NU Spring

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 4 7 11
2 University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 14 12 26
3 University of Saint Thomas University of Saint Thomas Tommies 14 12 26
4 Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 16 14 30
5 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 1 12 22 34
6 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 2 24 45 MRP 69 MRP
7 Cleveland State University Cleveland State University Vikes 49 MRP 41 MRP 90 MRP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 1 1 1 4 Charlie Herrick '26
Matthew Keberlein '25
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 1 5 3 2 2 12 Nicholas Chesemore '27 [1-2]
Nikolas Chambers '23 [3-4]
Maddie Fitzgerald '26 [1-2]
Aviva Kaplan '24 [3-4]
University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 2 2 5 5 14 Max Zhalilo '26 [1-4]
Kush Banker '26 [1-2]
Claire Zhang '24 [3-4]
University of Saint Thomas University of Saint Thomas Tommies 3 4 3 4 14 Greg Bittle '25
Meriah Kirschstein '24
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 4 5 4 3 16 Nok In Chan '24
Zachary Gold '24
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 2 6 6 6 6 24 Sydney Leon '26 [1-2]
Prabhav Jain '23 [3-4]
Elise Lamarre '23 [1-2]
Joey Mcgarry '24 [3-4]
Cleveland State University Cleveland State University Vikes DNF 7 7 7 49 MRP Katherine Mlachak '25
Lance Flynn '26
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 TOT Sailors
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 2 1 2 2 7 Calvin Lutton '26 [1-2]
Noah Hallerman '23 [3-4]
Noah Hallerman '23 [1-2]
Calvin Lutton '26 [3-4]
University of Chicago University of Chicago Maroons 1 2 4 5 12 Lucas Koenig '25 [1-2]
Natalie Manley '24 [3-4]
Natalie Manley '24 [1-2]
Ethan Jick '26 [3-4]
University of Saint Thomas University of Saint Thomas Tommies 4 3 1 4 12 Rakesh Dhiman '26 [1-4]
Nisha Kimber '24 [1-2]
Max Gaytko '26 [3-4]
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 3 5 3 3 14 Joseph Mowrey '25
Hadley Zeller '26
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 1 6 4 6 6 22 George Warfel '26 [1-2]
Austin Porras '23 [3-4]
Rebeca Navarro Santos Lion '25 [1-2]
Gabriel Abbott '23 [3-4]
Cleveland State University Cleveland State University Vikes 7 DNF 5 1 41 MRP Zak Hamil '26
Brooke Bennington '24
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 2 5 6 7 7 45 MRP Devin Shah '24 [1-2]
Varoon Enjeti '25 [3-4]
Ella Weaver '23 [1-2]
Eleanor Adams '27 [3-4]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.050+0.05
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2009 (31 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A
University of ChicagoUniversity of Chicago Maroons6688
Cleveland State UniversityCleveland State University Vikes1133
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats 12244
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats 23366
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers4477
University of Saint ThomasUniversity of Saint Thomas Tommies7711
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers8822

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B
University of ChicagoUniversity of Chicago Maroons7711
Cleveland State UniversityCleveland State University Vikes2244
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats 13366
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats 24477
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers6688
University of Saint ThomasUniversity of Saint Thomas Tommies8822
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers1133

Conditions — 05/06/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 63%  ·  Pressure 1016.3 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 74°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 63°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
9.3 kn
avg  ·  max 11.7 kn
Gusts to 23.9 kn
From SE (141°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover94% Sunshine4.3 hrs Humidity63% Pressure1016.3 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 10 kn · E 10 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Northwestern: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.14)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.08 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.22
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.44 ± 0.26)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.14 means a rating gap counts about 12% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Northwestern by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (17 labelled days at Northwestern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →