St. Mary's College of Maryland '29
How much better or worse boats do with this sailor crewing than their skipper's rating predicts, shown on the skipper scale so crews can be lined up across teams. Percentiles compare against rostered crews that season (league) or teammates (team).
How crew ratings work →Crew effect over their whole career, not scaled to a team: 73.53 percentile among ICSA crews with 30+ races. Uncertainty ±0.117 rating points from 17 races with rated skippers. Few races, so the estimate stays near the middle.
How crew ratings work →| Season | Team | Rating | Range | League percentile |
Team percentile |
On team | Races | Team page |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2025 | St. Mary's College of Maryland | 2.89 | 80.55 | 52.78 | 9 of 18 | 9 | Team page |
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2.08 (fleet 2.90) | 200 of 328 | −0.02 ± 0.17 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 15–24 (38%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 3 | 15–24 | — |
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 3 graded regattas (39 matches) the record is 15–24 against 15.7 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (−0.7). 0 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 4 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-26 | ICSA Women's Team Race National Championship | skipper | 2.54 | 0.26 | 1–13 | 3.3 | −2.28 | 2.9 | >99% |
| 2026-04-11 | MAISA Women’s Team Race Championship | skipper | 2.50 | 2.61 | 9–7 | 8.7 | +0.11 | 0.0 | 55% |
| 2026-02-28 | ODU Women's Team Race | skipper | 2.21 | 2.93 | 5–4 | 3.8 | +0.72 | 0.6 | 28% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Women's Eastern National Semis Women's | Skipper | B | 10 | 9.8 | 2.53 |
| St. Mary's Women's Inter-Conference Women's | Skipper | B | 14 | 5.8 | 2.71 |
| ODU Women's Team Race Women's | Skipper | TR | 9 | 56% | — |
| ODU Women's Fleet Race Women's | Skipper | A | 3 | 4.0 | 3.24 |
| MAISA Women’s Team Race Championship Women's | Skipper | TR | 16 | 56% | — |
| MAISA Spring Women's Fleet Race Championship Women's | Skipper | B | 14 | 4.2 | 3.41 |
| ICSA Women's Team Race National Championship Women's | Skipper | TR | 14 | 7% | — |
| Emily Wick Women's | Skipper | B | 8 | 5.4 | 2.61 |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Yale Women's Interconference Women's | Skipper | B | 11 | 10.5 | 2.43 |
| Women's Atlantic Coast Tournament Women's | Skipper | B | 10 | 5.5 | 2.92 |
| Women's Atlantic Coast Championships Round 1A Women's | Skipper | A | 6 | 11.8 | 1.83 |
| Oyster Bowl Women's Women's | Skipper | A | 9 | 7.3 | 2.04 |
| Navy Women's Women's | Skipper | A | 7 | 8.1 | -0.16 |
| MAISA Women's Fall Dinghy Women's | Skipper | B | 4 | 10.5 | 0.58 |
| MAISA Top 9 Women's Women's | Skipper | A | 8 | 8.8 | 1.57 |
| Chesapeake Open | Crew | B | 9 | 5.8 | +0.19 |
| League | Name | School | Year |
|---|---|---|---|
| ICSA | Maisy Sperry |  Roger Williams University |
'29 |
| ISSA | Maisy Sperry |  Dartmouth High School |
'24 |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
