Webb Woolum

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 59
2 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 70
3 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 91
4 Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 133
5 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 135
6 Washington College Washington College Shoremen 143
7 University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 223
8 William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 225
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 TOT Sailors
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains A 4 6 1 4 2 4 7 1 29 Grace Watlington '26
Jonathan Matney '27
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains B 2 2 3 7 4 6 3 3 30 Joshua Bendura '26
Hannah Louise Roethel '28
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks A 8 7 7 3 1 1 1 4 32 Mats Braaten '27
Mary Govan '27
Fordham University Fordham University Rams A 3 10 2 9 3 2 2 2 33 Erickson Rankin '27
Ava Belli '28
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks B 1 1 6 5 7 3 6 9 38 Scott Opert '28
Elise Jones '28
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies A 5 3 4 6 8 5 5 7 43 James Lilyquist '28
Arturo Soriano Iii '27
Fordham University Fordham University Rams B 10 4 9 2 5 RDG 10 11 58 Michael Burns '29 [1-4]
Luke Ondrey '29 [5-8]
Payton Buckley '28 [1-4]
John Bender '29 [5-8]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs B 11 12 5 8 10 7 4 5 62 Helena Allocco '29
James O’Leary '29
Washington College Washington College Shoremen A 6 5 8 1 11 12 12 10 65 Alexander Salzberg '29
Soledad Fintel '29
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs A 7 11 11 11 9 8 8 8 73 Jonah Willoughby '27
Caspian Collett '29
Washington College Washington College Shoremen B 9 9 12 10 12 11 9 6 78 George Wood '27
Abby Wyman '29
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies B 12 8 10 16 6 10 15 13 90 Ray Mcdonald '29 [1-2, 5-6]
Mary Wholean '26 [3-4, 7-8]
Mary Wholean '26 [1-2, 5-6]
Ray Mcdonald '29 [3-4, 7-8]
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe A 14 14 13 14 13 9 14 14 105 Harrison Rohne '26
Tyler Samdal '27
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens B 16 16 16 13 14 13 11 12 111 Savannah Mcmullen '26
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens A 13 13 14 15 15 14 13 15 112 Seton Dill '27
Ryan Curran '27
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe B 15 15 15 12 16 15 16 16 120 Natalie Watson '28
Sebastian Morales-Talero '27
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.070+0.07
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2013 (16 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains11223344
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens55667788
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams221116161515
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs33445566
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks44332211
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies66554433
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen7788991010
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe88776655

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains99101011111212
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens1313141415151616
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams1010998877
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs1111121213131414
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks12121111101099
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies1414131312121111
Washington CollegeWashington College Shoremen151516161122
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe1616151514141313

Conditions — 10/04/2025 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 68%  ·  Pressure 1024.8 hPa

Temperature

67°F
↑ 72°F   ↓ 56°F
Feels like 69°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
1.8 kn
avg  ·  max 3.0 kn
Gusts to 8.4 kn
From S (189°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover19% Sunshine10.7 hrs Humidity68% Pressure1024.8 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: E 8 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Christopher Newport: a typical day (+0.00)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment +0.05 (a softer or greener fleet makes the ratings stick) · combined forecast +0.06
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.12 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.00 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Christopher Newport by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (24 labelled days at Christopher Newport).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →