Fordham University '28
How much better or worse boats do with this sailor crewing than their skipper's rating predicts, shown on the skipper scale so crews can be lined up across teams. Percentiles compare against rostered crews that season (league) or teammates (team).
How crew ratings work →Crew effect over their whole career, not scaled to a team: 79.14 percentile among ICSA crews with 30+ races. Uncertainty ±0.086 rating points from 255 races with rated skippers.
How crew ratings work →Includes linked high school and college seasons.
| Season | Team | Rating | Range | League percentile |
Team percentile |
On team | Races | Team page |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2026 | Fordham University | 3.33 | 87.96 | 85.29 | 3 of 17 | 35 | Team page | |
| Spring 2026 | Fordham University | 3.50 | 90.34 | 85.00 | 2 of 10 | 41 | Team page | |
| Fall 2025 | Fordham University | 2.97 | 82.59 | 87.50 | 2 of 12 | 68 | Team page | |
| Spring 2025 | Fordham University | 2.75 | 75.55 | 56.25 | 4 of 8 | 29 | Team page | |
| Fall 2024 | Fordham University | 3.00 | 82.15 | 65.00 | 4 of 10 | 44 | Team page | |
| Spring 2023 | Moses Brown School | 2.28 | 65.26 | 83.33 | 1 of 3 | 15 | Team page |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.41 | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.00 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as crew 12–46 (21%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 3 | — | 6–25 |
| Spring 2025 | 3 | — | 6–21 |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 5 graded regattas (57 matches) the record is 12–45 against 13.7 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−1.7). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 3 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 3 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Seahawk Team Race | crew | 2.09 | 1.12 | 1–14 | 2.2 | −0.97 | 0.7 | 92% |
| 2026-02-28 | NA Open Team Race at SMC | crew | 1.96 | 1.36 | 5–10 | 6.3 | −0.60 | 0.6 | 89% |
| 2025-03-15 | Washington College Team Race | crew | 1.56 | 0.53 | 2–3 | 2.9 | −1.03 | 0.7 | 94% |
| 2025-03-08 | Jen Harris Women's Team Race | crew | 1.13 | 2.39 | 2–6 | 0.9 | +1.26 | 1.0 | 23% |
| 2025-03-01 | ODU Women's Team Race | crew | 0.91 | 1.50 | 2–12 | 1.4 | +0.59 | 0.3 | 41% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Stu Nelson @ Connecticut College 2026 | Crew | A | 4 | 8.5 | +0.05 |
| SMC Open | Crew | A | 14 | 6.6 | +0.38 |
| Oberg Trophy | Crew | B | 3 | 12.3 | -0.25 |
| Nevins Trophy | Crew | B | 4 | 8.8 | -0.08 |
| KP Women's Invite Women's | Crew | B | 9 | 7.6 | +0.16 |
| Jack Boehringer '52 Open Invite | Crew | A | 1 | 9.0 | +0.00 |
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Vietor Trophy | Crew | A | 14 | 6.5 | +0.40 |
| Seahawk Team Race | Crew | TR | 15 | 7% | — |
| Owen Trophy | Crew | A | 6 | 5.7 | -0.08 |
| Open Fleet Race National Championships | Crew | B | 2 | 15.5 | +0.00 |
| Oberg Trophy | Crew | B | 14 | 7.0 | -0.04 |
| NA Open Team Race at SMC | Crew | TR | 15 | 33% | — |
| Graham Hall Team Race | Crew | TR | 18 | 22% | — |
| Admiral's Cup | Crew | B | 5 | 8.2 | -0.10 |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Atlantic Coast Tournament Women's | Crew | B | 10 | 9.1 | +0.10 |
| Webb Woolum | Crew | A | 8 | 4.1 | +0.11 |
| Susan Rogers Women's | Crew | A | 10 | 11.5 | -0.11 |
| Open Atlantic Coast Tournament Finals | Crew | A | 10 | 8.7 | -0.05 |
| Moody Trophy | Crew | A | 8 | 13.2 | +0.29 |
| MAISA Women's Fall Dinghy Women's | Crew | A | 14 | 8.6 | +0.21 |
| MAISA Top 9 Women's Women's | Crew | B | 4 | 6.2 | +0.21 |
| KP Open Invite | Crew | A | 4 | 8.2 | -0.04 |
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Eastern National Semi Finals Women's | Crew | B | 2 | 16.5 | -0.13 |
| Washington College Team Race | Crew | TR | 5 | 40% | — |
| ODU Women's Team Race Women's | Crew | TR | 14 | 14% | — |
| Jen Harris Women's Team Race Women's | Crew | TR | 16 | 12% | — |
| Hanbury Trophy | Crew | A | 9 | 14.4 | +0.02 |
| Emily Wick Women's | Crew | B | 9 | 11.8 | -0.22 |
| Admiral’s Cup | Crew | A | 9 | 5.9 | +0.30 |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| Susan Rogers Women's Invite Women's | Crew | B | 8 | 12.9 | -0.08 |
| Stony Brook Fall Open | Crew | A | 6 | 2.2 | +0.16 |
| NY Maritime Fall Open | Crew | A | 13 | 4.9 | -0.17 |
| Nevins Trophy | Crew | A | 4 | 16.8 | -0.18 |
| Jesuit Invite | Crew | C | 13 | 12.6 | +0.04 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Ava Belli |  Moses Brown School |
'24 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
