SUNY Maritime College '28
A team race rating is what the sailor brings to one of the three boats: 0.72 x their fleet rating plus a team-race offset learned from every match they sailed, shrunk toward zero so a few matches cannot move it far. Sides are compared by the sum of their three boats plus the school's team race strength.
| Rating | Rank | vs fleet rating | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1.23 (fleet 1.63) | 298 of 331 | +0.05 ± 0.17 about what the fleet rating predicts |
as skipper 26–17 (60%) |
| Season | Regattas | Skipper W–L | Crew W–L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spring 2026 | 2 | 12–6 | — |
| Spring 2025 | 3 | 14–11 | — |
Rating before each regatta driven (solid; dots green when the boat won 60% or more of its matches there, red under 40%) and what the fleet rating alone would give (dashed). The gap is the team race offset as it stood at the time. Hover a dot for the regatta; click to open it.
For each regatta, the boat value that would have made this sailor's record least surprising: the shift applied to their boat alone, in the matches they sailed, with team-mates and opponents fixed at the pre-event forecast. A boat's skipper and crew share the boat, so they get the same number when they sailed every match together. Surprise is in bits at the pre-event value minus at the performance value; P(this good or better) treats the matches as independent at the forecast probabilities. Regattas forecast from fewer than 1,000 training matches are left out.
Over 5 graded regattas (43 matches) the record is 26–17 against 22.6 wins the pre-event forecasts expected (+3.4). 2 regattas clearly above the rating (P ≤ 20%), 1 clearly below (P ≥ 80%); 5 bits of surprise in all.
| Date | Regatta | Role | Value | Perf. | Record | Exp. wins |
Δ | Surprise (bits) |
P(this good or better) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Admiral Moore Team Race | skipper | 1.42 | 1.54 | 6–3 | 5.9 | +0.12 | 0.0 | 64% |
| 2026-03-14 | WAC Team Race @ Fordham | skipper | 1.57 | 2.78 | 6–3 | 4.3 | +1.21 | 1.5 | 14% |
| 2025-03-22 | Admiral Moore Team Race | skipper | 1.31 | 0.86 | 6–8 | 6.8 | −0.45 | 0.3 | 84% |
| 2025-03-15 | Washington College Team Race | skipper | 1.18 | 3.62 | 4–1 | 2.5 | +2.44 | 2.6 | 9% |
| 2025-03-01 | Tom Noble Team Race | skipper | 1.03 | 1.84 | 4–2 | 3.2 | +0.81 | 0.5 | 36% |
| Regatta | Role | Div | Races | Avg | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fall 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| Nevins Trophy | Skipper | B | 12 | 13.6 | 1.65 |
| Moody Trophy | Skipper | B | 10 | 13.3 | 0.87 |
| KP Dinghy Open Invite | Skipper | B | 5 | 13.4 | — |
| Jack Boehringer '52 Open Invite | Skipper | A | 1 | 11.0 | — |
| Spring 2026 Team page Season | |||||
| WAC Team Race @ Fordham | Skipper | TR | 13 | 77% | — |
| Vietor Trophy | Skipper | B | 10 | 11.4 | 1.24 |
| Oberg Trophy | Skipper | B | 14 | 13.9 | 0.81 |
| Long Island Sound Invite | Skipper | A | 2 | 5.0 | 1.61 |
| America Trophy | Skipper | B | 4 | 12.5 | 1.83 |
| Admiral Moore Team Race | Skipper | TR | 9 | 67% | — |
| Admiral's Cup | Skipper | A | 6 | 10.8 | 1.42 |
| Fall 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| War Memorial | Skipper | B | 4 | 14.5 | 1.11 |
| Stony Brook Fall Open | Skipper | B | 5 | 1.4 | 3.36 |
| Luce Trophy | Skipper | B | 15 | 7.3 | 1.33 |
| KP Open Invite | Skipper | A | 8 | 14.0 | — |
| Jack Boehringer '52 Open Invite | Skipper | C | 11 | 15.0 | — |
| David Lee Arnoff Trophy | Skipper | B | 11 | 6.3 | 0.45 |
| Spring 2025 Team page Season | |||||
| Washington College Team Race | Skipper | TR | 5 | 80% | — |
| Vietor Trophy | Skipper | B | 6 | 10.3 | 0.48 |
| Tom Noble Team Race | Skipper | TR | 7 | 71% | — |
| Owen Trophy | Skipper | B | 17 | 14.3 | — |
| America Trophy | Skipper | B | 11 | 13.9 | 1.58 |
| Admiral’s Cup | Skipper | B | 12 | 13.7 | 1.32 |
| Admiral Moore Team Race | Skipper | TR | 14 | 43% | — |
| 2025 J70 Invite #2 Keelboat | Crew | A | 12 | 5.2 | — |
| Fall 2024 Team page Season | |||||
| War Memorial | Skipper | B | 16 | 13.6 | 1.02 |
| Shields Trophy Keelboat | Crew | A | 7 | 7.4 | — |
| Open Atlantic Coast Tournament | Skipper | B | 5 | 15.0 | 0.81 |
| Open Atlantic Coast Championship Round 1A | Skipper | B | 18 | 16.8 | 0.63 |
| NY Maritime Fall Open | Skipper | B | 8 | 8.2 | 0.61 |
| Nevins Trophy | Skipper | B | 14 | 15.9 | 0.77 |
| KP Open Invite | Skipper | B | 6 | 11.8 | — |
Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.
