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David Lee Arnoff Trophy

# SchoolTeam TOT
1 Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen 95
2 SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers 134
3 University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines 165
4 U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners 166
5 Cornell University Cornell University Big Red 184
6 University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts 205
7 Princeton University Princeton University Tigers 206
SchoolTeam R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10 R11 TOT Sailors
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen B 2 1 11 12 2 1 2 2 1 4 6 44 Nicolas Garcia-Castrillon '26 [1-8]
Jack Guinness '28 [9-11]
Cara Brickhouse '27 [1-8]
Molly Pile '29 [9-11]
Hobart and William Smith Colleges Hobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen A 4 8 2 2 11 2 1 1 10 2 8 51 James Kopack '28 [1-8]
Sam Carson '28 [9-11]
Laura Therien '26 [1-8]
Jamie Mcguffee '29 [9-10]
Cara Brickhouse '27 [11]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners B 1 4 5 7 3 11 4 5 7 1 5 53 Calvin Marsh '28
Ava Candage '29
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers A 5 3 10 3 7 4 7 10 8 6 2 65 Nathaniel Hartwell '28
Juliana Sarich '28
SUNY Maritime College SUNY Maritime College Privateers B 8 10 7 5 4 3 6 8 3 5 10 69 Luke Barker '28
Nicholas Cunha '27
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines A 9 2 1 1 9 12 9 12 4 11 3 73 Jack Homa '27
Alexander Reynolds '28
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers A 11 6 6 10 6 6 3 4 5 7 9 73 Logan Mraz '29
Terese Palomino '28
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts A 7 7 13 6 8 9 5 3 6 13 4 81 Ryan Begin '27
Jack Taylor '27
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red A 3 11 8 9 13 10 10 6 9 3 1 83 Marcus Greco '28 [1-11]
Matthew Schmitt '29 [1-10]
Maeve Katics '26 [11]
University of Michigan University of Michigan Wolverines B 14 12 4 11 1 5 11 7 2 12 13 92 Ted Sherman '27 [1-4, 11]
Lila Torresen '29 [5-10]
Gillian Reynolds '27 [1-4, 11]
Cornell University Cornell University Big Red B 6 9 9 8 14 8 8 9 13 10 7 101 Beylen Gode '29 [1-10]
Matthew Schmitt '29 [11]
Max Lindenberg '29 [1-10]
Vera Jacobson '28 [11]
U. S. Merchant Marine Academy U. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners A 13 5 14 4 10 13 13 11 11 8 11 113 Katherine Mason '27 [1-8]
Benjamin Mohrman '29 [9-11]
Trey Rather '29 [1-8]
University of Vermont University of Vermont Catamounts B 10 13 3 13 12 7 14 14 12 14 12 124 Ryan Petrush '27
Brendan Drummond '28
Princeton University Princeton University Tigers B 12 14 12 14 5 14 12 13 14 9 14 133 Alex Wszolek '29
John Morgan Griffith '28
Boat Speed Analyzer
SlowExpected boat effectFast
−0.130+0.13
Places per race a team should expect to gain or lose in this boat against what its sailors' ratings predict, from a model of this fleet fitted on every regatta sailed here since Fall 2018 (10 regattas). Shown at the 40% that holds up on regattas the model never saw; hover a sail for its value and uncertainty. Grey = boat not in the fit. How this is estimated.

Division A

Team1A2A3A4A5A6A7A8A9A10A11A
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red11223344556
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen221114141313121211
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners556677889910
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines66554433221
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers44332211141413
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers33445566778
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts7788991010111112

Division B

Team1B2B3B4B5B6B7B8B9B10B11B
Cornell UniversityCornell University Big Red88776655443
Hobart and William Smith CollegesHobart and William Smith Colleges Statesmen99101011111212131314
U. S. Merchant Marine AcademyU. S. Merchant Marine Academy Mariners12121111101099887
University of MichiganUniversity of Michigan Wolverines131314141122334
SUNY Maritime CollegeSUNY Maritime College Privateers1111121213131414112
Princeton UniversityPrinceton University Tigers1010998877665
University of VermontUniversity of Vermont Catamounts141413131212111110109

Conditions — 10/11/2025 (8am–6pm)

☁️Overcast
Humidity 71%  ·  Pressure 1020.9 hPa

Temperature

57°F
↑ 64°F   ↓ 49°F
Feels like 53°F

Wind

● from   ▲ toward
7.7 kn
avg  ·  max 9.0 kn
Gusts to 17.9 kn
From SSE (158°)

Sky & Precipitation

Cloud cover75% Sunshine5.9 hrs Humidity71% Pressure1020.9 hPa Rain0.16 in

Orderliness — underdogs or favourites?

Breeze: S 21 kn · SE 7 kn* (*weather reanalysis in the scorer’s units)
In this breeze at Hobart & William: a strongly favourites’ day (+0.11)
Back the top seeds: results should follow the ratings, and the gaps between favourites hold.
Fleet adjustment −0.04 (a strong, experienced fleet makes upsets likelier) · combined forecast +0.07
Actual: about typical, within noise (−0.07 ± 0.20)

Orderliness is how tightly the finishing order followed the pre-regatta ratings, relative to a typical event (0). Positive is the favourites’ day: the ratings carried more weight than usual and the top seeds finished where expected. Negative is the underdogs’ day: the fleet compressed and the favourites came back to the pack. A value of ±0.11 means a rating gap counts about 9% more than on a typical day.

The breeze reading is the chart’s value at this regatta’s wind direction and speed (the star): this venue’s pattern of which directions bring order and which bring upsets, with breeze generally orderly and light air surprising. The fleet adjustment comes from the entry list: the stronger and more experienced the fleet, the more surprising the racing. How this is estimated · compare venues.

Orderliness beyond the fleet at Hobart & William by wind direction (angle) and speed (rings), fitted surface; dots are labelled regatta-days, ★ this regatta (only 14 labelled days at Hobart & William, so the surface is mostly the all-venue pattern).

From the notes

Short write-ups of what the ratings and results show, with the numbers and how they were computed.

All notes →