Navigate

Fall Fury

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 8 10 18
2 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 20 31 51
3 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Honey Badgers 24 32 56
4 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 21 44 65
5 University of Saint Thomas University of Saint Thomas Tommies 41 36 77
6 Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 39 43 82
7 Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Husky One 53 37 90
8 Indiana University Indiana University Hoosiers 55 46 101
9 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 46 63 109
10 Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 55 57 112
11 University of Illinois University of Illinois Illini 67 53 120
12 Washington University Washington University Bears 51 74 125
13 University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 77 65 142
14 Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Lakers 88 73 161
15 Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 98 78 176
16 University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 84 93 177
17 Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 94 92 186
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 2 1 1 2 1 1 8 Eden Nykamp '25
Emmy Digiacomo '24
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 2 6 5 2 4 20 Charlie Herrick '26
Kerstin Hyer '25
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 5 4 2 1 6 3 21 Joe Serpa '24 [1-4]
Luciana Solorzano '24 [5-6]
Asha Baddi '24 [1-4]
Bryson Denuyl '24 [5-6]
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Honey Badgers 3 8 4 4 3 2 24 Mary Castellini '25
Cristina Dombrowski '23
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 6 5 9 6 8 5 39 Odey Hariri '24
Nok In Chan '25
University of Saint Thomas University of Saint Thomas Tommies 12 6 3 8 5 7 41 Greg Bittle '25
Rakesh Dhiman '26
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 7 3 7 10 9 10 46 Anna Kovacs '25
Cora Star '26
Washington University Washington University Bears 8 9 10 9 4 11 51 Wyatt Tait '27
Matthew Sullivan '24
Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Husky One 4 13 5 11 12 8 53 Andrew Michels '25
Cecilia Dietsch '26
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 9 12 11 3 11 9 55 Brittany Shabino '25
Kendall Herzog '26
Indiana University Indiana University Hoosiers 14 10 8 7 10 6 55 Bryce Lesinski '27 [1-6]
Fiona Naughton '26 [1-4]
Anna Nappi '25 [5-6]
University of Illinois University of Illinois Illini 11 7 12 12 7 OCS 67 Domenico Sacchetti '27 [1-6]
Jack Morby '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Grace Morby '24 [3-4]
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 13 11 13 14 13 13 77 John Cayen '24
Ella Finnegan '24
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 17 14 14 13 14 12 84 Jack O'Connor '26
John Sullivan '26
Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Lakers 10 17 15 16 16 14 88 Carly Irwin '25
Gabriella Thomas '25
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 16 15 16 15 17 15 94 Jack Charlton '27
Keegan Aerts '25
Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 15 16 17 17 15 OCS 98 Edmund Redman '26
Connor Bricco '26
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 TOT Sailors
University of South Florida University of South Florida Bulls 1 1 1 3 2 2 10 Andreas Keswater '24
Melissa Janes '26
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 4 3 OCS 2 3 1 31 Gavin Dempsey '26
Lauren Bemis '26
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Honey Badgers 2 5 OCS 1 1 5 32 Marissa Tegeder '25
Sophie Lusty '24
University of Saint Thomas University of Saint Thomas Tommies 7 2 2 DSQ 4 3 36 Rachel Bartel '24
Meriah Kirschstein '24
Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Husky One 5 6 4 4 8 10 37 Nick Myneni '26 [1-6]
William Blacketor '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Anna Proulx '27 [3-4]
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 3 4 5 OCS 6 7 43 Justin Skene '24
Zachary Gold '24
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 11 13 3 8 5 4 44 Jack Hammett '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Brody Schwartz '24 [3-4]
Bryson Denuyl '24 [1-2]
Alexander Manthous '24 [3-6]
Indiana University Indiana University Hoosiers 8 8 6 7 9 8 46 Daniel De La Vega Iii '25
Sammy Stoeber '24
University of Illinois University of Illinois Illini 6 7 9 9 11 11 53 Molly Sheridan '25 [1-6]
Clark Davis '24 [1-4]
Sebastian Rodriguez '24 [5-6]
Marquette University Marquette University Golden Eagles 10 10 7 6 10 14 57 Eva Paschke '25
Stella Brown '27
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 14 15 8 10 7 9 63 George Warfel '26 [1-6]
Maddie Fitzgerald '26 [1-4]
Kate Virsik '26 [5-6]
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota Gophers 15 11 10 11 12 6 65 Kellen Crum '26
Drake Mayer '26
Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Lakers 9 14 OCS 5 14 13 73 Reid Kwiatkowski '26
Reed Rossell '25
Washington University Washington University Bears 13 9 11 13 16 12 74 Jacob Hsia '26 [1-3, 5-6]
Sarah Biedron '25 [4]
Sarah Biedron '25 [1-3]
Jacob Hsia '26 [4]
Casey Van '25 [5-6]
Hope College Hope College Flying Dutchmen 12 12 13 12 13 16 78 Jack Rutherford '25
Natalie Glover '25
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Broncos 16 16 14 14 15 17 92 Tony Harkins '26
Caleb Prugh '26
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Fighting Irish 17 17 12 15 17 15 93 Kate Norman '26
Ishani Basak '25
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2017 (21 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A
Grand Valley State UniversityGrand Valley State University Lakers18183355
Hope CollegeHope College Flying Dutchmen224466
University of IllinoisUniversity of Illinois Illini8810101212
Indiana UniversityIndiana University Hoosiers335577
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles446688
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines9911111313
Michigan Technological UniversityMichigan Technological University Husky One557799
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers101012121414
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats66881010
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish111113131515
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers77991111
University of Saint ThomasUniversity of Saint Thomas Tommies121214141616
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls131315151717
Washington UniversityWashington University Bears1616181833
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Broncos17172244
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers141416161818
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Honey Badgers1515171722

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B
Grand Valley State UniversityGrand Valley State University Lakers224466
Hope CollegeHope College Flying Dutchmen335577
University of IllinoisUniversity of Illinois Illini9911111313
Indiana UniversityIndiana University Hoosiers446688
Marquette UniversityMarquette University Golden Eagles557799
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines101012121414
Michigan Technological UniversityMichigan Technological University Husky One66881010
University of MinnesotaUniversity of Minnesota Gophers111113131515
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats77991111
University of Notre DameUniversity of Notre Dame Fighting Irish121214141616
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers8810101212
University of Saint ThomasUniversity of Saint Thomas Tommies131315151717
University of South FloridaUniversity of South Florida Bulls141416161818
Washington UniversityWashington University Bears17172244
Western Michigan UniversityWestern Michigan University Broncos18183355
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers1515171722
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Honey Badgers1616181833
School / Team SkipperCrew
Grand Valley State University Grand Valley State University Carly Irwin '25 Gabriella Thomas '25
Lakers Reid Kwiatkowski '26 Reed Rossell '25
Hope College Hope College Edmund Redman '26 Connor Bricco '26
Flying Dutchmen Jack Rutherford '25 Natalie Glover '25
Indiana University Indiana University Bryce Lesinski '27 [1-6] Fiona Naughton '26 [1-4]
Anna Nappi '25 [5-6]
Hoosiers Daniel De La Vega Iii '25 Sammy Stoeber '24
Marquette University Marquette University Brittany Shabino '25 Kendall Herzog '26
Golden Eagles Eva Paschke '25 Stella Brown '27
Michigan Technological University Michigan Technological University Andrew Michels '25 Cecilia Dietsch '26
Husky One Nick Myneni '26 [1-6] William Blacketor '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Anna Proulx '27 [3-4]
Northwestern University Northwestern University Anna Kovacs '25 Cora Star '26
Wildcats George Warfel '26 [1-6] Maddie Fitzgerald '26 [1-4]
Kate Virsik '26 [5-6]
Purdue University Purdue University Odey Hariri '24 Nok In Chan '25
Boilermakers Justin Skene '24 Zachary Gold '24
University of Illinois University of Illinois Domenico Sacchetti '27 [1-6] Jack Morby '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Grace Morby '24 [3-4]
Illini Molly Sheridan '25 [1-6] Clark Davis '24 [1-4]
Sebastian Rodriguez '24 [5-6]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Joe Serpa '24 [1-4]
Luciana Solorzano '24 [5-6]		 Asha Baddi '24 [1-4]
Bryson Denuyl '24 [5-6]
Wolverines Jack Hammett '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Brody Schwartz '24 [3-4]		 Bryson Denuyl '24 [1-2]
Alexander Manthous '24 [3-6]
University of Minnesota University of Minnesota John Cayen '24 Ella Finnegan '24
Gophers Kellen Crum '26 Drake Mayer '26
University of Notre Dame University of Notre Dame Jack O'Connor '26 John Sullivan '26
Fighting Irish Kate Norman '26 Ishani Basak '25
University of Saint Thomas University of Saint Thomas Greg Bittle '25 Rakesh Dhiman '26
Tommies Rachel Bartel '24 Meriah Kirschstein '24
University of South Florida University of South Florida Eden Nykamp '25 Emmy Digiacomo '24
Bulls Andreas Keswater '24 Melissa Janes '26
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Charlie Herrick '26 Kerstin Hyer '25
Badgers Gavin Dempsey '26 Lauren Bemis '26
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Mary Castellini '25 Cristina Dombrowski '23
Honey Badgers Marissa Tegeder '25 Sophie Lusty '24
Washington University Washington University Wyatt Tait '27 Matthew Sullivan '24
Bears Jacob Hsia '26 [1-3, 5-6]
Sarah Biedron '25 [4]		 Sarah Biedron '25 [1-3]
Jacob Hsia '26 [4]
Casey Van '25 [5-6]
Western Michigan University Western Michigan University Jack Charlton '27 Keegan Aerts '25
Broncos Tony Harkins '26 Caleb Prugh '26

Conditions — 09/16/2023 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 63%  ·  Pressure 1015.7 hPa

Temperature

68°F
↑ 73°F   ↓ 60°F
Feels like 68°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.2 kn
avg  ·  max 7.9 kn
Gusts to 18.3 kn
From NNE (27°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover95% Sunshine8.7 hrs Humidity63% Pressure1015.7 hPa Rain0.06 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 6 kn* · NE 10 kn (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Wisconsin: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.15)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.01 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast +0.16
Actual: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.47 ± 0.12)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.15 means a rating gap counts about 13% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Wisconsin by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (41 labelled days at Wisconsin).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →