University of Michigan '26
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.26 (fleet 1.74) | 296 of 328 | +0.00 ± 0.16 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 51–36 (59%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 3 | 23–6 | — |
| Spring 2025 | 4 | 16–17 | — |
| Spring 2024 | 2 | 9–10 | — |
| Spring 2023 | 1 | 3–3 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 10 graded regattas (87 matches) the record is 51–36 against 47.6 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+3.4). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 5 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 13 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | MCSA Open Team Race Qualifier | skipper | 1.55 | 2.57 | 8–2 | 6.7 | +1.02 | 0.9 | 24% |
| 2026-03-21 | Big 10 Team Race | skipper | 1.61 | 0.95 | 8–2 | 8.8 | −0.67 | 0.4 | 90% |
| 2026-03-14 | WAC Team Race @ Fordham | skipper | 1.63 | 1.07 | 7–2 | 7.7 | −0.56 | 0.3 | 87% |
| 2025-04-24 | ICSA Open Team Race National Championship | skipper | 1.59 | -1.41 | 0–12 | 0.0 | ≤−3.00 | 0.0 | >99% |
| 2025-04-04 | MCSA Open Team Race Championship | skipper | 1.56 | 1.81 | 3–1 | 2.8 | +0.25 | 0.0 | 66% |
| 2025-03-29 | Big 10 Team Race | skipper | 1.47 | 2.19 | 10–2 | 8.7 | +0.72 | 0.7 | 29% |
| 2025-03-15 | Washington College Team Race | skipper | 1.46 | 1.39 | 3–2 | 3.1 | −0.07 | 0.0 | 75% |
| 2024-04-20 | B10 Team Race | skipper | 0.88 | 3.17 | 8–4 | 3.6 | +2.30 | 7.9 | <1% |
| 2024-03-16 | Washington College Open Team Race | skipper | 0.75 | -1.30 | 1–6 | 2.9 | −2.06 | 2.6 | 99% |
| 2023-04-22 | Big Ten Team Race | skipper | 0.29 | -0.15 | 3–3 | 3.4 | −0.45 | 0.1 | 85% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| WAC Team Race @ Fordham | Skipper | TR | 13 | 85% | — |
| MCSA Open Team Race Qualifier | Skipper | TR | 10 | 80% | — |
| MCSA Open Fleet Race Qualifier | Skipper | B | 5 | 2.8 | 2.67 |
| Open Eastern National Semis | Skipper | B | 2 | 16.0 | 1.28 |
| Big 10 Team Race | Skipper | TR | 9 | 89% | — |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Open Atlantic Coast Tournament Finals | Skipper | A | 4 | 17.0 | 0.42 |
| Cary Price | Skipper | A | 8 | 3.2 | 1.86 |
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Washington College Team Race | Skipper | TR | 5 | 60% | — |
| Open Eastern Semi Finals | Skipper | B | 10 | 17.5 | -0.19 |
| MCSA Open Team Race Championship | Skipper | TR | 10 | 90% | — |
| ICSA Open Team Race National Championship | Skipper | TR | 15 | 0% | — |
| CGA J70 Invite #3 Keelboat | Crew | A | 12 | 6.8 | — |
| Big 10 Team Race | Skipper | TR | 12 | 83% | — |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Open Atlantic Coast Tournament | Skipper | A | 12 | 15.8 | 1.11 |
| Open Atlantic Coast Championship Round 1A | Skipper | B | 10 | 16.5 | 0.94 |
| NY Maritime Fall Open | Skipper | A | 14 | 6.1 | 1.78 |
| Kennedy Cup Keelboat | Crew | A | 7 | 8.9 | — |
| Spring 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Washington College Open Team Race | Skipper | TR | 7 | 14% | — |
| B10 Team Race | Skipper | TR | 12 | 67% | — |
| 2024 Azalea Bowl Regatta | Skipper | B | 10 | 10.0 | 0.35 |
| Fall 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Fall Fury | Skipper | B | 4 | 8.2 | 1.13 |
| Atlantic Coast Tournament | Crew | A | 2 | 16.5 | -0.20 |
| Spring 2023 Team page Season | |||||
| Big Ten Team Race | Skipper | TR | 12 | 58% | — |
| 2023 CGA J70 Invite #3 Keelboat | Crew | A | 13 | 6.7 | — |
| Fall 2022 Team page Season | |||||
| Hoosier Regatta | Skipper | A | 8 | 3.8 | -0.67 |
| David Lee Arnoff Trophy | Skipper | A | 2 | 18.0 | — |
| Cedarfest | Skipper | A | 9 | 3.3 | -0.23 |
| 2022 Kennedy Cup Keelboat | Crew | A | 5 | 8.4 | — |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Jack Hammett |  Ben Franklin High School |
'22 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
