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KP Open Invite

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 106
2 University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers 125
3 Fordham University Fordham University Rams 183
4 Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers 212
5 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 214
6 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 300
7 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 397
8 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 418
9 Hamilton College Hamilton College Continentals 440
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 R12 R13 R14 TOT Sailors
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen B 3 2 3 6 3 5 4 1 3 1 4 1 3 1 40 Jj Klempen '27
Rachel Duggan '25
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers B 5 6 9 5 4 4 2 2 2 9 1 2 4 4 59 Cole Woodworth '26 [1-8]
Jackson Mcaliley '27 [9-14]
Eva Gonzalez-Whitehouse '26 [1-8]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen A 1 4 1 4 1 6 5 9 4 8 3 11 7 2 66 Juan Carlos Lacerda Jones '26 [1-14]
Frances Depke '25 [1-8, 10-11]
Elijah Goldman '26 [9, 12-14]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Quakers A 4 1 2 1 2 8 10 5 1 6 8 5 8 5 66 Sofia Segalla '25 [1-14]
Hannah Bast '25 [1-8, 10]
Kiki Bruzzi '25 [9, 11-14]
Fordham University Fordham University Rams A 2 7 4 2 6 1 7 3 5 13 10 4 1 3 68 Jacob Zils '27
Andalucia Pilcher '28
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers A 6 10 8 9 5 9 6 7 6 2 5 7 6 7 93 Everett Botwinick '26 [1-14]
Jack Prior '27 [1-2, 5-14]
Ty Mazzga '28 [3-4]
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red A 9 5 7 3 9 2 8 4 9 14 9 10 2 9 100 Boris Bialer '26
Hope Campbell '28
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red B 7 3 5 8 7 7 3 11 15 10 13 6 9 10 114 Maya Conway '26
Wynne Williams '27
Fordham University Fordham University Rams B 8 9 12 7 10 3 1 8 8 7 11 8 11 12 115 Lucas Thress '26
Caroline Newton '27
Webb Institute Webb Institute Clippers B 14 8 14 12 12 11 16 6 7 3 2 3 5 6 119 Burke Kanemasu '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Marc Leyk '28 [3-4, 7-8]
Rayne Duff '25 [10-14]
Spencer Rankin '27 [1-9]
Calvin Schmid '26 [10]
Lauren Kirk '25 [11-12]
Marc Leyk '28 [13-14]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers A 11 15 6 11 8 14 15 12 12 4 6 9 12 11 146 Jeremy Lunati '27 [1-14]
Ryan Sylvester '26 [1-6, 10-14]
Henry Beimler '28 [7-9]
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers B 10 13 10 10 13 10 11 14 11 5 14 12 13 8 154 Nathaniel Hartwell '28 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14]
Luke Barker '28 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Henry Beimler '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Nicholas Pistolakis '28 [3-4, 7-14]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners B 12 18 15 16 11 12 9 10 14 15 7 15 17 16 187 Aubrey Walton '27 [1-14]
Lillian Cary '28 [1-12]
Isaac Lee '28 [13-14]
Hamilton College Hamilton College Continentals A 16 12 17 13 15 15 12 15 13 12 16 16 10 15 197 Michael Stewart '25
Clemens Robinson '28
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers A 15 14 11 15 16 17 17 13 17 11 12 13 14 14 199 William Roberts '26
Cole Crosby '26
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners A 17 11 16 18 18 13 13 17 10 16 15 18 15 13 210 Oscar Gilroy '27 [1-14]
Logan Forward '28 [1-6, 10, 13-14]
Burton Keck '27 [7-9, 11-12]
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers B 13 16 13 14 14 16 14 18 16 17 18 17 16 17 219 Berkley Yiu '25
Jaden Sharp '26
Hamilton College Hamilton College Continentals B DNF 17 18 17 17 18 18 16 18 18 17 14 18 18 243 Reid Chapman '27 [1-14]
Mary Powell '27 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14]
Elizabeth Price '25 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.060+0.06
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2023 (2 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A12A13A14A
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red11223344556677
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams22334455667788
Hamilton CollegeHamilton College Continentals33445566778899
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen4455667788991010
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners7788991010111112121313
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers66778899101011111212
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers889910101111121213131414
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers556677889910101111
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers99101011111212131314141515

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B12B13B14B
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red1010111112121313141415151616
Fordham UniversityFordham University Rams1111121213131414151516161717
Hamilton CollegeHamilton College Continentals1212131314141515161617171818
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen13131414151516161717181811
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners16161717181811223344
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers1515161617171818112233
University of PennsylvaniaUniversity of Pennsylvania Quakers171718181122334455
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers141415151616171718181122
Webb InstituteWebb Institute Clippers1818112233445566
School / Team SkipperCrew
Cornell University Cornell University Boris Bialer '26 Hope Campbell '28
Big Red Maya Conway '26 Wynne Williams '27
Fordham University Fordham University Jacob Zils '27 Andalucia Pilcher '28
Rams Lucas Thress '26 Caroline Newton '27
Hamilton College Hamilton College Michael Stewart '25 Clemens Robinson '28
Continentals Reid Chapman '27 [1-14] Mary Powell '27 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14]
Elizabeth Price '25 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Juan Carlos Lacerda Jones '26 [1-14] Frances Depke '25 [1-8, 10-11]
Elijah Goldman '26 [9, 12-14]
Statesmen Jj Klempen '27 Rachel Duggan '25
Princeton University Princeton University William Roberts '26 Cole Crosby '26
Tigers Berkley Yiu '25 Jaden Sharp '26
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Jeremy Lunati '27 [1-14] Ryan Sylvester '26 [1-6, 10-14]
Henry Beimler '28 [7-9]
Privateers Nathaniel Hartwell '28 [1-2, 5-6, 9-10, 13-14]
Luke Barker '28 [3-4, 7-8, 11-12]		 Henry Beimler '28 [1-2, 5-6]
Nicholas Pistolakis '28 [3-4, 7-14]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Oscar Gilroy '27 [1-14] Logan Forward '28 [1-6, 10, 13-14]
Burton Keck '27 [7-9, 11-12]
Mariners Aubrey Walton '27 [1-14] Lillian Cary '28 [1-12]
Isaac Lee '28 [13-14]
University of Pennsylvania University of Pennsylvania Sofia Segalla '25 [1-14] Hannah Bast '25 [1-8, 10]
Kiki Bruzzi '25 [9, 11-14]
Quakers Cole Woodworth '26 [1-8]
Jackson Mcaliley '27 [9-14]		 Eva Gonzalez-Whitehouse '26 [1-8]
Webb Institute Webb Institute Everett Botwinick '26 [1-14] Jack Prior '27 [1-2, 5-14]
Ty Mazzga '28 [3-4]
Clippers Burke Kanemasu '25 [1-2, 5-6, 9]
Marc Leyk '28 [3-4, 7-8]
Rayne Duff '25 [10-14]		 Spencer Rankin '27 [1-9]
Calvin Schmid '26 [10]
Lauren Kirk '25 [11-12]
Marc Leyk '28 [13-14]

Conditions — 09/07/2024 (8am–6pm)

🌦️Light drizzle
Humidity 77%  ·  Pressure 1010.0 hPa

Temperature

71°F
↑ 74°F   ↓ 65°F
Feels like 71°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
10.2 kn
avg  ·  max 12.5 kn
Gusts to 24.9 kn
From S (173°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover99% Sunshine6.0 hrs Humidity77% Pressure1010.0 hPa Rain0.50 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 13 kn · W 11 kn (weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Kings Point: a typical day (−0.02)
Nothing in the breeze favours either side; expect results to follow the ratings about as usual.
Fleet adjustment −0.05 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast −0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (+0.18 ± 0.10)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.02 means a rating gap counts about 1% less than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Kings Point by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (80 labelled days at Kings Point).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →