George Warfel

Rating History

Singlehanded & Keelboat Ratings

DisciplineRating Rank RacesLast raced
Singlehanded1.82163 of 25112Fall 2025

Team Race Rating

Rating Rank vs fleet rating Record
1.33 (fleet 1.80) unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) +0.02 ± 0.17
about what the fleet rating predicts
as skipper 17–31 (35%)
SeasonRegattas Skipper W–LCrew W–L
Spring 2025214–7—
Spring 202423–24—
0.20.30.40.50.60.70.8Spring 2024Spring 2025B10 Team Race (2024-04-20): rating 0.34, fleet rating alone 0.38, offset -0.04; record 2-10 in this boatMcIntyre Team Race (2025-02-08): rating 0.60, fleet rating alone 0.63, offset -0.03; record 6-5 in this boatMCSA Open Team Race Championship (2025-04-04): rating 0.68, fleet rating alone 0.66, offset +0.01; record 8-2 in this boatTeam race rating

Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.

Team race surprisal: regatta by regatta

Over 4 graded regattas (48 matches) the record is 17–31 against 14.6 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+2.4). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 5 bits of surprise in all.

DateRegattaRole Value Perf. RecordExp.
wins
Δ Surprise
(bits)
P(this good
or better)
2025-04-04MCSA Open Team Race Championshipskipper1.091.958–26.7+0.870.826%
2025-02-08McIntyre Team Raceskipper0.952.266–53.6+1.312.37%
2024-04-20B10 Team Raceskipper0.620.942–101.5+0.320.146%
2024-03-02McIntyre Team Raceskipper0.37-0.921–142.8−1.291.497%

Regatta results

Regatta Role Div Races Avg Rating
Spring 2026 Team page Season
Cream City Classic Crew A, B 12 1.4 +0.14
Fall 2025 Team page Season
Rebecca Blank Memorial Regatta Skipper B 6 1.3 3.61
Oberg Trophy Skipper B 5 13.6 1.24
MCSA Open Singlehanded Championship Singlehanded Skipper A 12 6.4 2.29
MCSA Fall Championship Skipper B 9 5.1 0.90
Fall Fury Skipper B 4 1.5 4.01
Spring 2025 Team page Season
NU Spring Crew B 2 5.0 —
MCSA Open Team Race Championship Skipper TR 10 80% —
McIntyre Team Race Skipper TR 11 54% —
Laker Showdown Crew A, B 4 5.0 -0.08
Admiral’s Cup Skipper B 4 13.2 1.44
Spring 2024 Team page Season
Rainier Cup Skipper A 10 9.7 0.06
NU Spring Skipper B 6 2.0 1.53
McIntyre Team Race Skipper TR 15 7% —
B10 Team Race Skipper TR 12 17% —
Fall 2023 Team page Season
Rebecca Blank Skipper A 3 8.0 0.39
Fall Fury Skipper B 6 10.5 0.43
Spring 2023 Team page Season
NU Spring Skipper B 2 5.0 -0.51
George Morris Trophy Skipper B 10 13.6 0.10
Harris Kempner Memorial Regatta Skipper B 2 5.5 -0.24
Fall 2022 Team page Season
Rebecca Blank Skipper A 4 10.0 -1.69
Carin Streufert Memorial Regatta Skipper A 10 8.0 -1.63

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →