NY Maritime Fall Open

# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 20 51 71
2 University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 66 54 120
3 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 85 51 136
4 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 86 90 176
5 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 73 110 183
6 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 78 110 188
7 Columbia University Columbia University Lions 92 104 196
8 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 92 121 213
9 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 135 79 214
10 Williams College Williams College Ephs 136 90 226
11 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 76 155 231
12 Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 158 79 237
13 Tommies Tommies Tommies 196 196 392
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 1 1 1 4 2 1 1 2 1 1 1 2 1 1 20 Everett Botwinick '26
Jack Prior '27
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 8 5 2 1 4 5 5 6 2 7 9 1 3 8 66 Matias Martin '27
Rohit Rajan '26
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 6 3 6 2 3 7 6 5 11 3 2 11 5 3 73 Nathaniel Hartwell '28
Grace Wilson '27
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 5 10 7 3 6 3 3 7 7 4 4 5 7 5 76 Joseph Bonacci '25
Lucy Sunderland '28
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 9 8 4 5 1 8 10 1 4 OCS 3 3 6 2 78 James Owen '25
Ava Belli '28
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 2 2 5 6 5 2 8 10 5 2 10 12 9 7 85 Noah Hemingway '27
Elijah Goldman '26
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 7 6 8 7 8 9 2 4 3 9 8 4 2 9 86 Jack Hammett '26
Abigail Paul '25
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 3 4 3 9 9 4 7 3 8 8 6 8 10 10 92 Oscar Gilroy '27
Logan Forward '28
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 4 7 9 8 7 6 9 9 9 5 5 6 4 4 92 Elizabeth Frost '27 [1-14]
Theo Visconti '25 [1-4]
Alexander Vincenti '26 [5-8]
Chase O'Malley '26 [9]
Alexander Yuen '25 [10-14]
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 10 9 10 10 10 10 4 8 6 OCS 11 10 12 11 135 Berkley Yiu '25
Chai Mauliola '24
Williams College Williams College Ephs 11 11 11 11 12 12 12 12 10 6 7 7 8 6 136 Tess Halpern '28 [1-7]
Rem Johannknecht '26 [8-14]
Varya Kluev '25 [1-7]
Zara Haider '27 [8-14]
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 12 12 12 12 11 11 11 11 12 10 12 9 11 12 158 William Mullray '26
Hattie Lechner '26
Tommies Tommies Tommies DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 196
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 2 2 9 11 2 1 3 8 3 1 2 1 4 2 51 Marc Leyk '28 [1-9, 13-14]
Rayne Duff '25 [10-12]
Ty Mazzga '28 [1-12]
Rayne Duff '25 [13-14]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 7 10 1 2 4 4 1 7 2 4 3 2 1 3 51 Sam Carson '28
Colin Byrne '28
University of Texas University of Texas Longhorns 1 1 3 1 5 2 6 1 1 2 12 10 5 4 54 Reese Zebrowski '26 [1-10, 13-14]
Oliver Fenner '26 [11-12]
Sophia Herrada '24 [1-10, 13-14]
Reema Nannapaneni '27 [11-12]
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 9 8 5 9 3 12 4 2 4 3 6 7 2 5 79 Advik Eswaran '27 [1-14]
Cora Lecates '26 [1-7]
Ellen Toberman '25 [8-14]
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology Panthers 10 6 2 4 6 5 2 5 6 8 5 6 3 11 79 Sofia Scarpa '26
Henry Hill '25
Williams College Williams College Ephs 3 9 10 7 10 8 8 3 7 9 1 3 6 6 90 Felix Nusbaum '25 [1-14]
Rebecca Power '27 [1-7]
Lauren Mukavitz '27 [8-14]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 6 3 8 8 1 10 5 4 10 7 7 4 10 7 90 Samuel Stephens '25
Adrian Stone '25
Columbia University Columbia University Lions 11 5 4 6 11 6 7 10 11 5 11 9 7 1 104 Eva Decastro '28 [1-14]
Chase O'Malley '26 [1-6]
Jake Miller '27 [7-9]
Giulio Basilico '27 [10-12]
Karma Williams '27 [13-14]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 4 4 11 10 9 9 9 6 8 11 4 8 8 9 110 Nicole Ostapowicz '28 [1-4, 7-8]
Luke Barker '28 [5-6, 9-14]
Ash Clements '28 [1-4, 9-14]
Andrew Mccarthy '28 [5-8]
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 8 7 6 5 7 3 12 12 DNF 6 8 5 9 8 110 Robert Upton '27
Nora Donahue '28
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 5 11 7 3 8 7 10 11 5 12 9 11 12 10 121 Aubrey Walton '27
Burton Keck '27
Washington College Washington College Shoremen 12 12 12 12 12 11 11 9 9 10 10 12 11 12 155 Imogene Nuss '28
Ethan Rower '28
Tommies Tommies Tommies DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS DNS 196
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.140+0.14
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2016 (6 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions113355779911111313
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Panthers224466881010121211
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams335577991111131322
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen446688101012121133
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners779911111313224466
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines881010121211335577
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers668810101212113355
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers557799111113132244
TommiesTommies Tommies991111131322446688
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns101012121133557799
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen11111313224466881010
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers121211335577991111
Williams CollegeWilliams College Ephs13132244668810101212

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B
Columbia UniversityColumbia University Lions224466881010121211
Florida Institute of TechnologyFlorida Institute of Technology Panthers335577991111131322
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams446688101012121133
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen557799111113132244
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners881010121211335577
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines991111131322446688
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers779911111313224466
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers668810101212113355
TommiesTommies Tommies101012121133557799
University of TexasUniversity of Texas Longhorns11111313224466881010
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen121211335577991111
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers13132244668810101212
Williams CollegeWilliams College Ephs113355779911111313
School / Team SkipperCrew
Columbia University Columbia University Elizabeth Frost '27 [1-14] Theo Visconti '25 [1-4]
Alexander Vincenti '26 [5-8]
Chase O'Malley '26 [9]
Alexander Yuen '25 [10-14]
Lions Eva Decastro '28 [1-14] Chase O'Malley '26 [1-6]
Jake Miller '27 [7-9]
Giulio Basilico '27 [10-12]
Karma Williams '27 [13-14]
Florida Institute of Technology Florida Institute of Technology William Mullray '26 Hattie Lechner '26
Panthers Sofia Scarpa '26 Henry Hill '25
Fordham University Fordham University James Owen '25 Ava Belli '28
Rams Robert Upton '27 Nora Donahue '28
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Noah Hemingway '27 Elijah Goldman '26
Statesmen Sam Carson '28 Colin Byrne '28
Princeton University Princeton University Berkley Yiu '25 Chai Mauliola '24
Tigers Advik Eswaran '27 [1-14] Cora Lecates '26 [1-7]
Ellen Toberman '25 [8-14]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Nathaniel Hartwell '28 Grace Wilson '27
Privateers Nicole Ostapowicz '28 [1-4, 7-8]
Luke Barker '28 [5-6, 9-14]
Ash Clements '28 [1-4, 9-14]
Andrew Mccarthy '28 [5-8]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Oscar Gilroy '27 Logan Forward '28
Mariners Aubrey Walton '27 Burton Keck '27
University of Michigan University of Michigan Jack Hammett '26 Abigail Paul '25
Wolverines Samuel Stephens '25 Adrian Stone '25
University of Texas University of Texas Matias Martin '27 Rohit Rajan '26
Longhorns Reese Zebrowski '26 [1-10, 13-14]
Oliver Fenner '26 [11-12]
Sophia Herrada '24 [1-10, 13-14]
Reema Nannapaneni '27 [11-12]
Washington College Washington College Joseph Bonacci '25 Lucy Sunderland '28
Shoremen Imogene Nuss '28 Ethan Rower '28
Webb Institute Webb Institute Everett Botwinick '26 Jack Prior '27
Clippers Marc Leyk '28 [1-9, 13-14]
Rayne Duff '25 [10-12]
Ty Mazzga '28 [1-12]
Rayne Duff '25 [13-14]
Williams College Williams College Tess Halpern '28 [1-7]
Rem Johannknecht '26 [8-14]
Varya Kluev '25 [1-7]
Zara Haider '27 [8-14]
Ephs Felix Nusbaum '25 [1-14] Rebecca Power '27 [1-7]
Lauren Mukavitz '27 [8-14]

Conditions — 09/28/2024 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 75%  ·  Pressure 1013.6 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 69°F   ↓ 63°F
Feels like 64°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.9 kn
avg  ·  max 12.0 kn
Gusts to 22.9 kn
From ENE (70°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover100% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity75% Pressure1013.6 hPa Rain0.08 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: NE 13 kn · NE 10 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at NY Maritime: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.02 (an ordinary fleet) · combined forecast −0.00
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.01 ± 0.11)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at NY Maritime by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (32 labelled days at NY Maritime).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →