Navigate

Riley Cup

Analysis
# SchoolTeam A B TOT
1 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 19 18 37
2 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2 26 14 40
3 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 14 33 47
4 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 37 10 47
5 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 20 32 52
6 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1 28 30 58
7 George Washington University George Washington University Revolutionaries 39 25 64
8 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 42 30 72
9 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Big Blue 22 58 80
10 Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 51 53 104
11 Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 57 52 109
12 William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 61 74 135
13 Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 84 52 136
14 Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 65 72 137
15 University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 59 80 139
16 American University American University Eagles 82 65 147
17 University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 77 86 163
18 University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 93 LOP 91 LOP 184 LOP
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 5 1 3 1 4 14 Sean Trudell '28
Noelle Sizemore '29
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 2 3 4 7 3 19 Pierce Olsen '29
Irene Lin '29
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 4 4 7 3 2 20 Leo Robillard '29
Ella Seymour '30
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Big Blue 7 2 2 6 5 22 Marina Conde '28
Molly Hanson '27
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2 1 6 8 5 6 26 Davide Bazzoni '30
Haley Temme '29
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1 RAF 5 1 2 1 28 Mason Cook '29
Jane Wright '28
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 6 9 5 8 9 37 Conrad Cook '29
Alex Oh '28
George Washington University George Washington University Revolutionaries 3 8 6 11 11 39 Frank Wildi '29 [1-4]
Matthew Fremont-Smith '30 [5]
Ilana Umanskiy '29 [1-4]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 10 7 9 9 7 42 Gianna Dewey '27
Morgan Auth '27
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 12 10 13 4 12 51 James Lilyquist '28
Owen Smith '30
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 9 13 10 10 15 57 Claire Sullivan '29 [1-5]
Ekaterina Kuzmenko '28 [1-4]
Joy Hunter '28 [5]
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 8 14 14 13 10 59 Eli Leopold '28
Connor Smith '29
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 11 11 11 14 14 61 Charlotte Stillman '27
Eloise Graf '30
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 13 12 12 12 16 65 Berend Vandermeer '27
Jacob Fleming '27
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 14 15 18 17 13 77 Seton Dill '27
Anna Kucharik '28
American University American University Eagles 16 16 15 18 17 82 James Cottage '27 [1-5]
Madelyn Robillard '30 [1-4]
Mei-Elisabeth Berbine '30 [5]
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 17 18 16 15 18 84 Jackson Manley '27 [1-5]
Anyah Griffin '26 [1-2]
Isaac Faulkner '31 [3-5]
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 15 17 17 16 8 93 LOP Arda Alpan '29
Katie Croarkin '28
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 TOT Sailors
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 3 1 3 2 1 10 Alex Baker '30
Sophia Skrivanich '30
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2 5 2 4 1 2 14 Colin Krebs '30
Mary Govan '27
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 1 5 6 3 3 18 Fynn Olsen '29
Lia Nafe '29
George Washington University George Washington University Revolutionaries 7 3 1 9 5 25 Rhett Krawitt '30 [1-5]
Caitlyn Schwartz '28 [1-4]
Andre Bochat '27 [5]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1 2 4 11 4 9 30 Scott Opert '28
Emery Strockbine '28
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 4 10 5 5 6 30 Stone Dewey '30
Emily Priest '29
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 11 6 2 6 7 32 Henry Scalise '30
Jia Qi Zhan '30
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 6 8 7 8 4 33 Jules Buczkowski '30
Lydia Sayner-Oubre '30
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 10 7 13 12 10 52 Ivet Bejar '29
Micah Brandel '28
Penn State University Penn State University Nittany Lions 12 12 9 7 12 52 Charlie Bates '30 [1-5]
Katie Loeper '29 [1-4]
Collin Dubravetz '28 [5]
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech Hokies 8 11 16 10 8 53 Tucker Mcgrady '30
Ray Mcdonald '29
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Big Blue 9 14 8 16 11 58 Jonah Willoughby '27
Emil Body-Goldberg '27
American University American University Eagles 14 9 15 13 14 65 Brooke Lorson '27 [1-2, 5]
Mitchell Janes '26 [3-4]
Elin Boyce '29 [1-2, 5]
Mei-Elisabeth Berbine '30 [3-4]
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Captains 13 16 12 18 13 72 Jonathan Matney '27 [1-4]
Griffin Donahoe '28 [5]
Braden Silveria '28 [1-4]
William and Mary William and Mary Tribe 16 15 14 11 18 74 Colin Cartwright '29 [1-4]
Tyler Boissevain '28 [5]
Tyler Samdal '27 [1-4]
Carson Robison '30 [5]
University of Maryland University of Maryland Terps 17 17 17 14 15 80 Caroline Fuller '28
Linnea Wurdack '28
University of Delaware University of Delaware Blue Hens 18 18 18 15 17 86 Kylie Mccabe '28
Ryan Curran '27
University of Virginia University of Virginia Wahoos 15 13 10 17 16 91 LOP James Unger '27
Alexander Baer '30
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2010 (49 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A
American UniversityAmerican University Eagles11335
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains22446
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens1414161618
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Revolutionaries33557
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 144668
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 255779
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates668810
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps151517171
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 11212141416
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 21313151517
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Big Blue779911
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs88101012
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions99111113
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 11010121214
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 21111131315
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos161618182
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies1717113
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe1818224

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B
American UniversityAmerican University Eagles22446
Christopher Newport UniversityChristopher Newport University Captains33557
University of DelawareUniversity of Delaware Blue Hens151517171
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Revolutionaries44668
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 155779
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 2668810
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates779911
University of MarylandUniversity of Maryland Terps161618182
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 11313151517
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 21414161618
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Big Blue88101012
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs99111113
Penn State UniversityPenn State University Nittany Lions1010121214
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 11111131315
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 21212141416
University of VirginiaUniversity of Virginia Wahoos1717113
Virginia TechVirginia Tech Hokies1818224
William and MaryWilliam and Mary Tribe11335
School / Team SkipperCrew
American University American University James Cottage '27 [1-5] Madelyn Robillard '30 [1-4]
Mei-Elisabeth Berbine '30 [5]
Eagles Brooke Lorson '27 [1-2, 5]
Mitchell Janes '26 [3-4]		 Elin Boyce '29 [1-2, 5]
Mei-Elisabeth Berbine '30 [3-4]
Christopher Newport University Christopher Newport University Berend Vandermeer '27 Jacob Fleming '27
Captains Jonathan Matney '27 [1-4]
Griffin Donahoe '28 [5]		 Braden Silveria '28 [1-4]
George Washington University George Washington University Frank Wildi '29 [1-4]
Matthew Fremont-Smith '30 [5]		 Ilana Umanskiy '29 [1-4]
Revolutionaries Rhett Krawitt '30 [1-5] Caitlyn Schwartz '28 [1-4]
Andre Bochat '27 [5]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Pierce Olsen '29 Irene Lin '29
Hoyas 1 Fynn Olsen '29 Lia Nafe '29
Georgetown University Georgetown University Conrad Cook '29 Alex Oh '28
Hoyas 2 Alex Baker '30 Sophia Skrivanich '30
Hampton University Hampton University Jackson Manley '27 [1-5] Anyah Griffin '26 [1-2]
Isaac Faulkner '31 [3-5]
Pirates Ivet Bejar '29 Micah Brandel '28
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Marina Conde '28 Molly Hanson '27
Big Blue Jonah Willoughby '27 Emil Body-Goldberg '27
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Gianna Dewey '27 Morgan Auth '27
Monarchs Stone Dewey '30 Emily Priest '29
Penn State University Penn State University Claire Sullivan '29 [1-5] Ekaterina Kuzmenko '28 [1-4]
Joy Hunter '28 [5]
Nittany Lions Charlie Bates '30 [1-5] Katie Loeper '29 [1-4]
Collin Dubravetz '28 [5]
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Mason Cook '29 Jane Wright '28
Seahawks 1 Scott Opert '28 Emery Strockbine '28
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Davide Bazzoni '30 Haley Temme '29
Seahawks 2 Colin Krebs '30 Mary Govan '27
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Leo Robillard '29 Ella Seymour '30
Midshipmen 1 Henry Scalise '30 Jia Qi Zhan '30
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Sean Trudell '28 Noelle Sizemore '29
Midshipmen 2 Jules Buczkowski '30 Lydia Sayner-Oubre '30
University of Delaware University of Delaware Seton Dill '27 Anna Kucharik '28
Blue Hens Kylie Mccabe '28 Ryan Curran '27
University of Maryland University of Maryland Eli Leopold '28 Connor Smith '29
Terps Caroline Fuller '28 Linnea Wurdack '28
University of Virginia University of Virginia Arda Alpan '29 Katie Croarkin '28
Wahoos James Unger '27 Alexander Baer '30
Virginia Tech Virginia Tech James Lilyquist '28 Owen Smith '30
Hokies Tucker Mcgrady '30 Ray Mcdonald '29
William and Mary William and Mary Charlotte Stillman '27 Eloise Graf '30
Tribe Colin Cartwright '29 [1-4]
Tyler Boissevain '28 [5]		 Tyler Samdal '27 [1-4]
Carson Robison '30 [5]

Conditions — 09/12/2026 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 82%  ·  Pressure 1016.6 hPa

Temperature

81°F
↑ 86°F   ↓ 77°F
Feels like 89°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
5.8 kn
avg  ·  max 7.1 kn
Gusts to 17.7 kn
From SE (128°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover78% Sunshine9.9 hrs Humidity82% Pressure1016.6 hPa Rain0.25 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 9 kn · SW 6 kn (scorer’s report)
In this breeze at Old Dominion: a typical day (−0.01)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.03 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.04
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.01 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.01 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Old Dominion by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (76 labelled days at Old Dominion).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →