Fordham University '27
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.89 (fleet 2.69) | 222 of 331 | −0.05 ± 0.17 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 6–26 (19%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 3 | 6–26 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 2 graded regattas (30 matches) the record is 6–24 against 8.5 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−2.5). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 2 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 1 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Seahawk Team Race | skipper | 2.09 | 1.12 | 1–14 | 2.2 | −0.97 | 0.7 | 92% |
| 2026-02-28 | NA Open Team Race at SMC | skipper | 1.96 | 1.36 | 5–10 | 6.3 | −0.60 | 0.6 | 89% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Oyster Bowl Coed | Skipper | A | 14 | 7.6 | 2.07 |
| Oberg Trophy | Skipper | B | 3 | 12.3 | 1.20 |
| NY Maritime Fall Open | Skipper | B | 10 | 3.2 | 2.12 |
| Nevins Trophy | Skipper | B | 12 | 8.9 | 2.95 |
| Jack Boehringer '52 Open Invite | Skipper | A | 1 | 9.0 | — |
| Intrepid Trophy - MAISA Match Race Championship Keelboat | Crew | A | 1 | 5.0 | — |
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Vietor Trophy | Skipper | A | 14 | 6.5 | 3.23 |
| Seahawk Team Race | Skipper | TR | 15 | 7% | — |
| Owen Trophy | Skipper | A | 6 | 5.7 | 2.67 |
| Open Fleet Race National Championships | Skipper | B | 2 | 15.5 | 2.23 |
| Oberg Trophy | Skipper | B | 14 | 7.0 | 2.83 |
| NA Open Team Race at SMC | Skipper | TR | 15 | 33% | — |
| Graham Hall Team Race | Skipper | TR | 18 | 22% | — |
| America Trophy | Skipper | A | 3 | 9.3 | 3.05 |
| Admiral's Cup | Skipper | B | 5 | 8.2 | 1.56 |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Webb Woolum | Skipper | A | 8 | 4.1 | 2.01 |
| Open Atlantic Coast Tournament Finals | Skipper | B | 4 | 9.0 | 3.07 |
| Moody Trophy | Skipper | B | 8 | 11.9 | 1.91 |
| MAISA Match Race Intrepid Trophy Keelboat | Crew | A | 1 | 3.0 | — |
| Jack Boehringer '52 Open Invite | Skipper | C | 6 | 16.0 | — |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
