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Hoosier Regatta

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Chargers Chargers Chargers 11 19 30
2 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 30 19 49
3 Indiana University Indiana University Hoosiers 19 33 52
4 Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 36 20 56
5 University of Cincinnati University of Cincinnati Bearcats 40 31 71
6 Washington University Washington University Bears 32 46 78
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Chargers Chargers Chargers 2 1 1 1 1 2 1 2 11
Indiana University Indiana University Hoosiers 1 2 4 3 5 1 2 1 19 Nithya Balachander '25 [1-8]
Katherine Naughton '24 [1-4]
Julia Grumbling '26 [5-8]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 5 3 5 2 3 5 4 3 30 Jack Hammett '26
Jonathon Casler '26
Washington University Washington University Bears 4 5 2 5 2 6 3 5 32 Sarah Biedron '25
Grace Abbott '26
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 6 6 3 4 4 3 6 4 36 Benjamin Casler '22
Alex Karber '24
University of Cincinnati University of Cincinnati Bearcats 3 4 6 6 6 4 5 6 40 Seth Mobley '22
Adora Stephenson '25
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 1 2 2 1 2 4 1 6 19 Kate Lowry '26
Anna Howell '26
Chargers Chargers Chargers 2 1 3 2 3 5 2 1 19
Purdue University Purdue University Boilermakers 3 3 1 3 1 3 3 3 20 James Miller '23
Jithnuka Samaraweera '25
University of Cincinnati University of Cincinnati Bearcats 4 4 5 4 5 1 4 4 31 Gavin Lamphier '26 [1-8]
Lucas Thielmann '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Lillian Brown '23 [3-4, 7-8]
Indiana University Indiana University Hoosiers 5 6 4 5 4 2 5 2 33 Sammy Stoeber '24 [1-8]
Ian Knox '24 [1-4]
Conor Daniels '26 [5-8]
Washington University Washington University Bears 6 5 6 6 6 6 6 5 46 Casey Van '25
Olivia Reibel '26
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.120+0.12
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2017 (11 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
University of CincinnatiUniversity of Cincinnati Bearcats22661122
ChargersChargers Chargers55443355
Indiana UniversityIndiana University Hoosiers11226611
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines33554433
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers44335544
Washington UniversityWashington University Bears66112266

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
University of CincinnatiUniversity of Cincinnati Bearcats33554433
ChargersChargers Chargers11226611
Indiana UniversityIndiana University Hoosiers44335544
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines66112266
Purdue UniversityPurdue University Boilermakers22661122
Washington UniversityWashington University Bears55443355
School / Team SkipperCrew
Indiana University Indiana University Nithya Balachander '25 [1-8] Katherine Naughton '24 [1-4]
Julia Grumbling '26 [5-8]
Hoosiers Sammy Stoeber '24 [1-8] Ian Knox '24 [1-4]
Conor Daniels '26 [5-8]
Purdue University Purdue University Benjamin Casler '22 Alex Karber '24
Boilermakers James Miller '23 Jithnuka Samaraweera '25
University of Cincinnati University of Cincinnati Seth Mobley '22 Adora Stephenson '25
Bearcats Gavin Lamphier '26 [1-8] Lucas Thielmann '24 [1-2, 5-6]
Lillian Brown '23 [3-4, 7-8]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Jack Hammett '26 Jonathon Casler '26
Wolverines Kate Lowry '26 Anna Howell '26
Washington University Washington University Sarah Biedron '25 Grace Abbott '26
Bears Casey Van '25 Olivia Reibel '26

Conditions — 10/08/2022 (8am–6pm)

🌤️Partly cloudy
Humidity 58%  ·  Pressure 1025.3 hPa

Temperature

49°F
↑ 52°F   ↓ 42°F
Feels like 42°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.2 kn
avg  ·  max 9.7 kn
Gusts to 22.7 kn
From WNW (294°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover69% Sunshine8.0 hrs Humidity58% Pressure1025.3 hPa Rain0.01 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NW 6 kn · SW 13 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Indiana: an underdogs’ day (−0.03)
Expect upsets: lower-rated teams have a better chance of beating the seeds, and the fleet bunches up.
Fleet adjustment +0.16 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.13
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.10 ± 0.25)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.03 means a rating gap counts about 3% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Indiana by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 5 labelled days at Indiana, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →