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Nevins Trophy

Analysis
# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 52 47 99
2 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 81 75 156
3 Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 118 57 175
4 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 109 71 180
5 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 89 93 182
6 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 98 87 185
7 University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 95 94 189
8 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 102 107 209
9 U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 121 103 224
10 Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 72 159 231
11 North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 121 113 234
12 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 132 115 247
13 Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 129 124 253
14 Boston University Boston University Terriers 152 110 262
15 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 138 126 264
16 Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 137 181 318
17 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 162 163 325
18 George Washington University George Washington University Revolutionaries 140 193 333
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 8 5 2 2 6 5 1 1 5 11 5 1 52 Thomas Whidden '28
Kate Myles '29
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 1 6 1 1 3 1 2 3 15 12 9 18 72 Mathias Reimer '27
Puiyee Kong '27
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 5 1 11 5 8 6 10 15 2 5 10 3 81 Chris Small '30 [1-12]
Manuel Campos '29 [1-8]
Janet Fu '27 [9-12]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2 13 4 4 9 7 5 4 14 15 2 10 89 Owen Fretwell '30 [1-12]
Haley Temme '29 [1-4, 7-8]
Emery Strockbine '28 [5-6]
Mary Govan '27 [9-12]
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes BKD 15 7 3 5 10 4 2 11 3 RAF 8 95 Steven Hardee '26 [1-12]
Christopher Mccollum '28 [1-8]
Arantxa Argibay '27 [9-12]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 6 3 17 11 2 3 14 8 8 7 13 6 98 Jj Klempen '27 [1-12]
Henry Breslin '27 [1-8]
Stella Kim '27 [9-12]
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 10 9 3 9 16 9 9 18 4 10 3 2 102 Jacob Zils '27 [1-12]
John Bender '29 [1-4]
Nathan Finkelstein '30 [5-6]
Isabelle Getchell '30 [7-12]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 3 7 6 14 1 4 13 9 6 18 11 17 109 Sean Trudell '28 [1-12]
Ethan Martin '29 [1-8]
Molly Jethwa '28 [9-12]
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos 15 16 14 17 12 2 12 11 10 1 1 7 118 Crue Ziskind '29 [1-12]
Reddin Kehrli '27 [1-2, 9-12]
Jack Poynter '29 [3-8]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack 7 12 12 10 DNF 8 17 12 3 9 7 5 121 Kevin Gosselin '27
Joseph Morgan '27
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 9 8 13 12 13 13 3 7 1 14 14 14 121 Tomas Riccio '28 [1-6]
Liam Marcell '30 [7-12]
Olivia Spada '28 [1-4]
Liam Marcell '30 [5-6]
Tomas Riccio '28 [7-8]
Gabriella Fields '28 [9-12]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 11 10 9 8 DNS DNS 8 5 9 4 15 12 129 Pj Rodrigues '28
William Alvarado '29
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 17 4 15 7 4 14 11 16 17 2 12 13 132 Pierce Brindley '28 [1-12]
Madison Bivins '29 [1-4, 9-12]
Emil Body-Goldberg '27 [5-8]
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 4 14 5 16 7 15 7 6 18 13 17 15 137 Gavin Galway '30
Jack Prior '27
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 13 2 18 DNF 10 11 6 10 16 16 8 9 138 Reed Mcallister '27 [1-12]
Caleb Scheaffer '27 [1-8]
Chiara Dacosta '30 [9-12]
George Washington University George Washington University Revolutionaries 14 18 10 13 15 16 15 13 12 6 4 4 140 Rhett Krawitt '30 [1-12]
Thomas Brown '29 [1-8]
Caitlyn Schwartz '28 [9-12]
Boston University Boston University Terriers 16 17 16 15 14 12 16 14 7 8 6 11 152 Peter Stewart '28 [1-6, 9-12]
Aaron Toy-Lim '30 [7-8]
Saanvi Gupta '29 [1-6]
Peter Stewart '28 [7-8]
Amanda Wong '29 [9-12]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 12 11 8 6 11 17 18 17 13 17 16 16 162 Nathaniel Hartwell '28
Juliana Sarich '28
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 TOT Sailors
Stanford University Stanford University Cardinal 1 1 1 5 10 6 2 1 3 3 11 3 47 Dylan Sih '28
Alexandra Jones '28
Tufts University Tufts University Jumbos BKD 2 4 8 1 8 4 8 7 7 1 2 57 Devon Owen '27
Eliana Mopper '30
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 12 6 3 6 6 10 5 2 2 1 8 10 71 Leo Robillard '29
Gregory Lesmerises Degraff '28
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 7 3 9 7 5 2 8 4 5 8 RDG 13 75 Drew D’Orsi '28 [1-12]
Santiago Beteta '28 [1-4]
Janet Fu '27 [5-8]
Mia Ronen '29 [9-12]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 5 9 13 2 2 5 6 13 11 4 6 11 87 James Kopack '28 [1-12]
Jack Carter '27 [1-8]
Jamie Mcguffee '29 [9-12]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2 10 6 13 18 12 1 6 1 13 3 8 93 Landon Cormie '27 [1-6]
Joseph Marynowski '28 [7-12]
Walker Brescia '28 [1-6]
Emery Strockbine '28 [7-8]
Haley Temme '29 [9-12]
University of Miami University of Miami Hurricanes 8 7 8 4 4 11 14 10 9 5 7 7 94 David Webb '28 [1-12]
Isaac Van Buren '28 [1-8]
Ana Stewart '27 [9-12]
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears 9 4 10 9 7 7 7 3 12 12 RDG 14 103 Peter Judge '29
Julian Henderson '27
Fordham University Fordham University Rams 4 5 17 1 14 1 13 17 6 10 2 17 107 Erickson Rankin '27 [1-12]
Parker Keeffe-Jones '28 [1-8]
Ava Belli '28 [9-12]
Boston University Boston University Terriers 3 8 7 3 8 17 10 7 13 9 13 12 110 Beckett Shinn '29 [1-12]
Benjamin Luu '27 [1-10]
Meg Woolverton '27 [11-12]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Wolfpack BKD 15 14 11 3 9 9 15 8 6 9 5 113 Benjamin Usher '27 [1-12]
Shea Hoffacker '27 [1-2, 9-12]
Ryan Brelage '28 [3-8]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 14 11 5 15 9 3 17 11 14 2 RDG 4 115 Gianna Dewey '27 [1-12]
Emil Body-Goldberg '27 [1-2]
Caspian Collett '29 [3-8]
Josie Brindley '30 [9-12]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Tritons 16 16 2 12 13 4 12 9 10 17 12 1 124 Jordan Vieira '28
Avery Guck '28
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 6 13 11 16 11 13 3 5 18 11 10 9 126 Langdon Wallace '27 [1-12]
John Sanderson '29 [1-8]
Ethan Wagner '30 [9-12]
Yale University Yale University Bulldogs 17 12 18 10 16 16 15 12 16 16 5 6 159 Eli Shainker '30 [1-12]
Tom Commander '27 [1-8]
Matilda Twigg '29 [9-12]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 10 18 12 17 15 15 11 16 4 15 15 15 163 Luke Barker '28
Nicholas Cunha '27
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 11 14 16 14 12 14 16 14 17 OCS 16 18 181 Marc Leyk '28 [1-10]
Jackson Fisher '30 [11-12]
Jackson Fisher '30 [1-6]
Tristan Andre '30 [7-12]
George Washington University George Washington University Revolutionaries 13 17 15 18 17 18 18 18 15 14 14 16 193 Austin Budd '30
Brooke Kelley '28
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.110+0.11
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2011 (23 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers112233445566
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears121211111010998877
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons22111818171716161515
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams334455667788
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Revolutionaries4433221118181717
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen55667788991010
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners131314141515161617171818
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes15151616171718181122
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen1414131312121111101099
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack665544332211
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers887766554433
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs778899101011111212
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers161615151414131312121111
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks9910101111121213131414
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal10109988776655
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos111112121313141415151616
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers1717181811223344
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs181817171616151514141313

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B
Boston UniversityBoston University Terriers112233445566
U. S. Coast Guard AcademyU. S. Coast Guard Academy Bears121211111010998877
Eckerd CollegeEckerd College Tritons22111818171716161515
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams334455667788
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Revolutionaries4433221118181717
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen55667788991010
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners131314141515161617171818
University of MiamiUniversity of Miami Hurricanes15151616171718181122
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen1414131312121111101099
North Carolina State UniversityNorth Carolina State University Wolfpack665544332211
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers887766554433
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs778899101011111212
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers161615151414131312121111
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks9910101111121213131414
Stanford UniversityStanford University Cardinal10109988776655
Tufts UniversityTufts University Jumbos111112121313141415151616
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers1717181811223344
Yale UniversityYale University Bulldogs181817171616151514141313
School / Team SkipperCrew
Boston University Boston University Peter Stewart '28 [1-6, 9-12]
Aaron Toy-Lim '30 [7-8]		 Saanvi Gupta '29 [1-6]
Peter Stewart '28 [7-8]
Amanda Wong '29 [9-12]
Terriers Beckett Shinn '29 [1-12] Benjamin Luu '27 [1-10]
Meg Woolverton '27 [11-12]
Eckerd College Eckerd College Pj Rodrigues '28 William Alvarado '29
Tritons Jordan Vieira '28 Avery Guck '28
Fordham University Fordham University Jacob Zils '27 [1-12] John Bender '29 [1-4]
Nathan Finkelstein '30 [5-6]
Isabelle Getchell '30 [7-12]
Rams Erickson Rankin '27 [1-12] Parker Keeffe-Jones '28 [1-8]
Ava Belli '28 [9-12]
George Washington University George Washington University Rhett Krawitt '30 [1-12] Thomas Brown '29 [1-8]
Caitlyn Schwartz '28 [9-12]
Revolutionaries Austin Budd '30 Brooke Kelley '28
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Jj Klempen '27 [1-12] Henry Breslin '27 [1-8]
Stella Kim '27 [9-12]
Statesmen James Kopack '28 [1-12] Jack Carter '27 [1-8]
Jamie Mcguffee '29 [9-12]
North Carolina State University North Carolina State University Kevin Gosselin '27 Joseph Morgan '27
Wolfpack Benjamin Usher '27 [1-12] Shea Hoffacker '27 [1-2, 9-12]
Ryan Brelage '28 [3-8]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Pierce Brindley '28 [1-12] Madison Bivins '29 [1-4, 9-12]
Emil Body-Goldberg '27 [5-8]
Monarchs Gianna Dewey '27 [1-12] Emil Body-Goldberg '27 [1-2]
Caspian Collett '29 [3-8]
Josie Brindley '30 [9-12]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Nathaniel Hartwell '28 Juliana Sarich '28
Privateers Luke Barker '28 Nicholas Cunha '27
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Owen Fretwell '30 [1-12] Haley Temme '29 [1-4, 7-8]
Emery Strockbine '28 [5-6]
Mary Govan '27 [9-12]
Seahawks Landon Cormie '27 [1-6]
Joseph Marynowski '28 [7-12]		 Walker Brescia '28 [1-6]
Emery Strockbine '28 [7-8]
Haley Temme '29 [9-12]
Stanford University Stanford University Thomas Whidden '28 Kate Myles '29
Cardinal Dylan Sih '28 Alexandra Jones '28
Tufts University Tufts University Crue Ziskind '29 [1-12] Reddin Kehrli '27 [1-2, 9-12]
Jack Poynter '29 [3-8]
Jumbos Devon Owen '27 Eliana Mopper '30
U. S. Coast Guard Academy U. S. Coast Guard Academy Tomas Riccio '28 [1-6]
Liam Marcell '30 [7-12]		 Olivia Spada '28 [1-4]
Liam Marcell '30 [5-6]
Tomas Riccio '28 [7-8]
Gabriella Fields '28 [9-12]
Bears Peter Judge '29 Julian Henderson '27
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Reed Mcallister '27 [1-12] Caleb Scheaffer '27 [1-8]
Chiara Dacosta '30 [9-12]
Mariners Langdon Wallace '27 [1-12] John Sanderson '29 [1-8]
Ethan Wagner '30 [9-12]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Sean Trudell '28 [1-12] Ethan Martin '29 [1-8]
Molly Jethwa '28 [9-12]
Midshipmen Leo Robillard '29 Gregory Lesmerises Degraff '28
University of Miami University of Miami Steven Hardee '26 [1-12] Christopher Mccollum '28 [1-8]
Arantxa Argibay '27 [9-12]
Hurricanes David Webb '28 [1-12] Isaac Van Buren '28 [1-8]
Ana Stewart '27 [9-12]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Chris Small '30 [1-12] Manuel Campos '29 [1-8]
Janet Fu '27 [9-12]
Quakers Drew D’Orsi '28 [1-12] Santiago Beteta '28 [1-4]
Janet Fu '27 [5-8]
Mia Ronen '29 [9-12]
Webb Institute Webb Institute Gavin Galway '30 Jack Prior '27
Clippers Marc Leyk '28 [1-10]
Jackson Fisher '30 [11-12]		 Jackson Fisher '30 [1-6]
Tristan Andre '30 [7-12]
Yale University Yale University Mathias Reimer '27 Puiyee Kong '27
Bulldogs Eli Shainker '30 [1-12] Tom Commander '27 [1-8]
Matilda Twigg '29 [9-12]

Conditions — 10/17/2026 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 53%  ·  Pressure 1021.6 hPa

Temperature

51°F
↑ 53°F   ↓ 50°F
Feels like 42°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
11.2 kn
avg  ·  max 13.7 kn
Gusts to 20.8 kn
From NNW (346°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover98% Sunshine0.0 hrs Humidity53% Pressure1021.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: no wind record for this regatta; the venue average is used
In this breeze at Kings Point: a typical day (+0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.16 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.15
Actual: a strongly underdogs’ day (−0.34 ± 0.09)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Kings Point by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (80 labelled days at Kings Point).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →