U. S. Naval Academy '29
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.52 (fleet 3.45) | unranked (fewer than 30 matches as skipper, or not active) | +0.02 ± 0.18 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 10–2 (83%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 1 | 10–2 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 1 graded regattas (12 matches) the record is 10–2 against 9.0 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+1.0). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 0 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 1 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Seahawk Team Race | skipper | 2.51 | 3.79 | 10–2 | 9.0 | +1.27 | 0.9 | 26% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Riley Cup | Skipper | A | 5 | 4.0 | 3.70 |
| Nevins Trophy | Skipper | B | 12 | 5.9 | 3.76 |
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Truxtun Umsted | Skipper | B | 14 | 7.5 | 3.28 |
| Seahawk Team Race | Skipper | TR | 15 | 87% | — |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Riley Cup | Skipper | A | 13 | 5.7 | 3.26 |
| Nevins Trophy | Skipper | B | 6 | 6.7 | 3.90 |
| MAISA Top 9 Open | Skipper | B | 14 | 8.1 | 2.32 |
| Chesapeake Open | Skipper | A | 1 | 6.0 | — |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ISSA | Leo Robillard |  Marin Catholic |
'25 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
