 2 13 8 4 11 6 6 6 12 15 11 12 13 117 Sadie Creemer '25
Kate Ryan '25
Western Washington University Western Washington University Vikings 3 11 12 14 13 11 13 13 11 7 14 8 7 134 Allison Sasaki '24
Jack Beeson '26
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Bruins 14 14 11 14 12 10 14 13 9 16 7 10 144 Liam Williams '26
Kenan Thomas '26
University of Oregon University of Oregon Ducks 1 5 10 13 6 14 12 12 15 16 15 13 14 145 Rowan Clinch '27 [1-6]
Elliot Nopp '25 [7-12]
Dylan Zink '27 [1-6]
Beavers 2 Beavers 2 Beavers 2 15 15 16 15 15 16 16 16 14 13 14 15 180
University of Saint Thomas University of Saint Thomas Tommies DNS DNS 15 16 DNS 15 15 9 13 12 DNS DNS 180 Nisha Kimber '24
Lily Lupardus '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (9 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats34348181
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks 182828787
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks 281818888
Beavers 1Beavers 1 Beavers 175758282
Beavers 2Beavers 2 Beavers 234348181
University of Saint ThomasUniversity of Saint Thomas Tommies828287877575
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins82828787
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs343481818888
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 181818888
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 2828287877575
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 388883434
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 487877575
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 588883434
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 187877575
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 2888834348181
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 375758282

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats75758282
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks 181818888
University of OregonUniversity of Oregon Ducks 2828287877575
Beavers 1Beavers 1 Beavers 134348181
Beavers 2Beavers 2 Beavers 282828787
University of Saint ThomasUniversity of Saint Thomas Tommies81818888
University of California at Los AngelesUniversity of California at Los Angeles Bruins343481818888
University of California at Santa CruzUniversity of California at Santa Cruz Banana Slugs82828787
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 1828287877575
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 288883434
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 387877575
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 488883434
University of WashingtonUniversity of Washington Huskies 587877575
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 1888834348181
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 275758282
Western Washington UniversityWestern Washington University Vikings 334348181
School / Team SkipperCrew
Northwestern University Northwestern University George Warfel '26 Herbert Single '27
Wildcats Anna Kovacs '25 [1-12] Amelia Donhauser '25 [1-6]
Varoon Enjeti '25 [7-12]
University of California at Los Angeles University of California at Los Angeles Conrad Kistler '26 Katherine Smith '24
Bruins Liam Williams '26 Kenan Thomas '26
University of California at Santa Cruz University of California at Santa Cruz Carter Anderson '27 Conor Kim '27
Banana Slugs Hunter Holguin '25 Sophia Preston '27
University of Oregon University of Oregon Emily Avey '25 [1-12] Una Meidav '27 [1-6]
Aidan Clark '24 [7-12]
Ducks 1 Rowan Clinch '27 [1-6]
Elliot Nopp '25 [7-12]		 Dylan Zink '27 [1-6]
University of Oregon University of Oregon Molly Mcleod '25 [1-2, 5-12]
Ella Notdurft '25 [3-4]		 Elliot Nopp '25 [1-6]
Una Meidav '27 [7-12]
Ducks 2 Sadie Creemer '25 Kate Ryan '25
University of Saint Thomas University of Saint Thomas Rachel Bartel '24 Meriah Kirschstein '24
Tommies Nisha Kimber '24 Lily Lupardus '27
University of Washington University of Washington Benjamin Stone '27 Jaya Wirth '27
Huskies 1 Lucien Freemesser '27 Grace Smith '24
University of Washington University of Washington Emily Smith '25 Julia Oglevie '26
Huskies 2 Erin Pamplin '24 Maya Outhred '24
University of Washington University of Washington Oliver Nairn '27 [1-12] Kirin Dhaka '27 [1-6]
Renee Chien '25 [7-12]
Huskies 3 Sammy Farkas '27 Tillie Jane Leroy '27
University of Washington University of Washington Jaden Unruh '26 Jeffrey Kriegh '27
Huskies 4 Jaxon Gordon '25 [1-8, 11-12]
Jenna Hiegel '25 [9-10]		 Stephanie Seto '27 [1-6, 9-12]
Jenna Hiegel '25 [7-8]
University of Washington University of Washington Maxwell Miller '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Enzo Dougherty '27 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]		 Brianne Abbott-Rogge '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10]
Huskies 5 Kieran Lyons '26 Allegra Mcalpin '27
Western Washington University Western Washington University Nathan Gerber '26 Kerry Wier '25
Vikings 1 Mary D’Arcy '25 Faith Burton '26
Western Washington University Western Washington University Ellie Blakemore '27 Ella Barnard '24
Vikings 2 Anna Morrow '25 Carolyn Harmon '26
Western Washington University Western Washington University Peter Hall '24 Aliyah Dodge '25
Vikings 3 Allison Sasaki '24 Jack Beeson '26

Conditions — 04/27/2024 (8am–6pm)

🌧️Slight rain
Humidity 92%  ·  Pressure 1014.0 hPa

Temperature

47°F
↑ 49°F   ↓ 46°F
Feels like 41°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.8 kn
avg  ·  max 12.3 kn
Gusts to 26.6 kn
From SSE (161°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.9 hrs Humidity92% Pressure1014.0 hPa Rain0.52 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 9 kn · S 9 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Western Washington: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.02 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.01
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.19 ± 0.08)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Western Washington by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (23 labelled days at Western Washington).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →