Tufts University '29
How much better or worse boats do with this sailor crewing than their skipper's rating predicts, shown on the skipper scale so crews can be lined up across teams. Percentiles compare against rostered crews that season (league) or teammates (team).
How crew ratings work →Crew effect over their whole career, not scaled to a team: 49.27 percentile among ICSA crews with 30+ races. Uncertainty ±0.107 rating points from 45 races with rated skippers.
How crew ratings work →No season rating yet: needs 8+ crewed races in a season.
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.58 (fleet 3.51) | 108 of 331 | +0.04 ± 0.17 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 24–7 (77%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 1 | 9–5 | — |
| Fall 2025 | 2 | 15–2 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 3 graded regattas (31 matches) the record is 24–7 against 21.8 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+2.2). 1 regatta clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 4 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | Mystic Lake Team Race | skipper | 2.68 | 2.55 | 9–5 | 9.4 | −0.13 | 0.0 | 70% |
| 2025-10-19 | The Lane Trophy Team Race | skipper | 2.66 | 3.13 | 6–2 | 5.5 | +0.48 | 0.2 | 50% |
| 2025-10-18 | Norman Reid Team Race | skipper | 2.64 | 5.64 | 9–0 | 6.9 | ≥+3.00 | 4.2 | 4% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Open Atlantic Coast Championships Round 1A | Skipper | A | 14 | 6.4 | 4.11 |
| Open Atlantic Coast Championship | Skipper | A | 9 | 11.9 | 3.42 |
| Nevins Trophy | Skipper | A | 12 | 9.8 | 3.16 |
| Hatch Brown Trophy 2026 | Skipper | C | 8 | 6.5 | 3.50 |
| Danmark Trophy | Skipper | B | 11 | 7.2 | 4.38 |
| Bears Invite | Skipper | A | 10 | 8.3 | 3.05 |
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Oberg Trophy | Skipper | C | 10 | 3.0 | 3.88 |
| Mystic Lake Team Race | Skipper | TR | 14 | 64% | — |
| Boston Dinghy Challenge Cup-2026 | Skipper | B | 10 | 3.5 | 3.94 |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Savin Hill Invite | Skipper | A | 8 | 6.0 | 3.26 |
| Norman Reid Team Race | Skipper | TR | 12 | 75% | — |
| Nickerson Trophy | Skipper | B | 14 | 5.4 | 3.30 |
| Mystic Lake Invite | Skipper | A | 4 | 9.8 | 3.37 |
| The Lane Trophy Team Race | Skipper | TR | 10 | 80% | — |
| The George Warren Smith Trophy 25 | Skipper | A | 7 | 7.6 | 2.94 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Crue Ziskind |  Santa Barbara High School |
'25 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
