Chesapeake Open

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 108
2 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1 109
3 U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 118
4 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 135
5 St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2 144
6 Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 153
7 Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs 246
8 George Washington University George Washington University Revolutionaries 255
9 Hampton University Hampton University Pirates 271
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 TOT Sailors
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 A 1 2 5 3 1 1 9 1 8 31 Owen Kohut '29
Ellie Smith '28
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 B 4 1 2 2 3 12 2 5 7 38 Umi Noritake '28 [1-8]
Kyle Reinecke '28 [9]
Eva Ottenbreit '27 [1-8]
Ana Lynch Smith '29 [9]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 A 3 3 3 7 10 2 7 3 6 44 Teddy Martin '27 [1-8]
Leo Robillard '29 [9]
Melania Gonzalez '28 [1-8]
Ethan Martin '29 [9]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 A 7 6 6 9 2 3 6 2 5 46 Benjamin Smith '26
Alexis Tamm '26
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1 B 5 9 1 4 5 8 1 6 13 52 Mason Cook '29
Maisy Sperry '29
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2 A 12 7 8 1 6 7 4 8 2 55 Mats Braaten '27
Lauren Choi '29
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1 A 8 8 7 5 9 4 8 4 4 57 Joseph Marynowski '28
Indiana Theurer '25
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2 B 2 13 13 6 4 5 13 7 1 64 Sean Trudell '28 [1-8]
Robert Richards '29 [9]
Noelle Sizemore '29 [1-8]
Sarah Mcnelly '28 [9]
U. S. Naval Academy U. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1 A 9 4 12 11 7 13 3 18 3 80 Hugh Carty '27 [1-8]
Owen Macwilliams '28 [9]
Eleanor Niehoff '26 [1-8]
Molly Jethwa '28 [9]
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 1 B 6 5 10 12 16 9 10 10 11 89 Jake Julien '28
Irene Lin '29
St. Mary's College of Maryland St. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2 B 14 16 9 10 11 6 5 9 9 89 Cho-Cho Williams '26
Molly Dowling '29
George Washington University George Washington University Revolutionaries A 10 10 4 8 13 10 14 12 17 98 Eva Wieting '26 [1-8]
Sam Schuhwerk '27 [9]
Ilana Umanskiy '29 [1-8]
Brooke Kelley '28 [9]
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs A 11 14 11 15 8 11 11 11 12 104 Olivia Gilmore '27
Caspian Collett '29
Georgetown University Georgetown University Hoyas 2 B 13 11 15 13 12 15 12 17 14 122 Xavier Stoldt '26
Meredith Kean '26
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates A 15 12 17 16 15 14 16 14 10 129 Tyler Brown '26
Kiara-Lee Wright '27
Old Dominion University Old Dominion University Monarchs B 16 17 14 17 14 16 17 16 15 142 Emily Priest '29 [1-4, 9]
Petra Humphrey '29 [5-8]
Morgan Auth '27 [1-4, 9]
Hampton University Hampton University Pirates B 17 15 16 14 17 17 15 13 18 142 Chloe Anderson '29
Jackson Manley '27
George Washington University George Washington University Revolutionaries B 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 15 16 157 Frank Wildi '29 [1-9]
Andre Bochat '27 [1-8]
Sofia Worthington '29 [9]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Spring 2013 (12 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Revolutionaries111111111
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 1222222222
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 2333333333
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates444444444
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1888888888
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2999999999
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs555555555
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1666666666
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2777777777

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B
George Washington UniversityGeorge Washington University Revolutionaries101010101010101010
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 1111111111111111111
Georgetown UniversityGeorgetown University Hoyas 2121212121212121212
Hampton UniversityHampton University Pirates131313131313131313
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 1171717171717171717
U. S. Naval AcademyU. S. Naval Academy Midshipmen 2181818181818181818
Old Dominion UniversityOld Dominion University Monarchs141414141414141414
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 1151515151515151515
St. Mary's College of MarylandSt. Mary's College of Maryland Seahawks 2161616161616161616

Conditions — 09/13/2025 (8am–6pm)

☀️Clear sky
Humidity 63%  ·  Pressure 1019.6 hPa

Temperature

74°F
↑ 79°F   ↓ 62°F
Feels like 77°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
3.0 kn
avg  ·  max 6.6 kn
Gusts to 14.6 kn
From SSE (167°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover8% Sunshine11.0 hrs Humidity63% Pressure1019.6 hPa

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: SE 8 kn · E 6 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Navy: a favourites’ day (+0.06)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.10 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.03
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.03 ± 0.15)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.06 means a rating gap counts about 6% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Navy by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (114 labelled days at Navy).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →