Cary Price

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 25 10 35
2 University of Michigan University of Michigan Blue 26 20 46
3 Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 24 26 50
4 Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 32 32 64
5 Miami University Miami University Red Hawks 34 32 66
6 University of Michigan University of Michigan Maize 28 48 76
7 Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 55 57 112
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 1 4 2 2 2 3 4 6 24 Mason Shaw '26
Joe Stroup '27
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 3 2 3 1 4 2 5 5 25 Sydney Mandell '26
Carter Harms '27
University of Michigan University of Michigan Blue 2 1 6 4 3 6 2 2 26 Jack Hammett '26 [1-8]
Alexander Reynolds '28 [1-4]
Jillian Giordano '27 [5-8]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Maize 5 6 4 3 1 5 3 1 28 Graham Rebain '29
Tilden Coate '29
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 7 5 5 5 5 1 1 3 32 Charles Crowell '28 [1-8]
Samantha Forgosh '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Grace Gormley '28 [3-4, 7-8]
Miami University Miami University Red Hawks 4 3 1 6 6 4 6 4 34 Finn Mahoney '29
Austin Strykowski '27
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 55 Thomas Weykamp '28 [1-8]
Clara Le Moal '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Vianney Medina-Gonzalez '27 [3-4, 7-8]
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of Wisconsin University of Wisconsin Badgers 1 1 1 3 1 1 1 1 10 Seamus Hendrickson '25
Caitlin Costello '28
University of Michigan University of Michigan Blue 2 4 2 1 5 2 2 2 20 Ted Sherman '27
Sabrina Maas '27
Ohio State University Ohio State University Buckeyes 3 5 3 4 2 3 3 3 26 Emma Hershey '27
Alexandra Avery '26
Miami University Miami University Red Hawks 4 3 4 5 4 4 4 4 32 Connor Coate '29
Simon Peroulas '28
Northwestern University Northwestern University Wildcats 5 2 5 2 3 5 5 5 32 Luke Sadalla '28
Maddie Fitzgerald '26
University of Michigan University of Michigan Maize 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 48 Glen Warren '26 [1-8]
Ryan Mcallister '26 [1-4]
Kabir Bhatia '26 [5-8]
Michigan State University Michigan State University Spartans 7 DNF 7 7 7 7 7 7 57 Austin Sjaarda '27 [1-2, 5-6]
Andrew Acton '28 [3-4, 7-8]
Meghan Hoy '29 [1-2, 5-6]
Austin Sjaarda '27 [3-4, 7-8]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.080+0.08
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2015 (14 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Miami UniversityMiami University Red Hawks11335577
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Blue66113355
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Maize55772244
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans22446611
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats33557722
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes44661133
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers77224466

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Miami UniversityMiami University Red Hawks22446611
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Blue77224466
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Maize66113355
Michigan State UniversityMichigan State University Spartans33557722
Northwestern UniversityNorthwestern University Wildcats44661133
Ohio State UniversityOhio State University Buckeyes55772244
University of WisconsinUniversity of Wisconsin Badgers11335577

Conditions — 09/20/2025 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 65%  ·  Pressure 1020.6 hPa

Temperature

71°F
↑ 77°F   ↓ 60°F
Feels like 70°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.3 kn
avg  ·  max 8.7 kn
Gusts to 19.4 kn
From E (91°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine10.0 hrs Humidity65% Pressure1020.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 12 kn · E 7 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Michigan: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.14)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment +0.03 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.17
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.12 ± 0.18)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.14 means a rating gap counts about 12% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Michigan by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 12 labelled days at Michigan, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →